1. #71
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    Literally can't make this shit up. "Here stranger on a message board, I hope my bet loses so you can win!!".

    What is the world coming to these days man.
    That's incredibly nice... Don't think I've ever seen that posted on the forum.. Sanity must have been sipping on the sauce last night when he posted that.. No one in their right mind would root for someone else to win against your play just because they have more cash riding..

    Sanity I love ya man!!! Classic!!!

  2. #72
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    That's incredibly nice... Don't think I've ever seen that posted on the forum.. Sanity must have been sipping on the sauce last night when he posted that.. No one in their right mind would root for someone else to win against your play just because they have more cash riding..

    Sanity I love ya man!!! Classic!!!

    He's just being cordial, it's just something nice to say, I've had many people tell me this before, he most likely just has em in long shoot parley for sum change, and isn't really invested in said bet. He obviously will be rooting for pettis.

  3. #73
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
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    100% JIBBBY.....more is all relative----5$ could mean more to Man A than 5K does to man B....
    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    That's incredibly nice... Don't think I've ever seen that posted on the forum.. Sanity must have been sipping on the sauce last night when he posted that.. No one in their right mind would root for someone else to win against your play just because they have more cash riding..

    Sanity I love ya man!!! Classic!!!

  4. #74
    PaperTrail07
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    but i agree----Nice guy and means well

  5. #75
    JoshKnows46
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    This card is full of flaky fighters, so you must implement hedging and probs into Some Of these fights to increase profitability and decrease risk, there are a couple great spots to do this.)

    Added:
    Browne by sub +600 $300 to win $1800 (hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 for $158 to win $300...basically risking $458 on Browne sub to win $1800, but there is virtually no risk In this play because no way either guy makes the distance, no way meathead subs browne, and no way browne ko's meathead, it's well worth a unit and a half of your money because unlike the odds makers, I see browne by sub as the most probable outcome of this contest.

    O'connell +230 risking $300 to win $690
    O'connell by ko +615 risking $300 to $1845 (unlike the oddsmakers, I have O'connell winning by dec or ko, put $150 on Latifi by sub at +415 to win $622.50, as that is Latifis only path to victory, so I'm basically risking $750 hedge included on O'connell to win $2535)

    Felder wins inside distance +130 risking $300 to win $390
    Felder -240 risking $1200 to win $500

  6. #76
    JoshKnows46
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    Added:
    Font/Gomez wont go the distance -270 risking $1350

    Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180 Risking $900

    Ross Pearson -150 risking $900
    Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700 Risking $100

    Tj Dillashaw -140 Risking another $500 (can't help myself, if this fight was 2 more weeks away, i'd probabe have 20k on this one, trying to stay discipline, don't miss out gentlemen.)
    Last edited by JoshKnows46; 01-15-16 at 11:31 PM.

  7. #77
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    This card is full of flaky fighters, so you must implement hedging and probs into Some Of these fights to increase profitability and decrease risk, there are a couple great spots to do this.)

    Added:
    Browne by sub +600 $300 to win $1800 (hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 for $158 to win $300...basically risking $458 on Browne sub to win $1800, but there is virtually no risk In this play because no way either guy makes the distance, no way meathead subs browne, and no way browne ko's meathead, it's well worth a unit and a half of your money because unlike the odds makers, I see browne by sub as the most probable outcome of this contest.

    O'connell +230 risking $300 to win $690
    O'connell by ko +615 risking $300 to $1845 (unlike the oddsmakers, I have O'connell winning by dec or ko, put $150 on Latifi by sub at +415 to win $622.50, as that is Latifis only path to victory, so I'm basically risking $750 hedge included on O'connell to win $2535)

    Felder wins inside distance +130 risking $300 to win $390
    Felder -240 risking $1200 to win $500

    You don't think Latifi can knock O'Connell out? Latifi has monster power in his hands. Have to say we completely disagree here. I see Latifi firing a counter right that turns out his lights

