[sportsbetter21]

Attempting to do a MLB totals only thread

Disclaimer: 1st year of existence so bet at your own risk. I will not make any claims of winning 100s of units at seasons send.

Theoretical bet selection: Play selection will be determined by over under streaks starting at 3 games and continuing forward. Will continue betting o/u streak until it loses. Once a streak is over, regardless of when it is, the betting series is over.
I will be using covers print sheet
http://www.covers.com/faxsheets/index.aspx

Unit size: This is NOT a chasing system. I will be betting 1% of total bankroll per play

Will welcome any suggestions once season starts. Will start after first week of season.
if you're going to say "your system sucks" during a downturn, thats fine but I will refer you to the disclaimer at the top.

[sportsbetter21]

Will be posting NBA plays until baseball starts to test format
suggestions on how to post plays is appreciated
This will be cleaned up before 1st play

3/23
Starting bankroll $1000
PHO Under 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
NY Over 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

[TechnicalTrader]

Will be posting NBA plays until baseball starts to test format
suggestions on how to post plays is appreciated
This will be cleaned up before 1st play

3/23
Starting bankroll $1000
PHO Under 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
NY Over 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Good stuff buddy. Just be very cautious during spring training. I never risk more than 0.5% of BR on any sort of ST game and actually try to stay clear from them.

If your system doesn't do well during ST, just brush it off and focus on the regular season. Get em!

[sportsbetter21]

Official plays wont start until first full week of regular mlb season
Just want to get the thread going

Good stuff buddy. Just be very cautious during spring training. I never risk more than 0.5% of BR on any sort of ST game and actually try to stay clear from them.

If your system doesn't do well during ST, just brush it off and focus on the regular season. Get em!

[sportsbetter21]

3/24 (These are NBA plays used for formatting purposes, recommendation always welcome)
Starting bankroll $1000
Current bankroll $999

Was Under 225.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Den over 218.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Pho Under 220.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Atl Under 203.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
GS Under 213.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Yesterdays results
PHO Under 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
NY Over 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Loss
Current Bankroll $999

[sportsbetter21]

3/25 (These are NBA plays used for formatting purposes, recommendation always welcome)

Cle Over 214.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Yesterdays results
Was Under 225.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
Den over 218.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Pho Under 220.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
Atl Under 203.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
GS Under 213.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss

Total Record 3-4
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $986

[sportsbetter21]

3/26 (These are NBA plays used for formatting purposes, recommendation always welcome)
Atl Under 215.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Okc Under 231.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Chi Over 202.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Ind Over 212 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
GS Under 207 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Den Over 226.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10


Yesterdays results

Cle Over 214.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Win
Total Record 4-4
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $996

[sportsbetter21]

3/27
Cle over 211.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
okc/dal under 203.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Uta over 198.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win

Yesterdays results
Atl Under 215.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Okc Under 231.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win10 loss
Chi Over 202.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Ind Over 212 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
GS Under 207 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Den Over 226.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss

Total Record 7-7
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $993

[sportsbetter21]

3/28
cha over 199 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

atl under 217 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

gs under 236 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

port under 222.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Yesterdays results
Cle over 211.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
okc/dal under 203.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Uta over 198.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
Total Record 8-9
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $981

Last edited by sportsbetter21

[sportsbetter21]

3/29
atl under 212.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
cha over 202 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
bos over 209.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
mem under 196 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
dal under 201 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
gs under 208 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
uta over 194.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Wash over 218.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Yesterdays results
cha over 199 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win

atl under 217 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win

gs under 236 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win

port under 222.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss

Total Record 11-10
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $ 1000

[sportsbetter21]

3/29
atl under 212.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
cha over 202 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
bos over 209.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
mem under 196 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
dal under 201 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
gs under 208 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
uta over 194.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Wash over 218.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win

Yesterdays results
cha over 199 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
atl under 217 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
gs under 236 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
port under 222.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss


