1. 07-05-16 07:18 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Tuesday, 7/5/16

    5 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Red Sox -1.5 +110 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Orioles / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 6.5 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 242-260-12, -11.33
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  2. 07-05-16 07:58 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    Lots of 60%ers Tuesday:

    Cubs 72% (-257)
    Washington 62% (-163)
    Toronto 64% (-178)
    Cleveland 62% (-163)
    Mets 61% (-156)
    Boston 71% (-245)
    Tampa Bay 62% (-163)
    Houston 61% (-156)
    Dodgers 63% (-170)
    Giants 71% (-245)

    Note that I have not run Pittsburgh/St. Louis game. There was a late pitching change and I have to enter info for new Pirates first-time starter before running.
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  3. 07-05-16 08:27 AM #3
    jjgold
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    LT second half of year is when you will rally

    will be perfect time
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  4. 07-05-16 09:40 AM #4
    Snake24
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    LT, model thoughts on White Sox?
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  5. 07-05-16 09:50 AM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    LT, model thoughts on White Sox?
    Yankees 58% (-138)

    I didn't bet Yanks because I hate the line movement
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  6. 07-05-16 11:29 AM #6
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    3 MLB Additions

    8 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Tigers / Indians UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Red Sox -1.5 +110 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Yankees / White Sox UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 5 -115 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
    Orioles / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 6.5 +100 (Heritage)
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  7. 07-05-16 11:41 AM #7
    trobin31
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    Unders have to be sharp today, I looked at board and not one game seemed like it could stay under the total today.
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  8. 07-05-16 12:13 PM #8
    jjgold
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    LT profits if things get rough in the fall I know some loansharks in Pennsylvania

    It's only 20% a month
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  9. 07-05-16 12:22 PM #9
    jforster101
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    LT any value on San Diego? Arizona's 14-31 at home I believe and last time out Friedrich shut them out for 7 innings i believe.
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  10. 07-05-16 12:29 PM #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by jforster101 View Post
    LT any value on San Diego? Arizona's 14-31 at home I believe and last time out Friedrich shut them out for 7 innings i believe.
    Not too much, I get Zona 55% (-122). I get that Pades are smidgeon higher than that but I would need at least +132 just to consider them.
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  11. 07-05-16 01:26 PM #11
    BeatTheJerk
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    Hang in there LT you got this as far as your ytd ..... I hope you're feeling better with your health concerns.
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  12. 07-05-16 02:00 PM #12
    Brock Landers
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    Who fuckin plays unders In Boston when Price starts???
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  13. 07-05-16 02:10 PM #13
    funnyb25
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    Thw model spits out last year's numbers for games this year. Hasn't adjusted price since 2015
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  14. 07-05-16 02:28 PM #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Thw model spits out last year's numbers for games this year. Hasn't adjusted price since 2015
    Totally FALSE and yet you keep posting that same thing over and over.
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  15. 07-05-16 02:31 PM #15
    funnyb25
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    U seen price pitch this season? I'm curious how the under can be a play along with redsox rl with Price. Guy is VERY bad
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  16. 07-05-16 02:37 PM #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Who fuckin plays unders In Boston when Price starts???
    Price will be fine. He has a K% of a 26.3% and a BB% of 5.5%. That difference of 20.8% is eighth best in the Major Leagues. But guys like you only look at ERA and think he sucks.
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  17. 07-05-16 02:40 PM #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    U seen price pitch this season? I'm curious how the under can be a play along with redsox rl with Price. Guy is VERY bad
    I just replied to Brock regarding Price. As long as he maintains his K/BB ratio, he should turn things around. And fact that I have a -1.5 and an Under should give you an idea that Price is the entire key to both plays.
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  18. 07-05-16 02:43 PM #18
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I just replied to Brock regarding Price. As long as he maintains his K/BB ratio, he should turn things around. And fact that I have a -1.5 and an Under should give you an idea that Price is the entire key to both plays.
    What about your other heroes like archer, urias, Nola, smyly, keuchel? They have to be out by now. Every play with those 4 have been a loss, no joke. Like 0-25 with them but they continue to be plays
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  19. 07-05-16 03:52 PM #19
    Brock Landers
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Price will be fine. He has a K% of a 26.3% and a BB% of 5.5%. That difference of 20.8% is eighth best in the Major Leagues. But guys like you only look at ERA and think he sucks.
    you like that 9 when the line is now 9.5?

