1. #1
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    2 team chalk parlay I like a lot today

    Pitt with Liriano over SD and Stultz.

    Both SD pitcher and team outclassed by Pirates pitcher and team.
    Understand that SD has been hitting the ball so much better, still doesn't change the fact they are in a mismatch here.
    Line is -162

    Reds with Simon over Marlins with Brad Penny

    Like the Padres and Pirates, Marlins are so outclassed with Penny.
    Brad Penny has not thrown a major league pitch since 2012, has not made a major league start since 2011.
    He was a hamburger when he was making regular starts in 2011 and 2012, I really don't think after a 2 year layoff he's going to convert into Cy Young and outduel up an up and coming Simon.

    You mean to tell me pitching is so thin in this world Miami's only choice is to dust off Brad Penny?
    Line is -142 there.

    Both favorites I am using are home teams.
    There are times when betting parlays in baseball is a good thing.
    Oh sure, the risk is you are asking two teams to win to collect one wager, however, you can take the bite out of the books edge in betting them too.

    If you were to bet each team straight up, in this case, Pirates and Reds, you would have to put up 100 to win 70.42 on the Reds at -142, and put up 100 to win 61.73 on the Pirates at -162.
    If both teams won, you would get back your 200 dollars (100, twice) plus 131.

    If the parlay hits, at 100 dollars at -162 and -142 that parlay pays 176.
    For a 100 dollar risk, you are looking at 176 dollar return for your 100.
    if you bet both individual games seperate, you are risking 200 to win 131 (61 +70)

    If, one of the two seperate wagers loses and one wins, say Pitt wins, you collect a profit of 61, but Reds lose, you are out the 100. In this case you collect 61, but lose 100 for a net loss of 39 dollars.

    Oh sure, you lose the 100 if the parlay goes one and one, but, like I said, you are still taking a bite out of the books edge, the cavaet is, both teams have to win.

    Like I said, I like both teams straight up tonight, both at home, both have better teams and better pitchings.

    100 dollar parlay

    1* pays 1.76*

  2. #2
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    Okay. I'll pound the fukker.


  3. #3
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Reds scare me

    such an underachieving organization that can never put a string of wins together

  4. #4
    mikmik
    mikmik's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-12
    Posts: 5,423
    Betpoints: 15907

    Pirates I think loose.

  5. #5
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    I've got Tigers ML / Pitt ML parlay.
    Also SD TT (U 3)

    This will be my biggest game tonight other than the Under 7.5 in KC.

  6. #6
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Reds scare me

    such an underachieving organization that can never put a string of wins together
    I hear what you are saying Coach, but if the Reds can't beat a punching bag like Brad Penny, at Great American, then they need to turn in their union cards.

  7. #7
    KRIT
    KRIT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-14
    Posts: 12,855
    Betpoints: 20358

    Your parlay should hit, think there may be better options than the Reds. Alfredo Simon is coming back down to earth fast here in the second half, could see fish hitting him around. Pit should take care of business with Liriano, looks back to form since his injury. GL nash.

  8. #8
    laclippers504
    laclippers504's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-06
    Posts: 4,553
    Betpoints: 179

    Couldn't believe Penny is back

  9. #9
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by laclippers504 View Post
    Couldn't believe Penny is back
    I saw 'Penny' listed, I thought some AA call up, some Penny I have never heard of, never thought of Brad Penny, thought he was out of the game for good, went to do some homework on this Penny, I was like "Holy crap, the Brad Penny"

  10. #10
    JAKEPEAVY21
    JAKEPEAVY21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-11-11
    Posts: 28,187
    Betpoints: 47501

    I was liking the same 2 teamer..gl nasher

  11. #11
    KRIT
    KRIT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-14
    Posts: 12,855
    Betpoints: 20358

    Is Penny sumo size now?

  12. #12
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    I remember when he hit a grand slam with the cards on 2010 then left the game with a strained oblique from the swing

    LOL

    this parlay looks good.
    Last edited by Pauulzcappin; 08-09-14 at 05:35 PM.

  13. #13
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    I also like Reds TTO4, too bad its a bit juiced.

  14. #14
    JJJ
    JJJ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-11
    Posts: 2,610
    Betpoints: 704

    Nash what you think of team total over 4 with the angels tonight? Clay threw 114 pitches last game and is a disaster

  15. #15
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by JJJ View Post
    Nash what you think of team total over 4 with the angels tonight? Clay threw 114 pitches last game and is a disaster
    I am Angel stacked in daily fantasy tonight.
    I think LAA middle of the order goes off.
    About 6 weeks ago or so, Albert and Trouty went nuts all weekend.
    I think they can hang a big crooked number tonight.
    Here's the thing though, you need five to get paid, and even though LAA are good for 9, 10 or 11 hits tonight, (and they are) you still need to cross the plate five times (4 is a push, well duh)

    Play it small

  16. #16
    innovation
    innovation's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-12
    Posts: 6,218
    Betpoints: 239

    mutz or pads is winning

    hopefully it's mutz

  17. #17
    mikmik
    mikmik's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-12
    Posts: 5,423
    Betpoints: 15907

    Lol lariano lol

  18. #18
    boss_of_um
    boss_of_um's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-11
    Posts: 1,092
    Betpoints: 14883

    Quote Originally Posted by mikmik View Post
    Lol lariano lol
    What a f*ck-face

  19. #19
    OptimistPrime
    OptimistPrime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-04-14
    Posts: 268

    I am on Cincy myself, had a good day yesterday but have been having pretty weird blip games. Hopefully Penny doesn't surprise us all and pitch 7 scoreless. One good thing about the Reds is that are a displined group of hitters and will take their walks. Penny had trouble with his command in the minors, if they stick to that they should be good to go

  20. #20
    Simon Gruber
    scientific thought and reasoning
    Simon Gruber's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-02-13
    Posts: 2,342
    Betpoints: 31

    Penny is better than Stultz at least.

  21. #21
    KRIT
    KRIT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-14
    Posts: 12,855
    Betpoints: 20358

    Pirates had 2nd and 3rd no outs in the bottom of the 8th and couldn't even score.

  22. #22
    KRIT
    KRIT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-14
    Posts: 12,855
    Betpoints: 20358

    The chalky parlays never end well do they?

  23. #23
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Cincy is fukkin whore shit

    They should fold franchise

  24. #24
    OptimistPrime
    OptimistPrime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-04-14
    Posts: 268

    Very upset with Cincy, they had Penny beat down. Would of had the bases loaded 1 out and Meso up. For some reason they send Ludwick on a single by Hamilton. Of course he is thrown out, that's was basically the game right there. This Reds offense will take a minor miracle to score two runs, if they could not do it off of Penny who had no location at all, doubt they will do it now. Very unlikely to bet on any of their ML's the rest of the year, even when Cueto is pitching its a toss up with how bad they are.

  25. #25
    OptimistPrime
    OptimistPrime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-04-14
    Posts: 268

    Reds may want to consider just having the guys at the bottom of the order standing there and not swinging at all, they may have better success LOL.

  26. #26
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    The chalky parlays never end well do they?
    No they don't.
    You break 'em down, they look great on paper, you check back later, palm to face, "WTF happened, it looked so good"

    Sorry fellas, threw out out big loser there.

Top