1. #1
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    If your goal is $20,000 in Profits for the MLB Season

    Math guys check in.

    And let me start by saying lets refrain from calling me a dumbass and saying i suck at handicapping games or saying i am a broke dikk fukk etc....

    its clear you many of you think that and that is beside the point.



    So my question is what is the least amount of money you you can bet per game assuming you bet the same amount each game to realisticly hit a goal of $20,000 ?


    Assuming you hit winners at a 57% rate?

    I know obviously if you bet a smaller amount per game you need to bet higher volume but for the question sake what is a good starting point?

    Are we talking $100 per game at high volume?

    $500 per game?

    $1,000 per game?

    or can you achieve this with around 6 $20 bets per day?

  2. #2
    Kindred
    Bitcoin=Freedom
    Kindred's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-09-08
    Posts: 2,901
    Betpoints: 473

    Win rate doesn't matter in baseball, unless you're only betting totals.

  3. #3
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Kindred View Post
    Win rate doesn't matter in baseball, unless you're only betting totals.
    ok well assuming you are only betting between +150 dogs and -160 faves...

  4. #4
    grey area
    grey area's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-17-14
    Posts: 1,187
    Betpoints: 1622

    Checking in to try and achieve this goal in half the season.

  5. #5
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,055
    Betpoints: 7624

    Easily attainable.

    Bet +135- +160 dogs.

  6. #6
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    You need a brain to win $20,000 in gambling and Big Bear is lacking one.

  7. #7
    Dirty Sanchez
    Two time SBR Academy Award winner
    Dirty Sanchez's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 16,031
    Betpoints: 26

    Points Awarded:

    sourtwist gave Dirty Sanchez 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    grey area gave Dirty Sanchez 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: gauchojake, and RubberKettle

  8. #8
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    This guy and his daily fantasies
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: upscope

  9. #9
    boomer62
    boomer62's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-10-11
    Posts: 1,500
    Betpoints: 102

    [QUOTE=Big Bear;23722365]Math guys check in.

    And let me start by saying lets refrain from calling me a dumbass and saying i suck at handicapping games or saying i am a broke dikk fukk etc....

    its clear you many of you think that and that is beside the point.



    So my question is what is the least amount of money you you can bet per game assuming you bet the same amount each game to realisticly hit a goal of $20,000 ?


    Assuming you hit winners at a 57% rate?

    I know obviously if you bet a smaller amount per game you need to bet higher volume but for the question sake what is a good starting point?

    Are we talking $100 per game at high volume?

    $500 per game?

    $1,000 per game?

    or can you achieve this with around 6 $20 bets per day?

    Actually, I would say all of the above to OLD BEAR THIS NEW BEAR JUST A JJ JERK OFF

  10. #10
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    Well your bets would get bigger as you won

    so if you were betting 100 per in April and hitting 57 percent

    surely by sept you'd be betting much bigger

  11. #11
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    6 20 dollar bets per day for about 200 days would barely have you risking a total of 20k

    And would bet you a theoretical gain of 3,360 dollars at 57% at +100 avg odds

  12. #12
    gauchojake
    Have Some Asthma
    gauchojake's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-17-10
    Posts: 33,724
    Betpoints: 13164

    Lol at math guys check in. You fukkin mongoloid.

  13. #13
    grey area
    grey area's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-17-14
    Posts: 1,187
    Betpoints: 1622

    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Lol at math guys check in. You fukkin mongoloid.
    Thanks
    champ

  14. #14
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Bear how much do you have to your name??

  15. #15
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    so bet atleast a hundo aka a C-Note per game?

  16. #16
    Bigbill365
    Big Money Bettors
    Bigbill365's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-22-12
    Posts: 4,560
    Betpoints: 1016

    To earn $20,000 in a single baseball season you would either have to bet crazy amount of games at $50 or just bet in the $1,500 range.Most guys might be able to 10x there bet size any given season and even at $1500 per bet your still looking at 20x.No fuking way you can make $20,000 betting $100 a game

  17. #17
    MickeyMan
    MickeyMan's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 14295

    Bear if you would have tailed your homeboy nocoin last year at $200/unit you'd be up 20 g's

  18. #18
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Bear you deal drugs??

    How do you have all this cash??

  19. #19
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Easily attainable.

    Bet +135- +160 dogs.
    how much do you advise betting per game if you want to keep it simple and always bet the same amount?

