1. #36
    CappinTerp
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    Good luck with the season bud....hope all is well.

  2. #37
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    every mush in the world on the marlins
    I'm just passing on that one. Passing on the Mets, too.

    If I had to play anything this afternoon, it would be the Twins and Jays. However, I can't get the number I want on either.

  3. #38
    girlscoutcookies
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I'm just passing on that one. Passing on the Mets, too.

    If I had to play anything this afternoon, it would be the Twins and Jays. However, I can't get the number I want on either.
    the more i look online the more i see jays plays everywhere.

  4. #39
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Phils are very intriguing at +108. They aren't any good, but anytime you can get Hamels at a + number, it's worth a look.
    Hamels has very good career #'s vs R. sox!!

  5. #40
    bballs84
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    Hamels numbers in April terrible tho

  6. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Good luck with the season bud....hope all is well.
    You too buddy. Take care.

  7. #42
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    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    the more i look online the more i see jays plays everywhere.
    Toronto is a pretty popular public dog.

    Toronto is also better than the Yankees, though.

  8. #43
    girlscoutcookies
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Toronto is a pretty popular public dog.

    Toronto is also better than the Yankees, though.
    debatable. but i hear you. yankees first five for me just for shits. gotta start the season small.

    BOL buddy

  9. #44
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    MIN TT over 3 (2.5U to win 2)
    MIN +1.5 -140 (1.4U to win 1)
    MIN +152 (1U to win 1.52)

  10. #45
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    debatable. but i hear you. yankees first five for me just for shits. gotta start the season small.

    BOL buddy
    not debatable...they are one of popular plays today

    Time Toronto NY Yankees
    04/06/15 11:08:10am 61% o52%
    04/06/15 11:03:04am 71% o56%
    04/06/15 10:51:06am o51%
    04/06/15 10:35:51am o52%
    04/06/15 10:30:46am o53%
    04/06/15 10:15:29am o52%
    04/06/15 10:10:23am 62% o51%
    04/06/15 10:05:17am 70% o53%
    04/06/15 09:55:06am u51%
    04/06/15 09:44:56am u52%
    04/06/15 09:39:51am u54%
    04/06/15 09:29:41am 63% u55%
    04/06/15 09:19:29am u57%
    04/06/15 09:14:24am u58%
    04/06/15 09:09:19am 64% u60%
    04/06/15 09:04:13am 56% u64%
    04/06/15 08:54:03am u61%
    04/06/15 08:48:57am u60%
    04/06/15 08:38:46am u59%
    04/06/15 08:33:41am u62%
    04/06/15 08:13:21am u64%
    04/06/15 08:03:11am 64% u62%
    04/06/15 07:47:57am u61%
    04/06/15 07:32:42am 63% u64%
    04/06/15 07:20:12am 62% u62%
    04/06/15 07:15:06am 63%
    04/06/15 06:40:47am 62%
    04/06/15 06:31:05am 63%
    04/06/15 06:20:56am 62% u65%
    04/06/15 06:15:51am u62%
    04/06/15 05:55:57am u61%
    04/06/15 05:50:53am 63% u59%
    04/06/15 04:55:01am 64%
    04/06/15 03:49:01am 65%
    04/06/15 01:11:39am 66%
    04/06/15 12:15:50am 67% u63%
    04/06/15 12:05:41am 63% u55%
    04/05/15 11:35:13pm 67%
    04/05/15 10:59:41pm 66%
    04/05/15 10:54:36pm 65% u63%
    04/05/15 10:34:18pm 66% u72%
    04/05/15 10:03:50pm 65%
    04/05/15 09:58:45pm 66% u67%
    04/05/15 09:48:35pm 65%
    04/05/15 09:38:26pm 68% u60%
    04/05/15 09:28:16pm 69% o50%
    04/05/15 09:18:07pm 71%
    04/05/15 09:07:58pm 72% o66%
    04/05/15 08:57:48pm 71%
    04/05/15 08:42:34pm 70%

  11. #46
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    Biggest public play that I am seeing is over in the rockies brewers game. over 80% on the over

  12. #47
    posey
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    And the replies you didn't reply to sum pretty much up why your thoughts are on the wrong track.

  13. #48
    KRIT
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    Gl today coin. I'm treading light today, but i like Tampa the most today. Will probably play Chisox and Phillies as well. You playing the national championship game?

  14. #49
    GT21Megatron
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    I like the Mets and Padres

  15. #50
    No coincidences
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    PHI FF +102 (2U to win 2.04)

  16. #51
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Gl today coin. I'm treading light today, but i like Tampa the most today. Will probably play Chisox and Phillies as well. You playing the national championship game?
    Nope. I'm out of the college hoops game -- maybe for good.

  17. #52
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    And the replies you didn't reply to sum pretty much up why your thoughts are on the wrong track.
    Yes, some hitters don't see pitchers well. Yes, some hitters will be worse against some pitchers throughout their career. No, you nor any other random internet guy can predict which matchups those are on a consistent basis. It's why Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus don't put that information on their sites. It's why there have been countless articles written by people who are employed by MLB teams that show that a good batter who hasn't had success against a pitcher in the past is likely to regress back to his mean performance level in the future instead of staying at his current results level.

