1. #1
    MrMannix
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    MLB RPI Chase 2016

    Found this rpi system from 2011. Haven't seen any records last few years. Gonna track it to see how it plays out:
    This betting system (not mine) was used in 2011 and went 89-1. Please read all of the points carefully and if you have any questions I'll try to answer the best I can.
    1) This is a series chase. DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series.
    2) How to pick a series (pre all star game): Check the upcoming series against the ESPN RPI rankings. If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase. If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.
    Filters:
    1) If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
    2) Losing streaks: Big losing streaks by the better RPI team..dont play the series.
    3) Teams going in obivious opposite directions in the W/L column, you can take the series even in off a point or two on the RPI.
    4) Injuries: Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt.
    5) In a 4 Game Series, if and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a 4 game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically banking on the team to win one of the next 3 as well.
    6) Do NOT take a team that is .500 or below no matter how far off the RPI is.
    7) If the team with the higher RPI is playing Back to Back TWO (2) game series, take the chase as if playing a 4 game series versus a lesser opponent. Both teams MUST mee the RPI qualifications before the first game of the first 2 game series.
    8) POST ALL STAR GAME RPI DIFFERENCE NEEDED: 35 Home and 42 for Visiting team
    Money Management 1. Use a modified martingale approach. Here's an example using a -200 line: A BET: $60 to WIN $30. Lets say it loses... B BET: $180 to WIN $90. You have essentially covered your first loss and still going for a $30 win. Let's assume this loses... C BET: Bet the EXACT same amout to win as "A" Bet. So "C" game bet would be $60 once again. You don't have to do this all the time and you're right in thinking that the series will lose you money, BUT it saves your bankroll in case of a series sweep.
    NOTES (from system creator): 65% (series) consistently win within the "A" game and 26% (series) will win with the "B" game. So approximately 90-91% of ALL series within the MLB RPI system will win with these A &B bests and those winnings and future winnings will absorb the "C" games. In 2011, only 8 of all series played went to "C" game and only one lost.
    2011 STATS:
    A Game wins: 58
    B Game wins: 23
    C Game wins: 8
    Losses: 1

    Will track it as traditional chase to win 1 unit.
    Will not play if team has lost 4 in a row.
    Will not play if team has 3 wins or worse for last 10 games.
    Will not play if starting pitcher, major reliever(i.e. Closer), or major starting player is injured, suspended, etc. for 1st game of series.
    Starting with the series that start on May 2.

    Let's see how this goes!
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-02-16 at 03:04 PM.
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  2. #2
    MrMannix
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    Record 0-0
    0 Units
    A= 0-0
    B= 0-0
    C= 0-0

    5/2
    CHC(A)+120, risking 1 unit
    NYM(A) -200, risking 2 units
    PHI(A) +155, risking 1 unit
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-02-16 at 06:29 PM.

  3. #3
    MrMannix
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    Record 2-0
    +1.2 Units
    A= 2-1
    B= 0-0
    C= 0-0
    Open series= 1


    5/2 Results:
    CHC(A)+120, risking 1 unit= Win
    NYM(A) -200, risking 2 units=Win
    PHI(A) +155, risking 1 unit= Loss

  4. #4
    MrMannix
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    5/3
    BAL(A) -120, to win 1 unit
    CHW(A) -140, to win 1 unit
    PHI(B) +130, risking 2 units

  5. #5
    SteezW
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrMannix View Post
    5/3
    BAL(A) -120, to win 1 unit
    CHW(A) -140, to win 1 unit
    PHI(B) +130, risking 2 units
    3 for 3. Very nice

    Do you have a link to the 2011 system and results?

