1. 02-16-15 09:09 PM #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5224

    UFC 185: Pettis vs. Dos Anjos (March 14, 2015)

    Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET
    Anthony Pettis vs. Rafael dos Anjos (for lightweight title)
    Carla Esparza vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk (for strawweight title)
    Matt Brown vs. Johny Hendricks
    Roy Nelson vs. Alistair Overeem
    Chris Cariaso vs. Henry Cejudo

    FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
    Ross Pearson vs. Sam Stout
    Roger Narvaez vs. Elias Theodorou
    Daron Cruickkshank vs. Beneil Dariush
    Josh Copeland vs. Jared Rosholt

    UFC Fight Night, 6:30 p.m. ET
    Ryan Benoit vs. Sergio Pettis
    Joseph Duffey vs. Jake Lindsey
    Germaine de Randamie vs. Larissa Pacheco



    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 07-15-15 at 04:27 PM. Reason: image does not exist
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 02-28-15 10:48 PM #2
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5224

    back to back PPV cards without a fight night in between
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 02-28-15 11:14 PM #3
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Esparza -120
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-01-15 12:07 AM #4
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    This is a good card.. Should be entertaining!!!!!

    I'll be trying Dos Anjos and Matt Brown at those odds evenly...

    No need to wait......placed...

    3/1/15 12:33am $100.00 $250.00 Pending 3/14/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1201 Matt Brown +250* vs Johny Hendricks
    3/1/15 12:32am $100.00 $335.00 Pending 3/14/15 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Rafael dos Anjos +335* vs Anthony Pettis
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-01-15 at 12:13 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-01-15 04:40 AM #5
    Unwritten Law
    Unwritten Law's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-13
    Posts: 2,532
    Betpoints: -1617

    Throwing some cash on RDA for sure! The line goes up the better, I'm taking him regardless. Dariush has some value as the dog.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 03-01-15 06:08 AM #6
    plekz
    plekz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-13
    Posts: 1,491
    Betpoints: 5746

    RDA is good up to level six, Pettis is on that seven sh!t however. I like Brown over Hendriks though, assuming he can do a good job staying on his feet, because i seriously doubt Johny is going to want to have anything to do with Brown's pressure. Johny cutting without Dolce this time aswell so he'll probably actually look good (or he'll fail miserably)
    Last edited by plekz; 03-01-15 at 06:48 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 03-01-15 11:20 AM #7
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Esparza -120
    Probably a good play and the right one Beelz... I can only imagine the line moving for Carla over these next 2 weeks.. Might be a good time to jump on this play now.. It's already jumped to -155 on 5Dimes..

    29574958-1 3/1/15 12:22pm Pending 3/14/15 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Carla Esparza -155* vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk


    Carla should handle Miss Poland...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Joann...zejczyk-101411
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-01-15 at 11:51 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 03-01-15 03:27 PM #8
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Big Country!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-01-15 04:25 PM #9
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Big Country!!
    Props that are out for this fight.. Nothing really grabs my interest.. Fight won't go distance -400 is almost a lock though...

    Alistair Overeem vs Roy Nelson - Heavyweight 3 rounds - UFC 185 propositions
    Sat 3/14 1303 Overeem / Nelson goes 3 round distance +310
    10:30PM 1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance -400
    Sat 3/14 1305 Overeem wins inside distance -116
    10:30PM 1306 Not Overeem inside distance -114
    Sat 3/14 1307 Overeem wins by 3 round decision +375
    10:30PM 1308 Not Overeem by 3 round decision -515
    Sat 3/14 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +229
    10:30PM 1310 Not Nelson inside distance -289
    Sat 3/14 1311 Nelson wins by 3 round decision +1400
    10:30PM 1312 Not Nelson by 3 round decision -3050
    Sat 3/14 1313 Overeem / Nelson draw +15000
    10:30PM 1314 Fight not a draw -45000

    I'd say if you're gonna bet on Big Country he's gonna win inside the distance at +229.. A little better then the +200 straight.. Roy wins by KO or SUB as those are his only conceivable pathways to victory... No way Fat boy Roy goes the distance and wins a decision over Reem..