  20. #20
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by MickeyMan View Post
    Bear if you would have tailed your homeboy nocoin last year at $200/unit you'd be up 20 g's
    good for him.

    I prefer not to speak about or think about what is in the past.

    My focus is on the future and what I can still do something about.

  21. #21
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    so bet atleast a hundo aka a C-Note per game?
    Using my above rounded estimates of bet numbers any averages

    about $120 per bet could get you to 20k at 57%

    but if you had a 15k bankroll and 4 month track record of hitting 57%

    why hey would you not have the confidence and wisdom to bet together same percentage of your bankroll that yu did on April?

  22. #22
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    Using my above rounded estimates of bet numbers any averages

    about $120 per bet could get you to 20k at 57%

    but if you had a 15k bankroll and 4 month track record of hitting 57%

    why hey would you not have the confidence and wisdom to bet together same percentage of your bankroll that yu did on April?
    true that chi archie.

    just trying to wrap my head around the whole concept of where to start.

    i can always re-deposit but i want my bet amount to be something where I can make some progress with straight bets only.

    Really trying to break the habit of parlays. MLB can be so crazy you can be right about everything you thought you knew and have your team winning 7-3 going into the 8th like the (A's vs Royals Wild Card game) and then have everything fall apart bc of a bad bullpen performance.

    but yeah i think about $120 or $100 a game seems like a good place to start.

  23. #23
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    There you have never tracked a bat in your life here at SBR so of course your stats are not believable

    Let's cut it out and tell us your real bankrolls $100 for mlb baseball

    Best of luck

  24. #24
    mcdonae101
    mcdonae101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-14
    Posts: 3,646
    Betpoints: 2617

    for bear to end baseball season with 20k, he'd have to start with 50k

  25. #25
    Powderguy
    Powderguy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-09
    Posts: 6,939
    Betpoints: 54

    LOL

  26. #26
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by mcdonae101 View Post
    for bear to end baseball season with 20k, he'd have to start with 50k
    thanks man you made my morning now go back under the bridge you troll

  27. #27
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    There you have never tracked a bat in your life here at SBR so of course your stats are not believable

    Let's cut it out and tell us your real bankrolls $100 for mlb baseball

    Best of luck
    JJ,

    this thread wasnt meant to focus on an individual... its a general discussion regarding money management and strategy.

  28. #28
    boomer62
    boomer62's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-10-11
    Posts: 1,500
    Betpoints: 102

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    JJ,

    this thread wasnt meant to focus on an individual... its a general discussion regarding money management and strategy.
    Fuking Romper Room in here. FILL IN BEAR same as FILL IN JJ's. waste of time in here now

  29. #29
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    boomer get lost pal

    take your conspiracy shit elsewhere

  30. #30
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    I will be dropping my bets down in MLB

    Its very hard to beat because of JUICE

  31. #31
    Evolved137
    Evolved137's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-13
    Posts: 346
    Betpoints: 110

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    You need a brain to win $20,000 in gambling and Big Bear is lacking one.
    exactly, i don't see how micro managing your wagering daily will truly guarantee you a 20k out.

    I was 78% last year ONLY in MLB, it is by far my best capping sport. I personally play $300-$500 plays, and do one or two or zero per day. I was + more than 30k last season with a beginning $1,000 bankroll. This is for MLB only. I also bet 80% totals, again, in this sport only. I don't wildly have card's everyday too. I have a lot of calculation that goes into when i wager MLB. BOL.

  32. #32
    Evolved137
    Evolved137's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-13
    Posts: 346
    Betpoints: 110

    I keep all of my stats, BTW. I just posted my fiscal record of just 18-8-1 on player's thread, no MLB plays yet. I switched to 5d and took 6mo off until March came and i went with 5d. So follow my stats and when i pound mlb follow it if you want someone on your side with plays, for what its worth.

  33. #33
    a4u2fear
    TEASE IT
    a4u2fear's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-29-10
    Posts: 8,147
    Betpoints: 35459

    I think you need to focus on winning $50 first

  34. #34
    dlunc3
    dlunc3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-09
    Posts: 9,129
    Betpoints: 1076

    $20,000 would be a disappointing summer

  35. #35
    broadway6
    on to the next one
    broadway6's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-09
    Posts: 13,337
    Betpoints: 1338

    Best shot at winning 20k is to bet 20k on one game. You will tap out by the All Star game

12 Last
Top