  8. #78
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    You don't think Latifi can knock O'Connell out? Latifi has monster power in his hands. Have to say we completely disagree here. I see Latifi firing a counter right that turns out his lights
    anybody can get knocked out, he does have power, but oconnell is the better striker/kickboxer, latifi will get worked on the feet, he needs to try to get this fight to the ground, i have oconnell the favorite in this fight slighty @ -140, oconnell will have more oppurtunitys to get the KO, and if not i see him taking the dec. the oddsmakers disagree with me, but latifi sub at +415 gives me the best hedge possibility and i see it as more likely than latifi getting a ko stoppage, oconnell has a nice chin and can take sum punishment, and like i said i see him getting the better of latifi on the feet, wrong guy is favored here.

  9. #79
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    You don't think Latifi can knock O'Connell out? Latifi has monster power in his hands. Have to say we completely disagree here. I see Latifi firing a counter right that turns out his lights
    if your sold out on latifi here, i'd go with wins inside the distance prob at -150 to decrease the juice, i can't see him winning a dec against oconnell, and i believe he is gonna try to stand with oconell because thats what has been working for him lately, he's gonna need a stoppage to win, but I don't think the probability of that happening is too good either. good luck with your decision.

  10. #80
    mirinquads
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    Browne could easily get a TKO victory on the ground over Mitrione.

  11. #81
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    if your sold out on latifi here, i'd go with wins inside the distance prob at -150 to decrease the juice, i can't see him winning a dec against oconnell, and i believe he is gonna try to stand with oconell because thats what has been working for him lately, he's gonna need a stoppage to win, but I don't think the probability of that happening is too good either. good luck with your decision.
    I think Latifi could easily win any 3 ways in this fight. He could take him down and turn it into a boring fight and win a decision if he wants. He could definitely lock in a sub to get the win and with his power, he could easily land a power shot that drops O'Connell in the pocket.

  12. #82
    Aye J Mac
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    Bro can u update your plays in bold letters . Thanks

  13. #83
    Sanity Check
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    Anthony Pettis looking sharp as fk.



    Eddie Alvarez also looking very sharp.

    That's the best technique I've ever seen Alvarez show hitting pads.

    edit - Maybe he looks good because the camera is zoomed further in than normal. Its hard to tell.
    Last edited by Sanity Check; 01-16-16 at 12:28 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    JoshKnows46 gave Sanity Check 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  14. #84
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aye J Mac View Post
    Bro can u update your plays in bold letters . Thanks
    Here they are, I'm also on amber brown and Souza on Invicta card, and I'm heavy on Seattle to beat carolina.

    Final Card:*

    TJ Dillashaw -140/-145..................................... . $7500 to win $5270.93
    TJ Dillashaw wins inside 5 round distance +315...$500 to win $1575

    Eddie Alvarez Wins by Dec +500............................. $250 to win $1250

    Font/Gomez WON'T go the distance -270..................... $1350 to win $500

    Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180.................. $900 to win $500

    Ross Pearson -150..................................... ....$900 to win $600
    Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700............. $100 to win $1700

    Browne by sub +600............................ $300 to win $1800*(hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 $158 to win $300)

    O'connell +230.................................... $300 to win $690
    O'connell by ko +615.......................... $300 to $1845 (hedged withLatifi by sub at +415 $150 to win $622.50)

    Felder wins inside distance +130.......... $300 to win $390
    Felder -240 ........................................ $1200 to win $500

    BTW my base unit is $300, if your unit is $100, and you would like to follow what I bet, then you'd want to put $100 on my $300 play, $300 on my $900 plays, $400 on my $1200 plays, and so on and so on, remember to bet within the means of your bankroll. if your Unit is 100 then divide the amount i'm risking by 3, if your unit is $50 then you'd divide what i'm risking by 6. everytime you increase your bankroll by $5000, you increase your unit by $50 dollars, this insures you will always have a continued bankroll, and never be out the race.

