1. #1
    spankmythighs
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    MLB Systems 2016

    Well a month of MLB is almost here. Time for some system plays.

    +.500 Home Chaser

    Teams >.500 home series 3 game chase using RL and ML. If its a 3 game stand, start from game 1. If its a 4 game stand, wait to see if they lose first game then proceed to chase on remaining 3 games. Take ML if odds are < -150. If greater than -150 take RL.

    +.500 Shutout Chase

    Teams >.500 who are shutout chase for 3 games after for a win. Pretty simple. Any losses are incorporated in to future chases.

  2. #2
    spankmythighs
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    For the shutout system, use ML if odds are -150 or better otherwise use RL if they are a heavy favorite. If for some reason they are a heavy dog, use +1.5 as long as it is better than -150

  3. #3
    spankmythighs
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    Shutout

    BAL B bet +115 to win 2 units

    Home Chase

    WAS B bet -1.5 +100 to win 2 units
    LAD B bet -1.5 +115 to win 2 units

  4. #4
    spankmythighs
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    April 27th
    Shutout
    BAL B bet to win 2 units WINNER

    Home Chase
    WAS B bet -1.5 to win 2 units LOSS

  5. #5
    spankmythighs
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    April 28th
    Shutout
    WAS A bet -1.5 +135 risk 1 unit

    Home Chase
    WAS C bet -1.5 +135 risk 4 units

  6. #6
    spankmythighs
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    LAD still pending

  7. #7
    spankmythighs
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    April 28th
    Home Chase
    BAL A bet ML -130 to win 1 unit
    CHI CUBS B bet RL -135 to win 2 units

  8. #8
    spankmythighs
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    LAD lost last night so they were a C bet tonight to win 4 units.

  9. #9
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    April 28th
    Home Chase
    BAL A bet ML -130 to win 1 unit---WIN
    CHI CUBS B bet RL -135 to win 2 units---WIN

  10. #10
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    April 28th
    Shutout
    WAS A bet -1.5 +135 risk 1 unit---LOSS

    Home Chase
    WAS C bet -1.5 +135 risk 4 units---LOSS

  11. #11
    spankmythighs
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    April 29th
    Shutout
    WAS B bet

    Home Chase
    Chi Cubs A bet RL -1.5 -105 to win 1 unit
    Pitt A bet RL -1.5 +140
    Phi A bet RL +1.5 -105
    Bos A bet ML -105
    NYM A bet ML -140
    Tex A bet ML +100
    STL A bet ML +115
    Sea A bet RL -1.5 +140
    LAD A bet RL -1.5 +135

  12. #12
    spankmythighs
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    Was B bet is RL -1.5 +140

  13. #13
    spankmythighs
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    Any series loss is recouped in next over next 7 series.

  14. #14
    spankmythighs
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    April 29th
    Shutout
    Adding STL ML +120 A bet

  15. #15
    spankmythighs
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    Add 1 unit to first 7 series today to recoup WAS series loss

  16. #16
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    April 29th
    Shutout
    WAS B bet---LOSS

    Home Chase
    Chi Cubs A bet RL -1.5 -105 to win 1 unit---WIN
    Pitt A bet RL -1.5 +140---WIN
    Phi A bet RL +1.5 -105---WIN
    Bos A bet ML -105---WIN
    NYM A bet ML -140---WIN
    Tex A bet ML +100---WIN
    STL A bet ML +115---LOSS
    Sea A bet RL -1.5 +140---LOSS
    LAD A bet RL -1.5 +135---LOSS
    Pretty good day. Won 6 of our 9 home chases yesterday.

  17. #17
    spankmythighs
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    April 30th

    Shutout
    WAS C bet ML +125 to risk 4 units
    KC A bet ML -105 to win 1 unit

    Home Chase
    STL B bet ML -135 to win 2 units
    Sea B bet ML -105 to win 2 units
    LAD B bet RL -1.5 +110 risk 2 units

  18. #18
    spankmythighs
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    Recap April 30th
    Shutout
    Was C bet ML +125---WIN
    KC A bet ML -105---LOSS

    Home Chase
    STL B bet ML---LOSS
    Sea B bet ML---WIN
    LAD B bet RL---LOSS

  19. #19
    spankmythighs
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    May 1st
    Shutout
    KC B bet ML +114

    Home Chase
    STL C bet ML +103 to win 4 units
    LAD C bet RL -135 to win 4 units

  20. #20
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    May 1st
    Shutout
    KC B bet ML +114---WIN

    Home Chase
    STL C bet ML +103 to win 4 units---LOSS
    LAD C bet RL -135 to win 4 units---LOSS
    Couple of home chase losers. Both will be recouped in next few series.

  21. #21
    spankmythighs
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    May 2nd

    Shutout
    No plays

    Home Chase
    Pitt ML -105 A bet to win 2 units
    NYM odds not listed yet
    KC ML -110 A bet to win 2 units

    Recoup 1 unit per series

  22. #22
    spankmythighs
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    Odds for NYM A bet RL -1.5 +105 to win 2 units

  23. #23
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    may 2nd

    shutout
    no plays

    home chase
    pitt ml -105 a bet to win 2 units---loss
    nym odds not listed yet
    kc ml -110 a bet to win 2 units---loss

    recoup 1 unit per series
    nym rl -1.5---win

  24. #24
    spankmythighs
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    May 3rd
    Shutout
    KC A bet

    Home Chase
    KC B bet to win 4 units
    Pitt B bet to win 4 units
    Balt A bet to win 2 units
    CWS A bet to win 2 units

  25. #25
    bking79
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    whats the win lose record

  26. #26
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by bking79 View Post
    whats the win lose record
    I will update today

  27. #27
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    May 3rd
    Shutout
    KC A bet---WIN

    Home Chase
    KC B bet to win 4 units---WIN
    Pitt B bet to win 4 units---LOSS
    Balt A bet to win 2 units---WIN
    CWS A bet to win 2 units---WIN
    Good night last night!

    May 4th
    Shutout
    NYM A bet RL -1.5 +110 to win 1 unit
    Home Chase
    Pitt C bet to win 8 units ML +115

  28. #28
    spankmythighs
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    I will be keeping track of official sweep system plays here aswell. So far it is 2-0 on the year.

    Official Sweep
    Det B bet +1.5 -130 to win 2 units

  29. #29
    spankmythighs
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    Just a heads up. The Official Sweep system is 54-0 since the beginning of 2014. That is ridiculous!!

  30. #30
    Matty Mo
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    Explain official sweep? It's only game two of Det/Clev today

  31. #31
    spankmythighs
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    So the official sweep is when a team was previously swept as Det was a few weeks ago against Cleveland and then meet again. As long as the RPI is within .015 when they meet for their rematch, you take the team that was previously swept to win at least one game in the new series.

  32. #32
    spankmythighs
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    So Det lost last night so we take them tonight to recoup last nights loss and win 1 unit.

  33. #33
    spankmythighs
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    Take a Det +1.5 as a B bet @-130

  34. #34
    Matty Mo
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    Cool.. Kluber's numbers vs Tigers are horrible also. Det ML or +1.5 good bets

  35. #35
    spankmythighs
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    Quote Originally Posted by spankmythighs View Post
    Good night last night!

    May 4th
    Shutout
    NYM A bet RL -1.5 +110 to win 1 unit---WIN
    Home Chase
    Pitt C bet to win 8 units ML +115---LOSS
    Yesterday should have looked like this
    Shutout
    DET A bet +129 to WIN 1 unit---LOSS
    BALT A bet +105 TO WIN 1 UNIT---LOSS

    Home Chase
    No plays

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