Total Record 15-14
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $ 996

[sportsbetter21]

3/30

Det Under Win
Chi Over Loss

Yesterdays results
atl under 212.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
cha over 202 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
bos over 209.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
mem under 196 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
dal under 201 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
gs under 208 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss
uta over 194.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win
Wash over 218.5 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 win

Total Record 16-15
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $ 995

[sportsbetter21]

3/31
Cha Over (streak #5) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
phi Under (streak #3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Det Under (streak #4) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Sac Under (streak #4) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10
Was Over (streak #4) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Total Record 16-15
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $ 995

[Waterstpub87]

If you aren't considering pitcher in a baseball game, especially a total, you are bound to lose. If you insisted on doing something foolish like betting streaks, it might be better to go with starting pitchers instead of just teams.

[sportsbetter21]

Will start posting play Wednesday April 4
Will be looking at over under streaks starting at 3 games and beyond

[sportsbetter21]

I hear ya and given that plenty of thought but how many times have kershaw pitched a shutout only to have the dodgers score 6 runs when the o/u is 5.5? or two #5 starters in the rotation playing ot coors field pitch the games of their lives and the score is 1-0

If i knew the magical formula of picking winners, id be rich

If you aren't considering pitcher in a baseball game, especially a total, you are bound to lose. If you insisted on doing something foolish like betting streaks, it might be better to go with starting pitchers instead of just teams.

[sportsbetter21]

Im sure there is some mathematical relationship between pitches ERA and WHIP and the O/U and certain linesmakers have already accounted for that. This is why I put a disclaimer on the first post to bet at your own risk.

I hear ya and given that plenty of thought but how many times have kershaw pitched a shutout only to have the dodgers score 6 runs when the o/u is 5.5? or two #5 starters in the rotation playing ot coors field pitch the games of their lives and the score is 1-0

If i knew the magical formula of picking winners, id be rich

[sportsbetter21]

Attempting to do a MLB totals only thread

Disclaimer: 1st year of existence so bet at your own risk. I will not make any claims of winning 100s of units at seasons send.

Theoretical bet selection: Play selection will be determined by over under streaks starting at 3 games and continuing forward. Will continue betting o/u streak until it loses. Once a streak is over, regardless of when it is, the betting series is over.
I will be using covers print sheet
http://www.covers.com/faxsheets/index.aspx

Unit size: This is NOT a chasing system.
Bet 1(Streak game #4): Risking 1.1% to win 1%
bet 2(Streak game #5): Risking 1% to win 0.90%
Bet 3(Streak game #6): Risking 1.1% to win 1%
Bet 4(Streak game #7): Risking 2.2% to win 2%
Bet 5(Streak game #8): Risking 2.2% to win 2%
Bet 6(Streak game #9) and beyond risking 3.3% to win 3%

Will welcome any suggestions once season starts. Will start after first week of season.
if you're going to say "your system sucks" during a downturn, thats fine but I will refer you to the disclaimer at the top.

[sportsbetter21]

Todays plays
4/6
SF Over 9 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push
ARI Over 9 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push

Total Record 0-0-2
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $ 1000

[csavoia]

I am claiming ignorance. Is the over three the runs he will allow?

[sportsbetter21]

I am claiming ignorance. Is the over three the runs he will allow?

I cleaned the thread up
I realize they are playing each other but they both have over streaks of 3 starting todays game

[sportsbetter21]

Todays plays
4/7
SF Over 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push
tor under 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push
tb under 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push

Yesterdays results
4/6
SF Over 9 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push
ARI Over 9 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Push

Total Record 0-0-2
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $ 1000

[sportsbetter21]

Todays plays
4/8

SF over 7 (Streak total 4)10 to win 9.09
col under 9 (Streak total 3)1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Det over 9 (Streak total 3)1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

LAA Under 8 (Streak total 3)1% of bankroll 11 to win 10

Yesterdays results

SF Over 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Yesterdays resultswin

tor under 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Yesterdays resultsloss

tb under 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss



Total Record 1-2-2
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $988

[csavoia]

So, Again, what is the actual bet?
Is it San Fran over 8 team runs?
please please explain what the pick actually is. I still don't understand. Even though you explained it it clearly is still screwing me up. Can anyone please help?
thank you.

