1. #1
    Chi_archie
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    Time to start fading Jake Arrieta

    superman is coming back to earth slowly

    you can see the signs if you look past all the bluster and media blowjobs

    last year the guy had more than 3 walks one time the entire year.


    over his last 4 starts, Jake has had more than four walks on 3 separate occasions

    he's been very inefficient outside of the walk, getting his pitch count up so that he had to be yanked after 5 innings in two out of his last three starts.

    I think Pittsburgh gets it done today
    Points Awarded:

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  2. #2
    smitch124
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    Had to get off the juice for an upcoming test?

  3. #3
    19th Hole
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    ChiGuy
    Not sure if you're doing a triple reverse switcheroo here...
    BUT
    The Cubs get it done.




    BOL Always

  4. #4
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    ChiGuy
    Not sure if you're doing a triple reverse switcheroo here...
    BUT
    The Cubs get it done.




    BOL Always
    yeah no doubt..... but i'm thinking fading Jake on the ML and RL will be profitable for the rest of the season.

    tired/dead arm is coming for this guy after that huge innings increase last year.

    he's starting to show signs already.

    wind going to be blowing out to right today. Over could be a good play if it is 8.0 or 8.5

  5. #5
    d2bets
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    So just take the over. Fading Arrieta means fading the Cubs offense too, which owns Pitt pitching and Locke in particular. Cubs love the wind blowing out.

    And you're grasping for straws. Last start was off because they had the wrong catcher. One of those 4 walk starts was a fukkin no hitter.

    Those last 4 starts where he's been so bad because he's walked 14....he's also allowed 11 hits in 26 innings. He's as difficult to hit as ever. .159 BAA leads the league and is better than last season.

    Keep fading, I mean I guess you'll win eventually.

    I like Cubs RL -115 today.

  6. #6
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    wind going to be blowing out to right today. Over could be a good play if it is 8.0 or 8.5
    come on, come on

  7. #7
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Cubs are 5-0 in Arrietas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.
    Pirates are 0-4 in Lockes last 4 road starts vs. Cubs.

    i know trends are meant to be broken but lol pass on this game.

  8. #8
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    come on, come on
    O8.5-105.

    Go for it. Seems like a tricky wind today. Swirling. Definitely windy, but not a typical warm blowing out day. It's cold.

  9. #9
    jjgold
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    Since Archie lives in Chicago I will take this recommendation very very seriously

  10. #10
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    Cubs are 5-0 in Arrietas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.
    Pirates are 0-4 in Lockes last 4 road starts vs. Cubs.

    i know trends are meant to be broken but lol pass on this game.
    Locke sucks on the road, sucks against the Cubs generally, horrible pitcher vs. batter vs. Cubs, and a flyball pitcher into the wind. Arrieta is in the Pirates' head.

    This looks like another 9-4 Cubs win.

  11. #11
    Smoke
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    stop

  12. #12
    iloseagain
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    i would agree with you if the cubs offense sucked. however, it doesnt. and they score 9 runs with ease every game. over and cubs rl

  13. #13
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Locke sucks on the road, sucks against the Cubs generally, horrible pitcher vs. batter vs. Cubs, and a flyball pitcher into the wind. Arrieta is in the Pirates' head.

    This looks like another 9-4 Cubs win.
    yeah i'm thinking about taking the runline.

  14. #14
    chico2663
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    i did last game and he was down 3-1. went out thinking i'm in the money and they won 4-3

  15. #15
    Chi_archie
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    Pittsburgh team total over 3 -125!

  16. #16
    Sweatin da Bet
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    i would agree with you if the cubs offense sucked. however, it doesnt. and they score 9 runs with ease every game. over and cubs rl
    The Cubs have only scored 9 or more runs in 6 games this year. I would not say that is every game with ease, 6 out of 34

  17. #17
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    So what's the play with the cubs

  18. #18
    StackinGreen
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    I started to see signs of this too ... but it's all about the ML

    Maybe, as d2 points out, the play is the OVER

  19. #19
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sweatin da Bet View Post
    The Cubs have only scored 9 or more runs in 6 games this year. I would not say that is every game with ease, 6 out of 34
    ok it was an exaggeration. thanks for being so literal

  20. #20
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    ok it was an exaggeration. thanks for being so literal
    You should have said 7 runs and you'd be at about half of the games, and plenty to win the RL, given that the Cubs have allowed 6+ only 5 times all season.

  21. #21
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    fyi, chi archie is a pitt homer... just sayin' and d2bets knows about the cubs.

  22. #22
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    I'm playing the Cubs,white sox,game 1 wash Marlins parlay

  23. #23
    klemopixx
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    There's better plays out there than fading Arrieta

  24. #24
    goduke
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    Locke is such garbage though

  25. #25
    jjgold
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    It looks appealing though when you look at those lines when you bet against Jake

  26. #26
    NyanCat
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    How can you fade Arrieta.. him and the Cubs is such an easy . Free money

  27. #27
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by NyanCat View Post
    How can you fade Arrieta.. him and the Cubs is such an easy . Free money

  28. #28
    GreatWallofTrump
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    I think today is the day. +250.

  29. #29
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by GreatWallofTrump View Post
    I think today is the day. +250.
    how many times have people said this?

    Main reason i dont think they lose today is cubs will not lose 3 of their last 4 HOME games, especially with Arrieta on the mound at home.. But GL if you fade the money train

  30. #30
    pimike
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    YES!!!

  31. #31
    Chi_archie
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    big position on Pirates +2.5 -135

  32. #32
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    big position on Pirates +2.5 -135
    Glutton for punishment.

  33. #33
    iloseagain
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    8-1 final today

  34. #34
    Chi_archie
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    walk #1

    I like Kang's approach

    guy might get 2 hr's and another walk of this guy today

  35. #35
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    walk #1

    I like Kang's approach

    guy might get 2 hr's and another walk of this guy today
    Walk here and there don't hurt when they can't square you up.

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