    The argument isn't that players don't perform worse than others against a pitcher. The argument is that nobody has found the proper methodology across a large sample of players to predict future performance and determine when a player is likely to continue to underperform rather than revert back to his expect performance.
    Points Awarded:

    No coincidences gave EXhoosier10 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  18. #53
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    Still lean White Sox and Rays at 4.

    Anyone playing Pittsburgh?

  19. #54
    Lincoln Scofield
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    Rays just started bud...

  20. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lincoln Scofield View Post
    Rays just started bud...
    Just saw that. Thought it was at 4. Oh well.

  21. #56
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Still lean White Sox and Rays at 4.

    Anyone playing Pittsburgh?
    I've got it pegged as a tight line. Offenses are about equal, cueto superior to liriano, bullpens both above average. not much wiggle room

  22. #57
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    I've got it pegged as a tight line. Offenses are about equal, cueto superior to liriano, bullpens both above average. not much wiggle room
    I don't really have any interest in fading Cueto at this point. He looked pretty sharp in the spring.

  23. #58
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    CHW +111 (2U to win 2.22)

  24. #59
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    Put my first bet of the year on Colorado. IMO, pitching matchups are almost equal, and hitters are even, maybe the edge to colorado. should be -120 isnteadof -160 IMO
    Following this up with 0.5u on the under 7.5 in Miami.

  25. #60
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    Following this up with 0.5u on the under 7.5 in Miami.
    Nice hit with Colorado.

  26. #61
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Nice hit with Colorado.
    Just wish the books would grade those bets already. Accidentally made a deposit today at w.u. instead of m.g., so my accounts are still bare bones.

    I called m.g. to cancel and the guy on the phone kept trying to tell me "i think you're being scammed. let me go talk to my manager" and i'm thinking to myself, 'dude... you're trying way to hard. just let me gamble in peace.' I had a good long chat with a woman at w.u. who was like "Nicaragua, huh? I know your kind. I'm a gambler myself!" The crazies of not having a local
    Last edited by EXhoosier10; 04-06-15 at 03:15 PM.

  27. #62
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    Just wish the books would grade those bets already. Accidentally made a deposit today at w.u. instead of m.g., so my accounts are still bare bones.

    I called m.g. to cancel and the guy on the phone kept trying to tell me "i think you're being scammed. let me go talk to my manager" and i'm thinking to myself, 'dude... you're trying way to hard. just let me gamble in peace.' I had a good long chat with a woman at w.u. who was like "Nicaragua, huh? I know your kind. I'm a gambler myself!" The crazies of not having a local
    It's amazing the hoops you have to jump through to gamble in this country.

    Meanwhile, if you want to play fantasy sports in any capacity, go right ahead. Completely socially acceptable. Kind of like drinking alcohol (fantasy) vs. smoking weed (gambling).

  28. #63
    tatddy
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    Best of luck this season!

  29. #64
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Best of luck this season!
    Thanks, tat. Rough start with the Twins and Phils FF. I'm just in a bad funk right now and can't seem to shake it.

  30. #65
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Thanks, tat. Rough start with the Twins and Phils FF. I'm just in a bad funk right now and can't seem to shake it.
    Book a trip to the Caribbean. Turn off all devices for a week. Get a tan. Come back and start again.

  31. #66
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Book a trip to the Caribbean. Turn off all devices for a week. Get a tan. Come back and start again.
    Can't. Busy as hell with family and work lately, which is a big part of the "problem." Trying to gamble as an escape from the reality grind. Isn't working.

  32. #67
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    MIN TT over 3 (2.5U to win 2)
    MIN +1.5 -140 (1.4U to win 1)
    MIN +152 (1U to win 1.52)
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    PHI FF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    CHW +111 (2U to win 2.22)
    Jesus Christ.

    Well, at least I passed on Toronto and Colorado. Wouldn't want to actually win a bet.

  33. #68
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    And now the Mets are up too.

    Unbelievable.

  34. #69
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    Just wish the books would grade those bets already. Accidentally made a deposit today at w.u. instead of m.g., so my accounts are still bare bones.

    I called m.g. to cancel and the guy on the phone kept trying to tell me "i think you're being scammed. let me go talk to my manager" and i'm thinking to myself, 'dude... you're trying way to hard. just let me gamble in peace.' I had a good long chat with a woman at w.u. who was like "Nicaragua, huh? I know your kind. I'm a gambler myself!" The crazies of not having a local
    Good luck this season bud....be alert to W.U. & $ GRAM they are making it harder to do "biz"...** just came out with a *********** where one can add or take $ out........gl..........******** = a c.c.
    Last edited by CappinTerp; 04-06-15 at 04:43 PM. Reason: ****

  35. #70
    twestacott
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Jesus Christ.

    Well, at least I passed on Toronto and Colorado. Wouldn't want to actually win a bet.
    You'll get through this slump man. First few weeks of the season are always a crap shoot. You just gotta get your confidence back and I am sure by the all-star break you'll be halfway to another 80-100 unit season.

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