1. #351
    HeeluvaGuy
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    For your reliever plays, do you have a breakdown by over vs under? Thanks.

  2. #352
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    For your reliever plays, do you have a breakdown by over vs under? Thanks.
    I don't, unfortunately.

  3. #353
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    No regular plays on the 2 afternoon games.


    Back later with tonight's card

    Good luck

  4. #354
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Tuesday's Regular Plays:

    Reds/Col over 11 -110 (Ump, trends, starters, relievers and ballpark all in our favor)
    TX/Clev over 8 -120 (This one was 7.5 earlier this morning, but we still like the 8) (Ump, record, ballpark and relievers all in our favor. Capped it at 9.7 runs)

    Good luck

  5. #355
    Mike Huntertz
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    Sweet little double!
    I thank you, sir.

  6. #356
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz View Post
    Sweet little double!
    I thank you, sir.

  7. #357
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 2-0
    YTD: 47-33 +10.70 units

    Reliever Plays: 4-2
    YTD: 88-65

    Back later with today's card

    Good luck

  8. #358
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Wednesday's Reliever Plays:

    LAD/Cubs over 8
    Reds/Col over 11.5
    Min/Oak over 8.5
    TX/Clev over 8
    Det/LAA over 7.5
    AZ/Hou over 8.5


    Back later with the Regular Plays

    Good luck

  9. #359
    HeeluvaGuy
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    You gotta like the AZ/HOU over. AZ has played 11 straight overs I've been on the last three and plan to ride out the streak.

  10. #360
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    You gotta like the AZ/HOU over. AZ has played 11 straight overs I've been on the last three and plan to ride out the streak.
    I do. More than likely it will be a play on my night card.

  11. #361
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Wednesday afternoon Regular Play:

    Min/Oak over 8.5 -125 (over 9 even is OK)

    Good luck

  12. #362
    Mike Huntertz
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    On it!

  13. #363
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz View Post
    On it!

    Here is what we have in our favor:

    The relievers just missed my threshold for innings pitched, but they have a combined 8.77 home/away ERA. Trends, O/U record and weather all favor the over. Plus the starters have a combined 9.80 ERA. Finally, Manaea's average pitch count is only 81, so we should be seeing the relief staff relatively early. Let's hope that's enough reasons.

    DD

  14. #364
    Mike Huntertz
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    Nice stuff doubledime,

    We cap similar stuff but the extra reliever emphasis is new for me.
    I like it.

  15. #365
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz View Post
    Nice stuff doubledime,

    We cap similar stuff but the extra reliever emphasis is new for me.
    I like it.
    Thanks MH. "Back in the day" when a starter would go 8 or 9 innings the closer was the only relief factor. As time went on that of course has changed. I still feel that the line is mostly made on the starter, so capping the relievers may give us a bit of an advantage.

  16. #366
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Wednesday Regular Plays:

    Reds/Col over 11.5 -120
    Bost/Balt over 9 -115
    AZ/Hou over 8.5 -110


    Good luck

  17. #367
    JayDr3am
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    great call dime on the boston over

  18. #368
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    great call dime on the boston over
    Thanks JD I thought after 5 runs in the first 2 innings in the Colorado game we would have won that one too, but it was not meant to be.

  19. #369
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 2-2
    YTD: 49-35 +10.25 units

    Reliever Plays: 2-4
    YTD: 90-69

    Back later with today's card

    Good luck

  20. #370
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Thursday's Reliever Plays:

    SF/ATL over 7
    LAD/Cubs over 8.5
    Reds/Col over 12
    Bos/Balt over (the dreaded) 9.5
    KC/Clev over 7.5
    AZ/Hou over 7
    Seat/SD over 7.5


    Good luck

  21. #371
    tpark77
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    I didn't scroll through the whole thread, are the reliever plays still just strictly based on relievers and no other factors therefore not necessarily recommended as official plays? And then regular plays take into consideration all factors including relievers?

  22. #372
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    We have two afternoon plays, 1 starting at 12:10 EST.

    Thursday's Regular Plays:

    SF/Atl over 7 -120
    AZ/Hou over 7 -125


    Back later

    Good luck

  23. #373
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Thanks JD I thought after 5 runs in the first 2 innings in the Colorado game we would have won that one too, but it was not meant to be.
    yeah that game was destined to go over just fell a little short, they hit a dry spot in those middle innings. i like your picks today also GL

  24. #374
    HeeluvaGuy
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    I was on the AZ over as soon as it went up last night. Going for lucky 13 in a row tonight. I'm on this streak until it fails.

    And thanks for popping in to my props thread. I managed to hit the Melky no hits play. He went 0-6 in 14 innings!

  25. #375
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    I was on the AZ over as soon as it went up last night. Going for lucky 13 in a row tonight. I'm on this streak until it fails.

    And thanks for popping in to my props thread. I managed to hit the Melky no hits play. He went 0-6 in 14 innings!

  26. #376
    doubledime
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    Just some reasons for the plays:

    SF/Atl over: Starters, relievers, over leaning umpire, weather slightly favors the over, pitcher trends and team o/u record. Plus Blair for Atlanta has only a 71 pitch count average so we should see the relief staff early. I hope!

    AZ/Hous over: Starters, relievers, o/u record plus weather slightly favor the over. I capped this game at 8.7 runs

    Good luck

  27. #377
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Not a good start to the day.

    Thursday's Regular Plays:

    Reds/Col over 12 -120
    Bost/Balt over 9.5 -110
    KC/Clev over 7.5


    Good luck

  28. #378
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by tpark77 View Post
    I didn't scroll through the whole thread, are the reliever plays still just strictly based on relievers and no other factors therefore not necessarily recommended as official plays? And then regular plays take into consideration all factors including relievers?
    That is correct.

  29. #379
    Mike Huntertz
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    Poor start, GREAT finish!

  30. #380
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz View Post
    Poor start, GREAT finish!
    Thanks MH

  31. #381
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Yesterday:

    Regular Plays: 3-2
    YTD: 52-37 +10.80 units

    Reliever Plays: 5-2
    YTD: 95-71

    Back later with today's card

    Good luck

  32. #382
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    To the new people to this thread, see post #144 for an explanation about "Reliever Plays"

    Friday's Reliever Plays:

    Mets/Mia over 7
    Atl/LAD over 7
    Col/SD over 7.5
    NYY/Balt over 8.5
    KC/Clev over 7.5
    Oak/Hous over 8.5
    TB/Min over 9


    Good luck

  33. #383
    doubledime
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    No play on the Cubs game

    Back later

    Good luck

  34. #384
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    Friday is a PASS


    Good luck

  35. #385
    doubledime
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    Just saw too much conflicting data.

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