1. #1
    Broke Homey
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    Broke's MLB picks....

    5/15

    YTD 23 - 40 - 2

    -$729 -7.29 units

    Instead of clogging up the board, this will be the only thread. I might jump on some over night lines. Another books dream with the 1 run games last night but were still not to bad off. If we paid/played juice bets we would be buried, but we live another day. Another big card tomorrow with write ups on my wagers. Good Night!

    Money Line 225 234 Baseball - 902 Washington Nationals +104
    Spread 100 183 Baseball - 904 Philadelphia Phillies -1½ +183
    Money Line 100 118 Baseball - 905 San Diego Padres +118
    Money Line 100 163 Baseball - 915 Chicago White Sox +163
    Spread 225 320 Baseball - 918 Cleveland Indians -1½ +142
    Money Line 225 225 Baseball - 924 Boston Red Sox -100
    Money Line 100 159 Baseball - 926 Texas Rangers +159
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-15-16 at 12:45 AM.

  2. #2
    Broke Homey
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    Spread 100 162 Baseball - 920 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +162
    Spread 300 321 Baseball - 922 Baltimore Orioles -1½ +107
    Money Line 306 309 Baseball - 924 Boston Red Sox +101
    Spread 200 214 Baseball - 930 Kansas City Royals -1½ +107
    Money Line 300 303 Baseball - 924 Boston Red Sox +101
    *Waiting for cubs line.

  3. #3
    44 Mag
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    BOL today BH.

  4. #4
    Broke Homey
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    BOL today BH.
    Ty 44 and you as well! I really messed up on a BOS wager as you can see, started using Heritage (love it so far) and the line moved while i wagered a 2nd time getting ML +101 to +103. It was blinking red, so i thought it canceled and went back to re wager at +103. It moved back to +101 (i am watching the line to see if the RL gets +) so i wagered it again thinking first 1 canceled, Obviously not fml. I never go over 5units on a single bet, serves me right being greedy to get both sides lol.
    BH

  5. #5
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    Ty 44 and you as well! I really messed up on a BOS wager as you can see, started using Heritage (love it so far) and the line moved while i wagered a 2nd time getting ML +101 to +103. It was blinking red, so i thought it canceled and went back to re wager at +103. It moved back to +101 (i am watching the line to see if the RL gets +) so i wagered it again thinking first 1 canceled, Obviously not fml. I never go over 5units on a single bet, serves me right being greedy to get both sides lol.
    BH
    Be careful. This guy O'Sullivan is good to give up 5 or 6 runs easy. The young kid for Houston can be shutdown. Tough pick. Boston has the mo.....Home, Ortiz etc. BOL .

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Be careful. This guy O'Sullivan is good to give up 5 or 6 runs easy. The young kid for Houston can be shutdown. Tough pick. Boston has the mo.....Home, Ortiz etc. BOL .
    I am showing 4.4 - 7.8 Boston. That being said it means nothing, Cubs showed close to same yesterday and it went 8-2, Showed 6.6 -1.8 Boston yesterday, but the grand slam in the 2nd blew that out. Cant add the shit happens variable in ever, wish i knew how. I just look for big R/L edges with +$$. Was thinking of hedging some how but o/u @ 10.5 and juiice both sides its not for me.
    BH

  7. #7
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    Spread 500 735 Baseball - 908 Chicago Cubs -1½ +147

  8. #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    I am showing 4.4 - 7.8 Boston. That being said it means nothing, Cubs showed close to same yesterday and it went 8-2, Showed 6.6 -1.8 Boston yesterday, but the grand slam in the 2nd blew that out. Cant add the shit happens variable in ever, wish i knew how. I just look for big R/L edges with +$$. Was thinking of hedging some how but o/u @ 10.5 and juiice both sides its not for me.
    BH
    Valid point, but shit happens does not apply to shit pitchers, LOL. Bucholtz sucks, this guy today is just plugged in until they 2 starters back. He is a run machine. BOL though.

  9. #9
    Broke Homey
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    Broke's MLB picks....
    5/15

    YTD 23 - 40 - 2

    -$729 -7.29 units



    Final Card as of now.......Enjoy the mix!


    Cubs -1.5 @ +147 500/735

    Rays +162 100/162

    Bal -1.5 @ +107 300/321

    * I messed up on this following wager ( i suggest 3 units 1 time bet)
    Bos +101 306/309
    Bos +101 300/303
    Bos -100 225/225

    KC -1.5 @ +117 200/214

    Wsh +104 225/234

    Phi -1-5 @ +183 100/183

    SDP +118 100/118

    CWS +163 100/163 *I may lay another unit on this before 1pm.