  15. #85
    agendaman
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    josh why so heavy on seattle

  16. #86
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    josh why so heavy on seattle
    Look in my Invicta and nfl thread to the bottom, I breakdown the bet, Seattle gonna embarrass carolina in this game.

  17. #87
    Aye J Mac
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    Thanks bro

  18. #88
    JoshKnows46
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    Added:
    Cote/Saunders starts rounds 3 -147 Risking $600 (cote has been leaning more on his wrestling and I believe that's what he will focus on for the majority of this contest, going off of interviews, he seems to believe he can pass saunders guard, he will spend the majority of this fight inside saunders guard as he can take saunders down at will and that is a clear path to victory for him, as if its stays standing killa bee will kill him with knees and outstrike him to win a dec, though killa bee doesn't have the power to ko cote, he would outstrike him standing,saunders is slick on the ground but i dont see him subbing cote as cote hasnt been subbed since 2010, dec is the most likely outcome and who wins will depend on how long saunders can keep it standing or how long saunders stays under cote. theres one risk to this working out, is cote has power and could get a ko, but i see the majority of the fight being on the ground, so i dont see enough risk in the cote ko to warrent a hedge bet here, but if you want extra insurence on this play cote by ko is at +330, so its servicable if you decide to hedge)

    Cote/Saunders goes to 3 round dec -110 Risking $300

    Dillashaw wins in Round 1 +850 Risking $100 (cruz has terrible striking defense, see a KO early, worth a fraction of a unit.)

    Herman +200 Risking $100
    (this is based on his opp looking like a fat slob at weigh-ins, herman being rededicated, i think its a coin flip fight, herman is the better striker, also has more submission wins if tim trys to take it to the ground, tim has power advantage and wrestling advantage but i got herman a little better then him where every the fight goes, so i'll take the underdog for a fraction of a unit in what i see at a even money fight.)

  19. #89
    GoBlue77
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    Initially I was all about Pettis. Thats a no play for me now. Alvarez looks as good as I've ever seen him. Possible fight of the night material here.

    Good luck with your plays

  20. #90
    Tboonepickem
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    On these two early..as of January 3rd

    Eddie Alvarez Wins By 3 Round Dec +500 Risking $250 to win $1250

    TJ Dillashaw -140 Risking $3500 to win $2500

    Taking on that much risk, you might as well sprinkle Alvarez wins, does not go the distance at +1047, to de-risk a bit

  21. #91
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tboonepickem View Post
    Taking on that much risk, you might as well sprinkle Alvarez wins, does not go the distance at +1047, to de-risk a bit
    This is alverezs only path to victory, neither guy will finish the other.

  22. #92
    Kermit
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    Eddie and Felder my only 2 bets tonight.

  23. #93
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoBlue77 View Post
    Well you threw away money betting against Pettis I see
    Stupid fuk

  24. #94
    GoBlue77
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoBlue77 View Post
    Initially I was all about Pettis. Thats a no play for me now. Alvarez looks as good as I've ever seen him. Possible fight of the night material here.

    Good luck with your plays
    guess again tool boy.

    enjoy your 10 grand down the shitter

  25. #95
    capone1899
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    Someone needs to eat crow. What did you go down, about 11-12k the last two days?

    Time to get off coc.ky, high-horse and stop telling people how dumb they are for not agreeing with you

  26. #96
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoBlue77 View Post
    guess again tool boy.

    enjoy your 10 grand down the shitter
    Fuk you fa.ggot

  27. #97
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by capone1899 View Post
    Someone needs to eat crow. What did you go down, about 11-12k the last two days?

