Originally Posted by
44 Mag
Brother, I never understood the "reliever" plays thing, but BOL to you.
Thanks my friend. Good luck to you also
Here is a copy of the post from my season thread that explains the Reliever Plays:
Good afternoon,
All my years handicapping I have always tried to find an edge that bookmakers have missed. For example, in baseball the starting pitcher used to be a greater factor in determining the line than it is now. Of course, "back in the day", starters would go 8 or 9 innings, now they're lucky to go 6 innings. So as the years went on, I would start to figure the bullpen stats more and more into my handicapping. I still feel to this day, the bookmakers make their line based mostly on the starters, which brings me to my point. Though I look at many different factors in determining a total, I have seen a trend this year based on relievers. I look at the last 3 days and see how rested the middle relievers and closers are. When I see they are not rested and look at no other factors, over 58% of the games have gone over so far this year. I wish I had just given out just those games, but when I factor in other data, it has taken me off many of those games.
Therefore, JUST FOR TRACKING PURPOSES, I will give out the games that are based solely on the relievers.
Good luck
Last edited by doubledime; 05-04-16 at 04:3