    CLE -1.5 @ +142 225/320

    Tex +159 100/159

    * watching Sea/STL lines. I also jumped at cubs rl when it opened at +147, i thought it would go down but its at +157 now as i post, and i will not put any more on it today.

    BOL!
    BH


  10. #10
    Broke Homey
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Valid point, but shit happens does not apply to shit pitchers, LOL. Bucholtz sucks, this guy today is just plugged in until they 2 starters back. He is a run machine. BOL though.
    Machines break and wood structures stay around for 100's of years.

    I'll get flamed for saying it but, The guy who introduced me to MLB wagering (he was a book from Hoboken/Jersey City NJ) tought me about fading juiced ML (the public) and hitting RL for -1.5 since 70% of games end 2+ runs. He ground in my head how wood wins games and pitchers save them. The public bets juice with pitchers and the public is stupid. When you bet R/L wood and lose, you lose your bet say 1 unit. You bet juice and lose now its your bet and juice, always chasing, but you cant figure the "shit happens variable in", thats why i always use that saying. This is the platform which works for me and has been.

    The NYY used this theory for a nice 80+ yr run, but I was also sure in the 2004 AL Championship Series game 4 in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs. I asked my girl at the time to marry me i was so happy! We were, and all other NYY fans were dancing in the stadium. You could feel the floor moving under your feet, I should of hedged that penetrating bet also.

    I had the right combo last night with 1 on and Ortiz up (which is what i wanted) and he did his job, but 6-6 he needed only a base hit to pull the win. If i could get -1 instead of -1.5 i would be a very wealthy person. But those 30% 1 run win games happen, a couple nights ago a 16 game card day went 8 games by 1 pt. Those are books dream days.

    My point is 44, for example look at JJgold's spread sheet he is @ 50.5%/51% win rate over time and down 18 dimes. I am lop sided as penetrate last week under 40% win rate and down -7.29 units, fading juice is a bad week from being disastrous.

    Anyway, hope i do not get spanked on that messed up wager and GL to you today!
    BH
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-15-16 at 12:08 PM.

  11. #11
    Broke Homey
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    Tanaka looks shook already, pissed i didnt lay 1 more unit.

  12. #12
    Broke Homey
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    They need to pull O'sullivan now!

  13. #13
    Broke Homey
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    They need to pull O'sullivan now!
    Called that 1 saw it coming

  14. #14
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Be careful. This guy O'Sullivan is good to give up 5 or 6 runs easy. The young kid for Houston can be shutdown. Tough pick. Boston has the mo.....Home, Ortiz etc. BOL .
    Unreal !!!!!

  15. #15
    Broke Homey
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Unreal !!!!!
    I think some divine intervention came my way there. That kid for Houston isnt scared, throwing fire right down town, I like him. Whats his name Davenski?

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    I think some divine intervention came my way there. That kid for Houston isnt scared, throwing fire right down town, I like him. Whats his name Davenski?
    9 runs in the 3rd. Maybe i should of taken the over to hedge?

  17. #17
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Unreal !!!!!
    O'Sullivan gives up another homer.

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    O'Sullivan gives up another homer.
    nice hit on Bos tt, but i am rooting ya lose on Hou TT +5. Ill mail ya the unit if this holds

  19. #19
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    Cubs -1.5 @ +147 500/735 -500

    Rays +162 100/162 -100

    Bal -1.5 @ +107 300/321 -300

    * I messed up on this following wager ( i suggest 3 units 1 time bet)
    Bos +101 306/309 +309
    Bos +101 300/303 +303
    Bos -100 225/225 +225

    KC -1.5 @ +117 200/214 +214

    Wsh +104 225/234 -225

    Phi -1-5 @ +183 100/183 -100

    SDP +118 100/118 -100

    CWS +163 100/163 *I may lay another unit on this before 1pm. -100

    CLE -1.5 @ +142 225/320 -225

    Tex +159 100/159 +159

    * watching Sea/STL lines. I also jumped at cubs rl when it opened at +147, i thought it would go down but its at +157 now as i post, and i will not put any more on it today.

    -$440 / -4.4 units for the day
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-15-16 at 05:57 PM.

  20. #20
    crackerjack
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    Wow...you're really, really bad.