[csavoia]

I checked April 6 picks. It says San Fran over 9 a push. How the hell is that a push?
they scored three runs?
am I the stupid one here?
arizona over 9 a push? Yes. they scored nine runs. That I get. Please tell me what the hel the pick is in that game that made San Fran a push.

[csavoia]

This clearly is as weird a results list as it gets.
You have April 7 pick to say SF over 8
then for the results you say SF over 7 being a win. They scored six runs!!!!
how is that a win?
sportsbetter please explain this system clearer please!!!!!!!

[sportsbetter21]

will try and clear up some confusion

I am betting continuing streaks of GAME totals, not specific team totals

Todays plays
4/8


SF over 7 (Streak total 4)10 to win 9.09 Explanation: SF vs SD the game total is 7. Since score is 2-1 for a total of 3 runs this is a LOSS. Betting stops on any SF total until they either have a streak of 3 over or under.

col under 9 (Streak total 3)1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Explanation: col vs LAD the game total is 9. Since the score is 4-2 this is a WIN. Tomorrow will be col vs lad under (streak total will be 4 since this is a win)
Det over 9 (Streak total 3)1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Loss (score was 4-1 for total of 5)
LAA Under 8 (Streak total 3)1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 current score is 2-1 in 3rd. at this rate this will probably lose


Yesterdays results

SF Over 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Yesterdays resultswin
tor under 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 Yesterdays resultsloss
tb under 8 (Streak total 3) 1% of bankroll 11 to win 10 loss



Total Record 1-2-2
Starting bankroll $1000
Current Bankroll $988

[sportsbetter21]

This is the first year of existence BET AT OWN RISK
if you are not sure how it works do not bet!!!!
There are better more proven systems and cappers here

So, Again, what is the actual bet?
Is it San Fran over 8 team runs?
please please explain what the pick actually is. I still don't understand. Even though you explained it it clearly is still screwing me up. Can anyone please help?
thank you.

[csavoia]

So then you are actually betting the over or under in the game because I know of no Sportsbook that lets you bet a streak like that?
i think that's what you're doing but I have no theory as to why you would bet the under twice when teams are playing each other.
Mom this I havent a clue what you are doing.
Many chance you can show me a bet with the bet amount shadowed out of the picture?

[sportsbetter21]

im currently out of town at a funeral but coming home today where i can work off my desktop instead of this chromebook.
I just realized Ive a tracking error or two so thanks for pointing it out

seeing this is only a week old, i can fix everything when i get home tonight,but to try and give you a generic answer to some of your questions:
1. im betting on game totals only
2. look at the fax/print sheet from covers http://www.covers.com/faxsheets/index.aspx
If you look all the way to the right it shows you the totals and the streak length. This is what im using to determine bet selection. If the total streak is greater than 3 then i betting on it.
3. if two teams are playing each other and they both have an over/under total of three im making 2 bets, one for each team. Basicly betting to win two units

I have no idea if this will be profitable and i am not going guarntee it either. I back tested it on last years numbers and it produced 40+ units. As much as i would love to spend hours on end checking out records, numbers, starting pitcher,era, whip,etc..... i dont have time for that and its not worth it to make a $10 bet. I check out the fax report, find my plays, make the bet, post it here all in under 5 min.

I would strongly suggest you check out double dime and technical trader mlb picks and post
they have a few 1000 post to their credit and their picks seem legit over last few mlb seasons

[sportsbetter21]

check out
http://www.sportsdirectinc.com/outpu...s/mlb_game.pdf

atl vs pit over
wash vs phi over
lad vs col under
mia vs nym over