  6. #6
    MrMannix
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    Record 5-0
    +5.8 Units
    A= 4-1
    B= 1-0
    C= 0-0


    5/3 Results:
    BAL(A) -120, to win 1 unit= Win
    CHW(A) -140, to win 1 unit= Win
    PHI(B) +130, risking 2 units= Win


    5/4
    No Plays
    Points Awarded:

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  7. #7
    MrMannix
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteezW View Post
    3 for 3. Very nice

    Do you have a link to the 2011 system and results?
    Only the record. I've been interested in RPI filters since the JM system has used it but haven't found a system that uses it proficiently. Found this one on reddit & seemed plausible. Couldn't find any other records on it after 2011, where it went 89-1. They said someone was running it on covers but couldn't find any evidence of that so I figured I'd run it in here for 2016 to see how it goes. Tough to back track because do rpi #'s.
    i wouldn't suggest blindly playing these here. For tracking purposes but I will be capping some of these plays & playing on some if I like em.
    Also- the caveats after the record in the system explanation are added filters I placed to solidify some of the looser aspects of the system(i.e. Losing streaks)

  8. #8
    MrMannix
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    Probable NYM play tomorrow

  9. #9
    MrMannix
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    Record 5-0
    +5.8 Units
    A= 4-1
    B= 1-0
    C= 0-0

    5/5
    NYM(A) -175, to win 1 unit
    SEA(A) -110, to win 1 unit

  10. #10
    MrMannix
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    Probable play on CHW & slim possibility of BAL & BOS tomorrow, 5/6.

  11. #11
    MrMannix
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    Record 6-0
    +6.8 Units
    A= 5-2
    B= 1-0
    C= 0-0
    Open Series: 1(-1.75 units)


    5/5
    NYM(A) -175, to win 1 unit= Loss
    SEA(A) -110, to win 1 unit= Win

  12. #12
    MrMannix
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    Record 6-0
    +6.8 Units
    A= 5-2
    B= 1-0
    C= 0-0
    Open Series: 1(-1.75 units)


    5/6
    BOS(A) Even, risking 1 unit
    CHW(A) -130, to win 1 unit
    SEA(A) -120, to win 1 unit
    NYM(B) -150, to win 2.75 units

    I missed that SEA had 4 game series with HOU, so after winning the 1st game they would qualify as another A play for the remaining 3 games.
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-06-16 at 11:16 PM.

  13. #13
    MrMannix
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    Record 6-0
    +7.8 Units
    A= 6-4
    B= 1-1
    C= 0-0
    Open Series: 3(-8.1 units)




    5/6 Results:
    BOS(A) Even, risking 1 unit= Loss
    CHW(A) -130, to win 1 unit= Win
    SEA(A) -120, to win 1 unit= Loss
    NYM(B) -150, to win 2.75 units= Loss

  14. #14
    MrMannix
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    Record 6-0
    +7.8 Units
    A= 6-4
    B= 1-1
    C= 0-0
    Open Series: 3(-8.1 units)


    5/7
    BOS(B) -130, to win 2.3 units
    SEA(B) +135, risking 2.2 units
    NYM(C) -145, to win 7.3 units

  15. #15
    MrHappy
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    Good job. Keep up the hard work.

  16. #16
    MrMannix
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    Record 8-0
    +10.8 Units
    A= 6-4
    B=1-2
    C= 1-0
    Open Series: 1(-4 units)

    5/7 Results:
    BOS(B) -130, to win 2.3 units= Loss
    SEA(B) +135, risking 2.2 units= Win
    NYM(C) -145, to win 7.3 units= Win
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-08-16 at 09:11 AM.

  17. #17
    MrMannix
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    Record 8-0
    +10.8 Units
    A= 6-4
    B= 1-2
    C= 1-0
    Open Series: 1(-4 units)


    5/8
    BOS(C) -105, to win 5 units
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-08-16 at 09:11 AM.

  18. #18
    MrMannix
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    Looking at WAS, MIA, CHC, CLE, & BAL for tomorrow.

  19. #19
    MrMannix
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    Record 9-0
    +11.8 Units
    A= 6-4
    B= 1-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0

    5/8 Results:
    BOS(C) -105, to win 5 units= Win

  20. #20
    MrMannix
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    Record 9-0
    +11.8 Units
    A= 6-4
    B= 1-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0

    5/9
    MIA(A) -240, to win 1 unit
    CHC(A) -240, to win 1 unit
    CLE(A) -120, to win 1 unit
    BAL(A) Even, risking 1 unit

  21. #21
    MrMannix
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    A lot of plays today, a few with heavy juice. Worries me a bit.
    Wondering if the plays are gonna ease off a little. At this rate we may well be way over the 90 plays that were tracked in 2011.