  21. #21
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    5/15

    YTD 25 - 47 - 2

    -$1169 /-11.69 units

    Love how the haters only come out when you have a couple bad days. I was going to make a play at the 8pm game, but i am just going to lick my wounds and go back at it tomorrow. I am however going to cut back on some of my 3 unit/5 unit wagers being down over a dime until i turn it around. Good night!
    BH

  22. #22
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    5/16

    YTD 25 - 47 - 2

    -$1169 /-11.69 units

    Good morning! I took these overnight lines. As of now they have not moved, but i may add .5 unit to some and thinking about 1 more game. Enjoy the tunes....

    5/15/2016 4:22PM Spread 150 198 Baseball - 952 Pittsburgh Pirates -1½ +132 for Game
    5/15/2016 4:22PM Spread 200 304 Baseball - 955 Boston Red Sox -1½ +152 for Game
    5/15/2016 4:22PM Spread 200 284 Baseball - 964 Cleveland Indians -1½ +142 for Game
    5/15/2016 4:22PM Spread 150 191 Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +127 for Game

    Bol!
    BH

  23. #23
    Broke Homey
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    *Added 1 unit to Boston, and did a small 1 parlay on the 2 biggest RL differentials of the day. Still looking at 1 more game, but unless the line moves to my favor a few pts i will fade it.
    5/16/2016 5:07AM Spread 100 142 Baseball - 955 Boston Red Sox -1½ +142 for Game
    5/16/2016 5:13AM Parlay 100 427 Baseball - 955 Boston Red Sox -1½ +145 for Game
    Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +115 for Game
    ​BH

  24. #24
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    Final card for 5/16

    BOS -1.5 @ +142 100/142 ppd
    BOS -1.5 @ +152 200/304 ppd

    PIT -1.5 @ +132 150/198

    CLE -1.5 @ +142 200/284

    LAD -1.5 @ +127 150/191

    * 1 unit parlay * 100/427 ppd
    BOS -1.5 +145
    LAD -1.5 +115

    BOL!
    BH

    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-16-16 at 05:18 PM.

  25. #25
    chargers4222
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    good luck BH! think you get blazing hot starting tonight

  26. #26
    Broke Homey
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    Quote Originally Posted by chargers4222 View Post
    good luck BH! think you get blazing hot starting tonight
    TY! I hope so, been eating a lot of crow this past few days. Bol to you're night also!
    BH

  27. #27
    Broke Homey
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    Final card for 5/16

    BOS -1.5 @ +142 100/142 ppd
    BOS -1.5 @ +152 200/304 ppd

    PIT -1.5 @ +132 150/198

    CLE -1.5 @ +142 200/284

    LAD -1.5 @ +127 150/191

    * 1 unit parlay * 100/427 ppd
    BOS -1.5 +145
    LAD -1.5 +115

    BOL!
    BH

    ADD ons since BOS cancelled 3 bets.
    5/16/2016 3:02PM Spread 100 162 Baseball - 958 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +162 for Game
    5/16/2016 3:02PM Spread 100 147 Baseball - 960 Detroit Tigers -1½ +147 for Game
    * I am doing the next 3 wagers to hedge something.
    5/16/2016 3:12PM Total 106 103 Baseball - 961 Texas Rangers/Oakland Athletics over 8½ -103 for Game
    5/16/2016 3:12PM Team Total 100 110 Baseball - 951 Atlanta Braves team total over 3½ +110 for Game
    Team Total 100 100 Baseball - 952 Pittsburgh Pirates team total over 4½ +100 for Game
    BH

  28. #28
    Broke Homey
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    *for fun
    5/16/2016 3:42PM Parlay 100 1238 Baseball - 958 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +160 for Game
    Baseball - 960 Detroit Tigers -1½ +145 for Game
    Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +110 for Game

  29. #29
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    5/16/2016 3:14PM Spread 100 178 Baseball - 966 Arizona Diamondbacks -1½ +178 for Game
    5/16/2016 3:02PM Spread 100 167 Baseball - 962 Oakland Athletics -1½ +167 for Game
    5/16/2016 5:24PM Parlay 100 363 Baseball - 961 Texas Rangers +126 for Game
    Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 for Game
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-16-16 at 08:43 PM.