    Time to get off coc.ky, high-horse and stop telling people how dumb they are for not agreeing with you
    Fuk u bitch

  28. #98
    capone1899
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    Fuk u bitch
    LOL

    Cote/Saunders starts rounds 3 -147 Risking $600 L -600

    Cote/Saunders goes to 3 round dec -110 Risking $300 L -300

    Dillashaw wins in Round 1 +850 Risking $100 L -100

    Herman +200 Risking $100
    L -100


    Invicta:
    Amber Brown -705 Risking $1762.50 to win $250 W +250
    Livia Renata Souza +105 $238.10 to win $250 W +250

    NFL:
    Seattle ml +105 Risking $2500 to win $2625 L -2500 LOL


    TJ Dillashaw -140/-145..................................... . $7500 to win $5270.93 Lol -7500
    TJ Dillashaw wins inside 5 round distance +315...$500 to win $1575 L -500

    Eddie Alvarez Wins by Dec +500............................. $250 to win $1250 W +1250

    Font/Gomez WON'T go the distance -270..................... $1350 to win $500 W +500

    Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180.................. $900 to win $500 L -900

    Ross Pearson -150..................................... ....$900 to win $600 L -900
    Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700............. $100 to win $1700 L -100

    Browne by sub +600............................ $300 to win $1800*(hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 $158 to win $300) L and L -458

    O'connell +230.................................... $300 to win $690 L -300
    O'connell by ko +615.......................... $300 to $1845 (hedged withLatifi by sub at +415 $150 to win $622.50) L and L -450

    Felder wins inside distance +130.......... $300 to win $390 W +500
    Felder -240 ........................................ $1200 to win $500 W +500



    -$11,058

  29. #99
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by capone1899 View Post
    LOL

    Cote/Saunders starts rounds 3 -147 Risking $600 L -600

    Cote/Saunders goes to 3 round dec -110 Risking $300 L -300

    Dillashaw wins in Round 1 +850 Risking $100 L -100

    Herman +200 Risking $100
    L -100


    Invicta:
    Amber Brown -705 Risking $1762.50 to win $250 W +250
    Livia Renata Souza +105 $238.10 to win $250 W +250

    NFL:
    Seattle ml +105 Risking $2500 to win $2625 L -2500 LOL


    TJ Dillashaw -140/-145..................................... . $7500 to win $5270.93 Lol -7500
    TJ Dillashaw wins inside 5 round distance +315...$500 to win $1575 L -500

    Eddie Alvarez Wins by Dec +500............................. $250 to win $1250 W +1250

    Font/Gomez WON'T go the distance -270..................... $1350 to win $500 W +500

    Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180.................. $900 to win $500 L -900

    Ross Pearson -150..................................... ....$900 to win $600 L -900
    Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700............. $100 to win $1700 L -100

    Browne by sub +600............................ $300 to win $1800*(hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 $158 to win $300) L and L -458

    O'connell +230.................................... $300 to win $690 L -300
    O'connell by ko +615.......................... $300 to $1845 (hedged withLatifi by sub at +415 $150 to win $622.50) L and L -450

    Felder wins inside distance +130.......... $300 to win $390 W +500
    Felder -240 ........................................ $1200 to win $500 W +500



    -$11,058
    Suk my dick

  30. #100
    capone1899
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    Suk my dick


    Good night, bro. Joshknows....

  31. #101
    Sykes
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    well een though im Irish and I speak English in a foreign country. Ill say BkofAma noite to yaz all. Getting a bit out of hand childish for me to be honest. Spelling mistakes and all. Think Mir and Josh is solid, all the people talking shit outside them is doing exactly that. Talking shit. BkofAma Noite. Feb 29 I get back to Europe Normal place... - Roll on see yous for the next one. : )

  32. #102
    capone1899
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    Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 Dillashaw up 3 rounds to 1, cruz needs a finish to win. This ticket is already cashed
    Laugh out f-ing loud. Post of the year!!!!!

  33. #103
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by capone1899 View Post
    Good night, bro. Joshknows....
    Suck my dick some more first

  34. #104
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by capone1899 View Post
    Laugh out f-ing loud. Post of the year!!!!!
    He won, Tony weeks gave 4th and 5th to cruz, mfer was drunk, u stupid cu.nt

  35. #105
    SEKTAUR
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    Fukkin ouch

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