[Alex Vaile]

Good work

Thanks Louisville I tailed a few of yours on Saturday too.

[Alex Vaile]

Monday:

Play Rockies + 123

line >= -102 and p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and p:runs > 0 and p:runs < 9 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and p:margin > -11 and day != Saturday and line < 179 and p:SO>1 and start time<2240 and 18 > p:fly balls >1 and 32>p:LOB>3 and p:walks<10 and WP<79 and p:BPRA != 1

ROI 18%

Lyles been off but Straily coming off the street and Rox are hot.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cubs vs Cardinals Under 8 + 110
Play Cardinals -109

team=Cardinals and H and s:L and ss:L and SG=1 and date>=20140602


Cards 0/9 o/u in this spot
Cards 8-1 SU in this spot

And

HD and WP>=51 and o:WP>=61 and division=o:division and season>=2006

ROI 27% ML. This query supported Cards but line has moved to F at this point. Still liking Cards today.

[Alex Vaile]

I'm contemplating Nats RL as Tanner Roark is 11-3 against RL as an away dog but haven't quite decided.

[burtonrider726]

Thanks for the hard work! Appreciate all the shared picks and insight!

[Alex Vaile]

Thanks for the hard work! Appreciate all the shared picks and insight!

Your welcome burton. Good luck to us all!

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 2-1 + 1.24 units
Season to date: 30-14 + 17.81 units

Rockies won and Cards under hit while Cards stunk it up and couldn't get anything going. Solid day and glad I didn't play that Nats RL as everyone was on Nats but line kept going up.

[nash13]

This year looks great so far. I started being up 60 Units. Really appreciate your good work, keep it on!

[neilb1973]

Your on fire this year Alex. Nice work.

[Alex Vaile]

This year looks great so far. I started being up 60 Units. Really appreciate your good work, keep it on!

Thanks Nash good to hear from you. 60 units would be great

[Alex Vaile]

Your on fire this year Alex. Nice work.

Thanks neilb

[scavenginglocks]

When do you usually release your picks?

[Alex Vaile]

When do you usually release your picks?

Usually by 2 pm pacific time. I'm at work so trying to get it all together

[Alex Vaile]

Tuesday:

Play Giants - 124

team=Diamondbacks and SG>1 and p:AD and po:BPRA>po:SRA and p:runs <=12 and po:SIP<=7 and date>=20130606 (Dr.M)

Dbacks 0-17 in this spot.

team=Giants and line <=-120 and p:runs>=6 and p:MRI>=1 and date>=20150627

Giants 16-0 in this spot

[scavenginglocks]

I just wanted to catch your picks whenever you post.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Yankees RL + 130

F and SG = 1 and season > 2006 and H and SGS = 3 and (day = Monday or day = Tuesday) and -3 < streak < 2 and -7 < o:streak < 5 and p:hits > 6 and 11 > p:runs > 3 and 0 < op:runs < 10 and total >7

ROI 39% 145-103 against RL in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Nats vs Marlins Over 7.5 +110

team=Nationals and A and p:A and po:runs>=6 and date>=20140829

O/u 20-3 in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Braves + 195
Play Braves RL + 108

p:WADX and site = home and FGS and streak < 4 and o:streak > -2

53-20 in this spot ML
31-20 RL

ROI 35% ML
ROI 31% RL

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 2-3 - .21 units
Season to date: 32-17 + 17.6 units

Hit the big dog Braves ML and RL and lost Nats over so close in that 1 and Yanks and Giants smoked

[Alex Vaile]

Wednesday:

Play Rangers - 121

p:errors = 0 and op:errors = 1 and (H or SG > 1) and SG < 5 and SGS > 2 and SGS - SG < 3 and (H or day != Saturday) and ((H and -215 < line < 142) or (A and -200 < line < 175)) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:HR < 3 and p:runs > 2 and p:margin > -2 and 12 > pp:margin > -9 and streak < 5 and -7 < o:streak < 3 and p:SO < 14 and game number > 13 and -21 < tS(margin, N=10) < 29 and -30 < oS(margin, N=10) < 26 and s:SHA > 1 and s:SWA < 6 and s:SSO < 11 and s:SIP > 1.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SPT < 121 and 4 < starter rest < 17 and os:SRA < 7 and os:SWA < 6 and 20 < os:SHF < 33 and os:SIP < 8.1 and o:starter rest < 10 and op:runs < 9 and opp:runs < 13 and oppp:runs < 11 and oS(runs, N=10) > 21 and tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and tS(walks, N=10) > 16 and 42 < tS(SO, N=10) < 86 and site streak > -10 and o:site streak > -8 and op:SII < 5 and p:RMAX > 1 and oss:SHF > 13 and oss:SPT > 73 and -5 < tS(W, N=10) - oS(W, N=10) < 6 and -8 < tS(errors, N=10) - oS(errors, N=10) < 6 and opp:RMAX < 5

ROI 25%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Cubs + 100

team = Cubs and A and DIV and WP > o:WP and date >= 20150730

10-0 in this spot

And

AD and tS(o:hits-starter hits + o:walks - starter walks) / tS(9-starter innings pitched) <= 1.15 and line <= 150 and month < 9 and rest < 2