    As far as I can tell Roy has become a one round fighter these days before he gasses out completely, we saw that in the Hunt fight.. Reem maybe a 2 round fighter. Lol..

    Reem by KO on the flip side I think if he is to win... Gotta wait for that prop to come out....
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-01-15 at 07:56 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-01-15 08:05 PM #10
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by Unwritten Law View Post
    Throwing some cash on RDA for sure! The line goes up the better, I'm taking him regardless. Dariush has some value as the dog.
    Dariush.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

    Dariush at 9-1 and 4 fights deep in the UFC now is a good call.. He only lost that one fight by decision. He certainly has a chance against Daron.. At +165 it's worth a try..

    Good eye Unwritten Law... I concur!!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 03-01-15 10:49 PM #11
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    I think there could be value with Sam Stout at +250.. Should be closer to even odds in my opinion.. Both 30 years old, both coming off devastating KO losses.. Stout is decent standing, has experience.. Both respond well after a loss.. Both are tough as nails and hard to finish...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Sam-Stout-9901 Ross has the power advantage and Stout maybe has the technical advantage standing..

    Gonna try this small... Thinking Stout by decision as long as he doesn't end up on his back for half the fight anyways...

    3/2/15 9:11pm $18.00 $81.90 Pending 3/14/15 9:30pm Props Fighting 1507 Stout wins by 3 round decision +455* vs Not Stout by 3 round decision


    3/1/15 11:50pm $50.00 $125.00 Pending 3/14/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 Sam Stout +250* vs Ross Pearson



    PS.. capping this card early as I don't want to be accused of leaching info off other gambling sites and or other MMA write ups.. These posts are all me before the word gets out.....
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-02-15 at 08:13 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 03-02-15 12:34 AM #12
    tebowned
    tebowned's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-14
    Posts: 91
    Betpoints: 423

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Dariush.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

    Dariush at 9-1 and 4 fights deep in the UFC now is a good call.. He only lost that one fight by decision. He certainly has a chance against Daron.. At +165 it's worth a try..

    Good eye Unwritten Law... I concur!!!!

    Jibby he lost by KO.

    Nonetheless My underdogs bets are stout and Dariush as well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-02-15 02:26 AM #13
    dawgs777
    dawgs777's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-14
    Posts: 635
    Betpoints: 1606

    matt brown and big country
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-02-15 02:40 AM #14
    mirinquads
    Eat my enormous ballsack boys
    mirinquads's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-13
    Posts: 3,927
    Betpoints: 7742

    Unbelievable that Esparza is only -155 in this spot
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-02-15 11:37 AM #15
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by tebowned View Post
    Jibby he lost by KO.
    1st round KO and not a decision loss.. Thanks for the correction.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-02-15 12:46 PM #16
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    This card really does have a bunch of potential dog wins written all over it!!!

    Another match up I've considered as a dog play.. Chris Cariaso +400 dog..

    Those are massive favorite odds for a fighter that is only 7-0 and only one fight deep into the UFC!!! Dustin Kumira is really Cejudo's only big name win thus far.. He grinded out that victory and a good win for sure building up his hype train......http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Henry-Cejudo-125297

    Granted Henry is the "Olympic stud Wrestler" going in and all, I'm still thinking he may be a little bit raw.... Most expect him to grind out a victory on the ground in this one.. I'm thinking - Chris Cariaso really has fought some of the best in the division, tons of experience over Cejudo and if he can keep this on the feet it may be to his advantage.. He has hammered out a bunch of decision wins over the years at the UFC level and will not be an easy OUT!!! .. (11 UFC fights and went 7-4 in those) http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Chris-Cariaso-16467//

    At those odds I'm gonna take a stab at this dog for 50 bucks.....

    3/2/15 1:30pm $50.00 $200.00 Pending 3/14/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1401 Chris Cariaso +400* vs Henry Cejudo
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-02-15 at 12:56 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-02-15 01:04 PM #17
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    What do you think gents? Could we all rape the bookies with another dog parlay like this? Thought to try this $5 parlay early in the game just for giggles and kicks... Nice payout if it sticks..