  30. #30
    Broke Homey
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    5/16/2016 5:23PM Parlay 100 1284 Baseball - 962 Oakland Athletics -1½ +150 for Game
    Baseball - 966 Arizona Diamondbacks -1½ +170 for Game
    Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 for Game

  31. #31
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    5/16/2016 6:58PM Spread 100 107 Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +107 for Game

  32. #32
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    CLE -1.5 @ +142 200/284 +284

    PIT -1.5 @ +132 150/198 +198

    BOS -1.5 @ +142 100/142 PPD
    BOS -1.5 @ +152 200/304 PPD

    LAD -1.5 +127 150/191 -150
    LAD -1.5 +107 100/107 -100

    DET -1.5 +147 100/147 +147

    TOR -1.5 +162 100/162 -100

    ARI -1.5 +178 100/178 +178

    OAK -1.5 +167 100/167 +168

    PIT O/U +4.5 +100 100/100 +100

    ATL TT O/U +3.5 +110 100/110 +110

    TEX/OAK O/U +8.5 -103 106/103 -103

    *parlays

    OAK -1.5 @ +150
    ARI -1.5 @ +170
    LAD -1.5 @ +105 100/1284 -100

    TOR -1.5 @ +160
    DET -1.5 @ +145
    LAD -1.5 @ +110 100/1238 -100

    TEX +126
    LAD -1.5 @ +105 100/363 -100

    BOS -1.5 @ +145 100/427 PPD
    LAD =1.5 @ +115

    5/16 Totals 7-7 +$432 / +4.32 units

    YTD....... 32-54.... -$737 / -7.37 units
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-17-16 at 01:34 AM.

  33. #33
    Broke Homey
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    5/17

    YTD.. 32-54

    -$737/-7.37 units

    On the right track, could of been better and could of been a amazing day. If i dont bet the small parlays i +$300/+3 units more up. If they hit we are in the green by 15+ units, penetrating Dodgers up by 2 in the 2nd then trail by 1 until the 7th giving 3 more. They put 3 more up in the 7th (1) and 8th (2) but at least 2 times left men in scoring position with 2 outs. Oh, well it was an exciting game for me.

    When CIN put up 4 by the 3rd, i thought CLE was not showing up again. So i started to hedge with the O/U bets. The A's O/U +8.5 was a surprise to not go anywhere near it, but maybe that turned out a good thing.
    5-2 in game picks, 2-3 in O/U and 0-3 with the parlays. We live another day, climbing out of the whole and 15 games tomorrow.
    Good Night!
    BH
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-17-16 at 02:15 AM.

  34. #34
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    5/17/2016 2:21PM Spread 100 119 Baseball - 901 Miami Marlins -1 +119 buying ½ for Game
    5/17/2016 2:28PM Spread 150 183 Baseball - 904 Pittsburgh Pirates -1½ +122 for Game
    5/17/2016 2:28PM Spread 384 300 Baseball - 926 Cleveland Indians -1½ -128 for Game
    5/17/2016 2:29PM Spread 200 226 Baseball - 914 Baltimore Orioles -1 +113 buying ½ for Game
    5/17/2016 2:32PM Spread 200 254 Baseball - 921 Boston Red Sox -1½ +127 for Game
    5/17/2016 2:32PM Spread 100 174 Baseball - 920 Chicago White Sox -1 +174 selling 2½ for Game
    5/17/2016 2:32PM Spread 100 152 Baseball - 918 Detroit Tigers -1½ +152 for Gam
    5/17/2016 0:19AM Spread 350 324 Baseball - 907 Chicago Cubs -1½ -108 for Game
    5/17/2016 2:32PM Money Line 100 137 Baseball - 915 Tampa Bay Rays +137 for Game
    5/17/2016 2:29PM Spread 200 238 Baseball - 901 Miami Marlins -1 +119 buying ½ for Game
    5/17/2016 2:32PM Spread 100 117 Baseball - 905 Washington Nationals -1 +117 selling 2½ for Game

  35. #35
    Broke Homey
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    5/17 YTD 32-54

    -$737 / -7.37 u

    MIA -1 @ +119 200/238 -200
    MIA -1 @ +119 100/119 -100
    PIT -1.5 @ +122 150/183 +183
    CLE -1.5 @ -128 384/300 +300
    BAL -1.5 @ +113 200/226 -200
    BOS -1.5 @ +127 200/254 -200
    CHW -1 @ +174 100/174 -100
    DET -1.5 @ +152 100/152 +152
    CUB -1.5 @ -108 350/324 -350
    TBR +137 100/137 .........+137
    WSH -1 @ +117 100/117 -100
    ARI -1.5 @ +162 200/324 -200
    LAA +1 @ +202 300/606 -300
    OAK TT +3.5 +100 100/100 +100
    LAA +1 @+202 100/202 -100

    *parlay
    SDP +170
    OAK -1 @+164 100/613 -100

    BOL!
    BH
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 05-18-16 at 03:30 AM.

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