Originally Posted by
Big Bear
smokie i am really trying to make adjustments this year and i was thinking about even trying out a new strategy where i go one whole month betting just 1 game per day and only betting underdogs during that month....
however i am not sure if April is the best month to do that...
do you recall from previous years if favorites usually start out strong?
If my memory serves me correctly the trend i have notice is that
April - Favorites win at a high rate .. most teams starting rotations are in tact and most teams are healthy
May- Who let the dogs out???? dogs begin to bark
June- somewhat more balanced... you have certain pitchers who get off to a hot start and seem to win every start they make before beggining to tire out a bit..
July/August- This is where you see many of the injuries start to take effect... teams are starting to fall out of contention and calling up several minor league prospects.. dogs start hitting a much higher rate and Juice on the favorites seems to sky rocket.
September- all hell breaks loose