    3/2/15 2:01pm $5.00 $19,566.55 Pending 8 Team Parlay
    Pending 3/14/15 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Rafael dos Anjos +335* vs Anthony Pettis
    Pending 3/14/15 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Carla Esparza -155* vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk
    Pending 3/14/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1201 Matt Brown +250* vs Johny Hendricks
    Pending 3/14/15 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1302 Roy Nelson +180* vs Alistair Overeem
    Pending 3/14/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1401 Chris Cariaso +400* vs Henry Cejudo
    Pending 3/14/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 Sam Stout +250* vs Ross Pearson
    Pending 3/14/15 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1701 Beneil Dariush +135* vs Daron Cruickshank
    Pending 3/14/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1802 Jared Rosholt -280* vs Josh Copeland
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 03-02-15 01:12 PM #18
    plekz
    plekz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-13
    Posts: 1,491
    Betpoints: 5746

    How does RDA win against Pettis, like what realistic ways to victory does he have?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-02-15 02:16 PM #19
    Thor4140
    Thor4140's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-08
    Posts: 22,285
    Betpoints: 22125

    Quote Originally Posted by plekz View Post
    How does RDA win against Pettis, like what realistic ways to victory does he have?
    Pettis guts out an injury we don't know about? Cost him the fight? Other then that i have no idea. U can give me ten to one and i still wouldn't take RDA.
    Last edited by Thor4140; 03-02-15 at 05:09 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-02-15 02:19 PM #20
    Thor4140
    Thor4140's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-08
    Posts: 22,285
    Betpoints: 22125

    Impossible to bet Hendricks anymore until the weighins. The guy has a million and one excuses. Are they valid? Most likely but he brings most of the excuses on. He can prolly knock out Brown in the first round but who knows he may have to lose 70 pounds the night before the fight. Why he carries so much weight i have no idea. He looks like he should be able to make 155
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 03-02-15 02:22 PM #21
    Thor4140
    Thor4140's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-08
    Posts: 22,285
    Betpoints: 22125

    Reem is just dumb enuf to get caught by that stupid overhand right of Big Country's. I hope Big Belly loses and Dana forces him down to 205 but i think the crafty prick beats the mental midget.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 03-02-15 03:18 PM #22
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by plekz View Post
    How does RDA win against Pettis, like what realistic ways to victory does he have?
    A decision win perhaps???? Maybe even a late round KO isn't unthinkable....
    Sat 3/14 1007 Anjos wins by 5 round decision +610
    Sat 3/14 1037 Anjos wins by TKO/KO +1150


    Copy and paste -

    Division: Lightweight
    Records: Anthony Pettis (18-2), Rafael dos Anjos (23-7)
    The lightweight title fight between Anthony Pettis and Rafael dos Anjos is a true battle of contrasting styles. The champ is an absolute gunslinger, known for his absurd acrobatics and kick-focused striking. The challenger is a jack-of-all-trades and master of none who has remained a staple of the division by attacking each opponent smartly and methodically.
    While it's easy to get drunk on Pettis' amazing talent, serious doubts remain regarding his staying power as champion. His high-risk, high-reward style may be effective but can easily go awry when it comes to judges' scorecards. For a tough out like Dos Anjos, who has only been finished twice in his 30-fight career (one of those times coming via freak injury), that could spell trouble.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Dos Anjos 3 fight win streak, has won 8 of his last 9 fights in the UFC.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rafael-dos-Anjos-11675
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-02-15 at 06:42 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 03-02-15 04:05 PM #23
    plekz
    plekz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-13
    Posts: 1,491
    Betpoints: 5746

    Yeah but RDA really hasn't looked amazing in any of those fights, Pettis put away Gil and Bendo in under two rounds. And the kind of ''lnp'' Guida implemented i seriously doubt is even possible to pull off anymore on Pettis, and on the feet Pettis is alot more prolific and creative (not to mention technically sound) then RDA. RDA has an impressive streak sure, but i see Pettis finishing all of the people RDA has w's over (some of them he already finished, like Cerrone)

    How many times had Gil been finished before Pettis choked him out?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 03-02-15 04:38 PM #24
    Kermit
    My Finger Smells Like Pork
    Kermit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-10
    Posts: 32,557
    Betpoints: 2611

    I like Carla Esparza. I thought that she would be more of a favorite.

