1. 07-23-16 02:01 PM #1
    Jship07
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    Linear Regression / Ensemble Model Plays Keeping Track

    Moving into the second half of the MLB Season we are running 3 models full time. Coded in R

    1. A Linear Regression model that identifies whether or not the Home Team will win or lose.
    2. An Ensemble Model that identifies whether or not the Home Team will win or lose.
    3. We merged these two models together to give us a combined output on whether or not the Home Team will win or lose.

      Working a Linear Regression model on player performance to get a true price on games.

      Im going to try to post plays by 9 west coast every morning, First Half of the season was a great success (only using team data stats) up 21 units. Im posting only plays the merged model indentifies. Lets see how we do

      Todays plays
      Mia -47
      Cinn +10
      Ny +03
      Stl +09
    Points Awarded:

    surfpunk17 gave Jship07 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  2. 07-23-16 02:05 PM #2
    VegasPlayer
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    Finally. A hybrid model enters the sports betting market. Hope you enjoy continued success.
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  3. 07-23-16 05:43 PM #3
    Jship07
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    add White Sox +10
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  4. 07-24-16 10:51 AM #4
    Jship07
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    Mia +13
    Was -80
    Tor -57
    Oak +18
    Min +60
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  5. 07-24-16 11:10 AM #5
    thekoreanmang
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    Prob would be helpful viewing the thread if you kept records.
    Thanks for sharing your picks.
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  6. 07-24-16 11:26 AM #6
    Jship07
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    Will try to report daily record and profit. But i will for sure do weekly. I bet my product and these r the numbers i got it at
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  7. 07-25-16 08:33 AM #7
    Jship07
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    7-23 Sat. +.10
    7-24 Sun. -1.62

    ytd -1.52
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  8. 07-25-16 01:06 PM #8
    Jship07
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    Philly +40
    Oak +19
    Angles +05
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  9. 07-26-16 10:20 AM #9
    Jship07
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    7-25 Mon. +1.45

    Nyy +30
    Dodgers -33
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  10. 07-27-16 10:30 AM #10
    Jship07
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    7-26 Tues. +2.30

    Dodgers -80
    Bal -53
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  11. 07-28-16 11:01 AM #11
    Jship07
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    7-27 Wed. -3.33

    Angels +58
    Kc +55
    Min -05
    Dbacks +25
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  12. 07-29-16 10:56 AM #12
    Jship07
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    7-28 Thur. +.58

    Yanks +08
    Reds -02
    Clev -60
    Min +08
    Card -05
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  13. 07-30-16 10:01 AM #13
    Jship07
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    7-29 Fri. +3.08

    Oak +61
    Mets -40
    Hou +20
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  14. 07-30-16 01:38 PM #14
    Jship07
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    Added

    Mia +08
    Mil +32
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  15. 07-31-16 11:15 AM #15
    Jship07
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    Rockies +90
    Det +30
    Min -20
    Angels -15
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  16. 08-01-16 01:37 PM #16
    Jship07
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    Mon.+1.45
    Tues.+2.30
    Wed. -3.33
    Thur +.58
    Fri. +3.08
    Sat -1
    Sun +.15
    Week 7-25 thur 7-31 +3.23
    ytd +1.71
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  17. 08-01-16 03:48 PM #17
    Jship07
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    Brewers -15
    Hou +05
    Min +90
    Royals +30
    cubs -77
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  18. 08-02-16 08:50 AM #18
    Jship07
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    8-1 Mon. +4.1
    ytd +5.81
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  19. 08-02-16 01:11 PM #19
    tallwhiterussian
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    Great picks yesterday that Minn. was amazing..
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  20. 08-02-16 07:19 PM #20
    Jship07
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    sorry for the no post. games that still havnt gone off

    Col +25
    Oak +135
    Tor +47
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  21. 08-02-16 07:19 PM #21
    Jship07
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    games that went off

    Cinn +40
    Kc +10
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  22. 08-03-16 09:54 AM #22
    Jship07
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    8-2 Tues +4.22
    ytd +10.03
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  23. 08-03-16 10:12 AM #23
    Jship07
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    Sd +30
    Philly +50
    Whitesox +10
    Dodgers +10
    Yanks +10
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  24. 08-03-16 04:43 PM #24
    tallwhiterussian
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    jship you still like Philly with the pitching change?
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  25. 08-03-16 05:48 PM #25
    Jship07
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    Sorry im late yes im off the philly game
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  26. 08-03-16 05:49 PM #26
    Jship07
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    i got off the game due to listed pitchers and no i dont like
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  27. 08-03-16 06:13 PM #27
    SlickRick1382
    If hustlin' is a must; be Sosa, not Tony
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    what's the +10 etc at the end of the teams? Just the shortened version of +110? or whatever their line is?
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  28. 08-03-16 06:59 PM #28
    Jship07
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    yup slickrick
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  29. 08-04-16 09:44 AM #29
    Jship07
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    8-3 Wed +.4

    Sea +25
    Det -20
    Philly +15
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  30. 08-04-16 09:46 AM #30
    tallwhiterussian
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    Thank you for your picks !!!!!
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  31. 08-05-16 05:19 PM #31
    Jship07
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    8-4 Thur -3.2

    Red sox +30
    Min +22
    Oak +90
    Sd -10
    Ari -20
    Sf +45
    Det -34
    Mia -10
    Pit -45
    Sea -75
    Hou -80
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  32. 08-05-16 05:20 PM #32
    Jship07
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    Open Market today !!!!
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  33. 08-06-16 09:14 AM #33
    Jship07
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    8-5 Fri +4.42
    ytd 11.65
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  34. 08-06-16 11:01 AM #34
    Mxs1332
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jship07 View Post
    8-5 Fri +4.42
    ytd 11.65
    Hey Jship

    Congrats on making the hybrid model. Any plans to share your plays in the near future? I see that you post some but are lacking on others

    Cheers

    Last edited by Mxs1332; 08-06-16 at 12:19 PM.
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  35. 08-06-16 01:17 PM #35
    Jship07
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    Ya mxs1332 I share everyday I try to post in the morning when im by a comp.

    Today

    Mil +25
    Reds +35
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