1. #106
    BaseballChaser
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    LT if you were in charge of the Cubs rotation would you start Lester tonight on 3 days rest, so he could also start a potential game 7? Push Lackey to game 5.

  2. #107
    Brooklyn Dick
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    LT, what do have the Toronto price at please?

  3. #108
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaseballChaser View Post
    LT if you were in charge of the Cubs rotation would you start Lester tonight on 3 days rest, so he could also start a potential game 7? Push Lackey to game 5.
    No, rotation seems fine right now with Hendricks/Arrieta lined up for Games 6-7. It's nice when your staff is good enough that you can use 4 starters and pitch them all on normal rest throughout.

    Regardless, I like Dodgers to win World Series.

  4. #109
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brooklyn Dick View Post
    LT, what do have the Toronto price at please?
    Again I forgot to post 60%er.

    Toronto 63% (-170)

  5. #110
    eddycash
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    LT don't jinx my dodgers future play

  6. #111
    dirtycash66
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    LT you really sucked at baseball this year 😡

  7. #112
    POOLSIDE
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Regardless, I like Dodgers to win World Series.
    Has the team that's knocked the Blue Jays out of the playoffs ever not won the World Series? This is a very important statistic to add to the model.

    For real though, the extra rest is good/bad/doesn't matter for the Indians?

  8. #113
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by POOLSIDE View Post
    Has the team that's knocked the Blue Jays out of the playoffs ever not won the World Series? This is a very important statistic to add to the model.

    For real though, the extra rest is good/bad/doesn't matter for the Indians?
    It certainly helps them set up their rotation anyway they want. But the problem is whoever wins the NL will still have the better rotation overall, putting pressure on Kluber to win all of his starts.

  9. #114
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    LT you really sucked at baseball this year ��
    I don't know, I still see a + sign YTD.

  10. #115
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    LT don't jinx my dodgers future play
    I still like Dodgers at 2-2 because I suspect I will be on them every game. Would be much easier if they win at home tonight though with Kershaw going on full rest in Game 6.

  11. #116
    LT Profits
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    MLB Play Thursday

    THURSDAY, 10/20
    Dodgers +147 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 451-462-25, +4.76

    Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
    Playoffs: 9-11-2, -1.05

  12. #117
    Cubbereer
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    Hey LT, just out of curiosity, what does the model say?

  13. #118
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cubbereer View Post
    Hey LT, just out of curiosity, what does the model say?
    Cubs 55% (-122), 7.6

  14. #119
    juicername
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    With an estimated total of 7.6 it's almost value at over 7?

  15. #120
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    With an estimated total of 7.6 it's almost value at over 7?
    Not really unless I get an nice + number, like +115.

  16. #121
    POOLSIDE
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    Line is up to +157 at heritage. Thoughts?

  17. #122
    LT Profits
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    MLB Play Saturday

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Dodgers / Cubs UNDER 6.5 -120 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 451-463-25, +3.76

    Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
    Playoffs: 9-12-2, -2.05

  18. #123
    getlucky2win
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    We laying -130 on Clayton? What numbers u get for side and total?

  19. #124
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by getlucky2win View Post
    We laying -130 on Clayton? What numbers u get for side and total?
    I like Dodgers but am not betting them. I never lay -130 or more, but even of line dips below that, I still wouldn't bet due to huge variance from my model.

    Dodgers 62% (-163), 5.2
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  20. #125
    getlucky2win
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    I probably end up with small bet on la. What did model have for last game u took him at -121?

  21. #126
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by getlucky2win View Post
    I probably end up with small bet on la. What did model have for last game u took him at -121?
    Also 62% (makes sense with pitching rematch at Wrigley) but another variable I did not mention is the RLM on this game that was not there in Game 2. CUBS had the higher % of bets that game, whereas I am seeing 62% on Dodgers tonight as of now and yet line dropped 5 cents at Pinny.
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  22. #127
    getlucky2win
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    I am seeing 59pct cubs at free spot insights. Do u pay for any of these services?

  23. #128
    eddycash
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    Under rather than Dodgers? I dunno LT

  24. #129
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by getlucky2win View Post
    I am seeing 59pct cubs at free spot insights. Do u pay for any of these services?
    Every site uses different sources, I use Sports Options and they are now at 58% Dodgers

  25. #130
    LT Profits
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    MLB Play Tuesday

    TUESDAY, 10/25
    Cubs -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 452-463-25, +4.76

    Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
    Playoffs: 10-12-2, -1.05

  26. #131
    Nateboogy
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    Are these plays still following model?

  27. #132
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nateboogy View Post
    Are these plays still following model?
    Yeppir, although I'll occasionally accept less variance.

  28. #133
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yeppir, although I'll occasionally accept less variance.
    What's a "Yeppir" ???

  29. #134
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    What's a "Yeppir" ???
    Yez'm

  30. #135
    Snake24
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    TUESDAY, 10/25
    Cubs -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 452-463-25, +4.76

    Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
    Playoffs: 10-12-2, -1.05
    I was hoping you were on the under...

  31. #136
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    I was hoping you were on the under...
    I get 6.9, so nothing there

  32. #137
    LT Profits
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    Who would have thought the line would move against the Cubs, and this is just the second time I bet them all year.

  33. #138
    eddycash
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    Do you still like the play?

  34. #139
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Do you still like the play?
    Yes I do, especially with the DH.

  35. #140
    eddycash
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    Im nervous lol dunno if i should pull the trigger

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