    Also, WAS would apply but they are coming off of a 4 game sweep at the hands of the Cubs. I don't see them having a problem winning 1 against a reeling DET team. Won't be official for tracking purposes though.
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-09-16 at 03:28 PM.

  22. #22
    MrMannix
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    Record 10-0
    +12.8 Units
    A= 7-5
    B= 1-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 1(-1.2 units)

    5/9 Results:
    MIA(A) -240, to win 1 unit= Win
    CHC(A) -240, to win 1 unit= Postponed(will start on 5/10- doubleheader on 5/11)
    CLE(A) -120, to win 1 unit= Loss
    BAL(A) Even, risking 1 unit= Postponed(series canceled due to no rescheduling of this game in the series)
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-10-16 at 03:01 PM.

  23. #23
    MrMannix
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    Record 10-0
    +12.8 Units
    A= 7-5
    B= 1-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 1(-1.2 units)

    5/10
    PHI(A) Even, risking 1 unit
    CHC(A) -265, to win 1 unit
    CLE(B) +105, risking 2.2 units
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-10-16 at 06:24 PM.

  24. #24
    MrMannix
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    Record 13-0
    +16.1 Units
    A= 9-5
    B= 2-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0


    5/10 Results:
    PHI(A) Even, risking 1 unit= Win
    CHC(A) -265, to win 1 unit= Win
    CLE(B) +105, risking 2.2 units= Win

    5/11
    No Plays

  25. #25
    MrMannix
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    BAL & BOS probable for 5/12. Both are 4 game series- possibly 2 plays if A play wins.
    Looking at CHC, CHW, & CLE for 5/13.
    Last edited by MrMannix; 05-11-16 at 04:42 PM.

  26. #26
    MrMannix
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    Record 13-0
    +16.1 Units
    A= 9-5
    B= 2-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0

    5/12
    BAL(A) -170, to win 1 unit
    BOS(A) -140, to win 1 unit
    Both 4 game series.
    Points Awarded:

    MrHappy gave MrMannix 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  27. #27
    MrHappy
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    Looking forward to being able to double down on these 2 series. Keep it up.

  28. #28
    MrMannix
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    Record 15-0
    +17.1 Units
    A= 11-5
    B= 2-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0


    5/12 Results:
    BAL(A) -170, to win 1 unit= Win
    BOS(A) -140, to win 1 unit= Win

  29. #29
    MrMannix
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    Record 15-0
    +17.1 Units
    A= 11-5
    B= 2-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0

    5/13
    CHC(A) -155, to win 1 unit
    BAL(A) -150, to win 1 unit
    BOS(A) -150, to win 1 unit
    CLE(A) -160, to win 1 unit

  30. #30
    MrMannix
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    CHW were right on the edge of a play but just 2 points shy.
    They should be a strong play with Sale pitching off of 2 team losses.
    Severino pitched well against the Sox but has only faced them once in his career & Chicago has been hitting lefties very well this year. Only thing that worries me is that the Yanks bats have heated up lately.
    Just 1 play on CHW for me here but not chasing it.

  31. #31
    MrMannix
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    Record 18-0
    +20.1 Units
    A= 14-6
    B= 2-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 1(-1.5 units)

    5/13 Results:
    CHC(A) -155, to win 1 unit= Win
    BAL(A) -150, to win 1 unit= Win
    BOS(A) -150, to win 1 unit= Loss
    CLE(A) -160, to win 1 unit= Win
    Points Awarded:

    MrHappy gave MrMannix 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  32. #32
    MrMannix
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    Record 18-0
    +20.1 Units
    A= 14-6
    B= 2-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 1(-1.5 units)


    5/14
    BOS(B) -130, to win 2.5 units

  33. #33
    MrMannix
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    Record 19-0
    +21.1 Units
    A= 14-6
    B= 3-2
    C= 2-0
    Open Series: 0


    5/14 Results:
    BOS(B) -130, to win 2.5 units= Win

    5/15
    No Plays

  34. #34
    cala56
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    Good luck, i Will check it.

  35. #35
    MrMannix
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    Probable plays on BOS & PIT(4 game series) for 5/16 and CHC & CHW for 5/17.

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