1. #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5218

    UFC 189: Aldo vs. McGregor (July 11, 2015)





    Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET
    Jose Aldo vs. Conor McGregor (for featherweight title)
    Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald (for welterweight title)
    Dennis Bermudez vs. Jeremy Stephens
    John Hathaway vs. Gunnar Nelson
    Thomas Almeida vs. Brad Pickett

    FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
    Matt Brown vs. Tim Means
    Brandon Thatch vs. John Howard
    Mike Swick vs. Alex Garcia
    Cody Garbrandt vs. Henry Briones

    UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET

    Neil Seery vs. Louis Smolka
    Yosdenis Cedeno vs. Cody Pfister



    Points Awarded:

    UncleChael gave THE_LOCKSMITH 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Unwritten Law gave THE_LOCKSMITH 4 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5218

    Points Awarded:

    Unwritten Law gave THE_LOCKSMITH 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  3. #3
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,935
    Betpoints: 11558

    Now this an event worth seeing and checking out!!! A stacked card from top to bottom indeed....

  4. #4
    FlipsideRM
    Summer 16
    FlipsideRM's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-11
    Posts: 10,518
    Betpoints: 3216

    Give me Conor

  5. #5
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    You could have him. Give me Jose.

  6. #6
    shabang
    shabang's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-13
    Posts: 1,815
    Betpoints: 1931

    Can't believe this fight is already here..We already have the thread up and it's happening..can't wait. No clue who to bet on. I've gone back and forth a few times but, I think I'm leaning mcgregor at this point mainly due to his surpreme overwhelming confidence. Reminds me of weidman before the fought silva for the 1st time..only not as confident.

    Excited to see garbrandt fight again. (he's tappin' vanzant)
    Last edited by shabang; 06-20-15 at 06:31 PM.

  7. #7
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    All in Conrad

  8. #8
    slayer14
    slayer14's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-12-13
    Posts: 21,853
    Betpoints: 6111

    Colin believes he is the best that has to count for something

  9. #9
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,935
    Betpoints: 11558

    Early prop ideas for value -

    Aldo by submission or decision.. Can't decide which one yet as I'm on Aldo???

    1011 Aldo wins by 5 round decision +230

    1039 Aldo wins by submission +695


    Flip side - I think Mcmouths most likely pathway to victory will be by KO or just maybe by decision.. He's a finisher so I would lean towards the KO and finish myself...

    1037 McGregor wins by TKO/KO +170

    1007 McGregor wins by 5 round decision +629

  10. #10
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 10

    My money is all over McGregor, he is very deep in Aldo's head.
    Points Awarded:

    Heyeverybody99 gave Giants007 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  11. #11
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    Play Conrad straight and Aldo by submission.

  12. #12
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,935
    Betpoints: 11558

    Quote Originally Posted by Heyeverybody99 View Post
    Play Conrad straight and Aldo by submission.
    Not a bad hedge move if you think Conartist will win..

    Straight Conster play at +115 - $100 to win $115

    Hedge insurance Aldo by Sub +695 - $20 to win $138

  13. #13
    nanderson1134
    nanderson1134's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-07-11
    Posts: 554
    Betpoints: 6285

    Can't wait for this card!!! Aldo by decision

  14. #14
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    leaning Rory mac and thomas almeida

  15. #15
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,935
    Betpoints: 11558

    Quote Originally Posted by Killer_Demo View Post
    leaning Rory mac and thomas almeida
    Agreed, Rory I think should get the better of Lawler in this one... Lawler always has a punchers chance though and I'm not completely convinced Rory has a granite chin either.. No more lucky decision wins for Robbie Lawler in this fight me tinks....

    Interesting value on props anyways..

    Ko prop isn't out yet for Robbie Lawler so next best thing is -
    Lawler wins inside distance +385


    Rory could certainly win by way of this prop as well.. Just pick Lawler apart round after round...

    1107 MacDonald wins by 5 round decision +108


    Pretty good value on this prop for playing both sides and if you think someone will finish.. Is a 5 rounder...
    1104 Fight won't go 5 round distance +100




  16. #16
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Rory Mac is my favourite fighter. He's bring that belt home, baby!! Believe that.

  17. #17
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Main event - no bet or over .. seriously..

  18. #18
    Kermit
    My Finger Smells Like Pork
    Kermit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-10
    Posts: 32,557
    Betpoints: 2611

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Rory Mac is my favourite fighter. He's bring that belt home, baby!! Believe that.
    I always knew Rory was really good, but in his last couple fights, he has definitely won my respect and made me a fan becasue of his aggressiveness. I know he lost to Robbie before, but I am going large on Rory in this one.

