Originally Posted by
EXhoosier10
The difference between Toronto and Boston is their depth. Besides Donaldson, who is 30, the rest of their big 5 has at least a small injury history. Bautista, Reyes, and Martin are all projected for full seasons though all have checkered pasts. Encarnacion had a groin last year, and they're all 32years old+. If any of these guys miss time, they don't have much to fill in with. On the other hand, Boston is full of guys who are all projected to be average or slightly above average. If everyone stays healthy, Toronto will be right in the thick of it. If they lose any of those 6 for a period of time, there's not much in the way of reinforcements.
- WS odds are Boston +1600, Toronto +2800. I'd choose Toronto here. They have more firepower if everything goes right
- CS odds are Boston +800, Toronto +1500. Again, I'd choose Toronto for the same reason.
- Div odds are Boston +195, Toronto +275. I'm more inclined to lean Boston here. A ton of things should need to go wrong here for them to finish below .500. Add in that they have the firepower to make a trade at any time should a hole open up and I think their floor is much higher.
- Wins odds are Boston o85.5/-120 or o86.5/-105. Toronto is o83/-110 or o83.5/-105. I don't really love either; Boston seems too high to take the over and Toronto probably has more upside at their number, so i guess i'd take toronto.
Anyway, you're betting on a healthy year from TOR plus 3 different SP's working out. Stroman, Hutchinson, and Sanchez. If Stroman somehow takes a step back, that staff is just as bad as the red sox