    Please, Price has been pure garbage
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  20. 07-05-16 03:56 PM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    What about your other heroes like archer, urias, Nola, smyly, keuchel? They have to be out by now. Every play with those 4 have been a loss, no joke. Like 0-25 with them but they continue to be plays
    I won with Keuchel the last time i played him. I won a 5-inning play with Urias in his previous start before last night. Check your facts next time before you post And in the end, I am ONLY down 11 units after 500 plays. I will be fine and finish in the black like I usually do.
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  21. 07-05-16 04:06 PM #21
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I won with Keuchel the last time i played him. I won a 5-inning play with Urias in his previous start before last night. Check your facts next time before you post And in the end, I am ONLY down 11 units after 500 plays. I will be fine and finish in the black like I usually do.
    I want you to win. Believe me...but did you just really give me 2 times 2 of those 5 pitchers won ONCE? That's like 2 out of at least 30 with those dudes. But I do wish you the best on your plays as always sir, just the stubbornness is nearly unbearable...
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  22. 07-05-16 04:11 PM #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    I want you to win. Believe me...but did you just really give me 2 times 2 of those 5 pitchers won ONCE? That's like 2 out of at least 30 with those dudes. But I do wish you the best on your plays as always sir, just the stubbornness is nearly unbearable...
    It's not "stubbornness", it is trying to be ahead of the positive regression when the peripherals suggest that it is coming.
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  23. 07-05-16 04:18 PM #23
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    It's not "stubbornness", it is trying to be ahead of the positive regression when the peripherals suggest that it is coming.
    Fair enough...BOL
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  24. 07-05-16 04:21 PM #24
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    gotta love this thread when one of the biggest squares like brock is trying to make a point...
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  25. 07-05-16 06:13 PM #25
    Rich Boy
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    Price lead off homer lol
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  26. 07-05-16 06:17 PM #26
    Rich Boy
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    Bos -1.5 and Under already fked, nice!!!
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  27. 07-05-16 06:18 PM #27
    mikefan1034
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    LT u need to leave. Price really? Ur model is beyond broken
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  28. 07-05-16 06:20 PM #28
    funnyb25
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    Price!!!!!!!!
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  29. 07-05-16 06:21 PM #29
    Rich Boy
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    HR,Single,Walk,Single

    HR or double next boys?
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  30. 07-05-16 06:22 PM #30
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Price will be fine. He has a K% of a 26.3% and a BB% of 5.5%. That difference of 20.8% is eighth best in the Major Leagues. But guys like you only look at ERA and think he sucks.
    Silly
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  31. 07-05-16 06:23 PM #31
    JJJ
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    another losing day keep up the great work LT
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  32. 07-05-16 06:29 PM #32
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I just replied to Brock regarding Price. As long as he maintains his K/BB ratio, he should turn things around. And fact that I have a -1.5 and an Under should give you an idea that Price is the entire key to both plays.
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  33. 07-05-16 06:44 PM #33
    Brock Landers
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Price!!!!!!!!
    maybe the worst starting pitcher on their staff
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  34. 07-05-16 06:45 PM #34
    JJJ
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    under in Indians with Anibal Sanchez and the horrid Tigers bullpen lol
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  35. 07-05-16 06:47 PM #35
    JJJ
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    guys but Anibal Sanchez has a .40 times exf times the square root of 3 divided by 1.5 should give him 3.2 strikeouts which outweighs his exq rate of 3 divided by 12 plus the square root of 7 so I have the under as a play
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