  19. #19
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 10

    Updated #'s from 5dimes


    Conor McGregor -130

    Jose Aldo +100
    Points Awarded:

    JIBBBY gave Giants007 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  20. #20
    bjpenn85
    bjpenn85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-11
    Posts: 5,059
    Betpoints: 16650

    rory macdonald won over woodley, so did nate m. In my opinion lawler won both of the fights against hendricks, thats subjective. Whats objective is that hendricks is a lot better than tarec, so the opponents they have met is different. at +170 i rather go with the guy that has looked best against best competition. Its also an unwritten law to go with the dog in a fight that pretty much is coin flip. Everybody loves rory now but thats morstly because he KOed tarec, do you not think lawler had done the same? i mean the big south korean guy almost did it as well. Are you really that easily persuaed?

  21. #21
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Quote Originally Posted by Giants007 View Post
    Updated #'s from 5dimes


    Conor McGregor -130

    Jose Aldo +100
    You might as well play Mcgregor by KO. No way he doesnt body kick here.

    Not sure if anyone has ever broken a rib, but breathing hurts alot.

  22. #22
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    ----not broken......but has to be hurt

  23. #23
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 10

    I just don't see how you can back Aldo in this fight now

  24. #24
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 10

    McGregor's coach, <s>@</s>John_Kavanagh, writes Conor was asleep when told Mendes had entered picture. 'They're all the same.' Went back to sleep.

  25. #25
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    Aldo +115 now

  26. #26
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,935
    Betpoints: 11558

    Quote Originally Posted by Heyeverybody99 View Post
    Aldo +115 now
    I'm waiting til fight time to bet Aldo.. Probably be +150 or more by then... Everyone is thinking Aldo will tank now with this rib injury.. It ain't broke or cracked and he will be just fine in 2 weeks..

    This is the best thing to happen for all Aldo betters.. Just wait now..

  27. #27
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I'm waiting til fight time to bet Aldo.. Probably be +150 or more by then... Everyone is thinking Aldo will tank now with this rib injury.. It ain't broke or cracked and he will be just fine in 2 weeks..

    This is the best thing to happen for all Aldo betters.. Just wait now..
    If Aldo gets to +150 ( wont happen) I will def put a little on him. Got Mcgregor at +135 for over $1000

  28. #28
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by Heyeverybody99 View Post
    Aldo +115 now
    Aldo: He looks like Shaggy from Scooby doo. "Scooby-doo, where are you?". 6 figures on Jose Aldo.

  29. #29
    JoshKnows46
    JoshKnows46's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-27-12
    Posts: 3,691
    Betpoints: 2151

    McGregor was already gonna be my biggest bet this year, don't let aldo being plus money pursued y'all decision, please... He was going to lose terribly before the rib injury, and is still going to lose terribly... This will only give him a excuse, then we'll get to double down on McGregor in the second fight at decent odds, as a result.

  30. #30
    Unwritten Law
    Unwritten Law's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-13
    Posts: 2,532
    Betpoints: -1617

    I'd be surprised to see Aldo fight but then again Dana has something up his sleeve. Probably a guaranteed win bonus, increased PPV/ticket shares, a rematch (or next title defense if he wins) in Brazil and some whores.

  31. #31
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    What's a king to a god? What's a god to a non believer?
    Points Awarded:

    mirinquads gave UncleChael 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  32. #32
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,935
    Betpoints: 11558

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    What's a king to a god? What's a god to a non believer?
    I have a few quotes from memory.....

    Everything you ever wanted is on the other side of fear - George Addair

    Start with what you have, use what you have, do what you can - Arthur Ashe

    Winning isn't everything, but wanting to win is - Vince Lombardi

    The best revenge is massive success - Frank Sinatra

    If you hear a voice in you say "you cannot believe" then by all means "believe" and that voice will be silenced.. - Jibbby

  33. #33
    mirinquads
    Eat my enormous ballsack boys
    mirinquads's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-13
    Posts: 3,927
    Betpoints: 7742

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I have a few quotes from memory.....

    Everything you ever wanted is on the other side of fear - George Addair

    Start with what you have, use what you have, do what you can - Arthur Ashe

    Winning isn't everything, but wanting to win is - Vince Lombardi

    The best revenge is massive success - Frank Sinatra

    If you hear a voice in you say "you cannot believe" then by all means "believe" and that voice will be silenced.. - Jibbby
    Baffling

  34. #34
    GR33D
    GR33D's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-25-14
    Posts: 481
    Betpoints: 4086

    Constant leg kicks to the mid, that leaves you wide open for the takedown/sub. I wonder how hurt aldo really is and is he possibly baiting Conor

  35. #35
    mirinquads
    Eat my enormous ballsack boys
    mirinquads's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-13
    Posts: 3,927
    Betpoints: 7742

    Quote Originally Posted by GR33D View Post
    Constant leg kicks to the mid, that leaves you wide open for the takedown/sub. I wonder how hurt aldo really is and is he possibly baiting Conor
    "Legkick to the midsection, Joe!"

1234 ... Last
Top