ROI 9.5%

And

line >= -102 and p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and p:runs > 0 and p:runs < 9 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and p:margin > -11 and day != Saturday and line < 179 and p:SO>1 and start time<2240 and 18 > p:fly balls >1 and 32>p:LOB>3 and p:walks<10 and WP<79 and p:BPRA != 1

ROI 18%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rockies + 116

line >= -102 and p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and p:runs > 0 and p:runs < 9 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and p:margin > -11 and day != Saturday and line < 179 and p:SO>1 and start time<2240 and 18 > p:fly balls >1 and 32>p:LOB>3 and p:walks<10 and WP<79 and p:BPRA != 1

ROI 18%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rockies + 116

line >= -102 and p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and p:runs > 0 and p:runs < 9 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and p:margin > -11 and day != Saturday and line < 179 and p:SO>1 and start time<2240 and 18 > p:fly balls >1 and 32>p:LOB>3 and p:walks<10 and WP<79 and p:BPRA != 1

ROI 18%

Rockies manager needs some help. Puts in a pitcher with over 7 ERA and of course he promptly blows the game in 3 batters.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Mariners + 117

starter rest - o:starter rest = 1 and (A or day != Monday) and (H or day != Friday) and 4 < starter rest < 11 and -2 < p:margin < 9 and -11 < op:margin < 8 and -10 < streak < 3 and -10 < o:streak < 6 and site streak < 8 and o:site streak < 8 and -29 < tS(margin, N=10) < 24 and -13 < oS(margin, N=10) < 15 and 15 < tS(hits, N=3) < 36 and tS(HR, N=10) < 14 and 18 < oS(hits, N=3) < 36 and 4 < oS(HR, N=10) < 17 and os:SSO < 10 and os:SWA < 5 and oS(margin, N=10) - tS(margin, N=10) > -15 and tS(hits, N=10) - oS(hits, N=10) > -23 and (game number > 139 or game number < 122)

ROI 23%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rays -104

DIV and D and p:W and 40=2010 and line<=166 and month=4

ROI 14%

[Smutbucket]

Hey alex, really love to read this thread and look at the different SDQL queries you have going. thanks for posting

can you query something like,
in a 4 game series how often does the 4th game go over the total if the first 3 went over the total ? or do you have to apply to specific team? a perfect example I am interested in tmrw is the min/milwaukee game where the first 3 games series were all very high scoring and given that it is nolasco and jungman pitching I am liking it again

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 2-3 - .87 units
Season to date: 34-20 + 16.73 units

Rangers and Mariners won and Cubs, Rays and Rockies lost

[Alex Vaile]

Hey alex, really love to read this thread and look at the different SDQL queries you have going. thanks for posting

can you query something like,
in a 4 game series how often does the 4th game go over the total if the first 3 went over the total ? or do you have to apply to specific team? a perfect example I am interested in tmrw is the min/milwaukee game where the first 3 games series were all very high scoring and given that it is nolasco and jungman pitching I am liking it again

Yes I'll take a look for u smut it'll b a query that emphasizes previous runs scored but yes its through teams or game number and situation. I'll see what I can find for u

[Alex Vaile]

Thursday:

Play Reds + 184

HD and WP>=51 and o:WP>=61 and division=o:division and season>=2006

ROI 26%

[Alex Vaile]

Play White Sox -108

team=Angels and A and 2<=o:streak and date>=20140927

ROI 45%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Marlins + 172
Play Marlins RL -105

line >= -102 and p:margin < 3 and o:WP >= 39 and p:runs > 0 and p:runs < 9 and month = 4 and p:runs != 5 and p:margin > -11 and day != Saturday and line < 179 and p:SO>1 and start time<2240 and 18 > p:fly balls >1 and 32>p:LOB>3 and p:walks<10 and WP<79 and p:BPRA != 1

ROI 18%

And

t:team=Marlins and starter=Tom Koehler and s:SSO< s:SWA and date>=20140500
8-0 SU
7-1 against RL

[Alex Vaile]

Play Indians + 101


STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3

ROI 13%

[Alex Vaile]

Hey alex, really love to read this thread and look at the different SDQL queries you have going. thanks for posting

can you query something like,
in a 4 game series how often does the 4th game go over the total if the first 3 went over the total ? or do you have to apply to specific team? a perfect example I am interested in tmrw is the min/milwaukee game where the first 3 games series were all very high scoring and given that it is nolasco and jungman pitching I am liking it again

team=Twins and A and p:ou streak >=2 and season>2013

Twins 15-11 o/u when going over 2 games in a row

Brewers 18-20 o/u when on a 2+ game streak of overs

team=Brewers and H and p:ou streak >=2 and season>2013

team=Brewers and o:team=Twins and season>2013
8-4 o/u 3/2 in Milwaukee

Brewers are 10/5 o/u since 2014 with back to back games scoring more than 6 runs

team=Brewers and H and p:runs>=6 and pp:runs>=6 and season>2013

Twins are only 7/8 o/u in same situation since 2014

team=Twins and A and p:runs>=5 and pp:runs>=5 and season>2013

Hope this helps nothing major on data I found

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 2-3 - .36 units
Season to date: 36-23 + 16.37 units

Marlins RL and ML winners, White Sox, Cubs and Indians blew it late.

[Alex Vaile]

Friday:

Play Rockies + 103

HD and WP>=51 and o:WP>=61 and division=o:division and season>=2006

ROI 25%