    I can also see Nelson winning by Knock Out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 03-02-15 06:20 PM #25
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by Thor4140 View Post
    Reem is just dumb enuf to get caught by that stupid overhand right of Big Country's. I hope Big Belly loses and Dana forces him down to 205 but i think the crafty prick beats the mental midget.
    Big Belly is 39 years old in 3 months, has gray hair now.. Dude is only gonna be putting on more weight from this point forward.. He never had diet discipline and it's hard to teach an old dog new tricks.. 205 is a pipe dream.... Hey but with more weight comes more power and as you get older the power is the last thing to go..

    All the fights Fat Boy Roy won in the last 3 years are by way of 1st round KO.. If Roy beats Reem it's gonna be by knock out in the first round and it's just that simple..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Roy-Nelson-10249

    More props just came out on this fight and with that being said -

    Sat 3/14 1333 Nelson wins by TKO/KO +310
    10:30PM 1334 Any other result -430

    Sat 3/14 1321 Nelson wins in round 1 +425
    10:30PM 1322 Any other result -675


    Flip side props -


    Sat 3/14 1315 Overeem wins in round 1 +185
    10:30PM 1316 Any other result -265

    Sat 3/14 1317 Overeem wins in round 2 +500
    10:30PM 1318 Any other result -900

    Sat 3/14 1329 Overeem wins by TKO/KO +110
    10:30PM 1330 Any other result -150
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 03-02-15 at 09:19 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 03-02-15 07:42 PM #26
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Anthony Pettis is a monster striker. RDA wants to stand and bang.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 03-02-15 09:31 PM #27
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Big Country KO drops to +250. He's gonna do it anyways.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 03-03-15 10:45 AM #28
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Big Country KO drops to +250. He's gonna do it anyways.
    3/14/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +350* vs Not Nelson inside distance

    Anyone grab the ITD prop at +420
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 03-03-15 11:26 AM #29
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    3/14/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +350* vs Not Nelson inside distance

    Anyone grab the ITD prop at +420
    Best bet for the Nelson fight in my mind is -

    Pending3/14/15 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Alistair Overeem/Roy Nelson Under 1½ -135*
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 03-03-15 03:52 PM #30
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    3/14/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +350* vs Not Nelson inside distance

    Anyone grab the ITD prop at +420
    Thanks. Big Country can knock this buffoon out. And I cannot fukking wait
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 03-03-15 04:41 PM #31
    Kermit
    My Finger Smells Like Pork
    Kermit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-10
    Posts: 32,557
    Betpoints: 2611

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Thanks. Big Country can knock this buffoon out. And I cannot fukking wait
    Agree.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 03-03-15 09:12 PM #32
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,082
    Betpoints: 3358

    Pettis will find the littlest of openings and make you pay. Standing: from close range or far. On the mat: from bottom or top. Clever, creative, and surgical in execution.

    I pick RDA against any LW not named Anthony Pettis (his wins over Bendo & Cerrone were definitely NOT a fluke...he IS that good...but, as Plekz noted, Pettis is at that one unattainable level higher)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 03-04-15 08:12 AM #33
    Unwritten Law
    Unwritten Law's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-13
    Posts: 2,532
    Betpoints: -1617

    Pettis is elite, yes, but RDA is red hot now too. So we'll see. I definitely think RDA can hang and maybe catch Showtime in an upset.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 03-04-15 09:18 AM #34
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,075
    Betpoints: 11874

    ^^ I'd like to see Cowboy Cerrone get another shot at Pettis and RDA.. Both those losses came 2 years ago and since then Cowboy has been on fire winning 7 straight.. I hope the loser of this fight gets Cowboy again!!!...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Donald-Cerrone-15105
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 03-04-15 02:50 PM #35
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5224

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »