[eddiemoney76]

Damn Gaze 10 units Oakland? What makes you feel this one so much with Hammel pitching?

[MawHaw]

Gaze has screwd the pooch tonight...
you'll get it back tomorrow big guy!

[MawHaw]

Leave off that Oakland play and the night would be tolerable.

[keel44]

You see that is the problem with people and these crazy unit spreads. 3 here ... 6 there ..... a couple of 2's and occasionally a 10 unit bet. I get it, your more "confident" in the higher unit wagers. Maybe just bet on the most '"confident" games then. You will see that your "confidence" means nothing. You cannot pinpoint where your wins will come from. I guess it is just me, but I actually believe more in money management.

[Gaze73]

-7.02 =53,83

@Keel, I still have 253 units(well 294 actually, I did bet for 2 weeks before posting here again), so losing 7 means nothing, although this night shoud've been +11 units.
Oakland failed against atrocious Astros, but Hammel was not the problem. They were leading in 5th, and have one of the best bullpen in the league against the absolute worst, yet they scored nothing past 5th and Astros scored 3 runs in the 8th. In-play odds must've been like -600 at one point, but they blew it. You know like in poker, pocket Aces can lose to pocket deuces, happens 18% of the time.

[keel44]

I know where your at. That is not my point. I am just saying the Oakland game should not have been worth that much more than the other picks. Keep them all the same or just bet on the big ones.

[Gaze73]

I don't know of any serious bettor who bets the same each game. Say over a season, there are(random numbers) 150 5% ROI picks, 75 8% ROI picks, and 30 15% ROI picks. Should I bet the same on all games, or just take the 30 high confidence picks a season? Doing either of those things would be leaving value on the table.

You cannot pinpoint where your wins will come from

Surely you can't be as confident betting +240 dogs as taking vastly superior teams @-130.

[Gaze73]

Washington Nationals -155 5u
Baltimore Orioles -111 2u
Oakland Athletics -166 5u
Cleveland Indians -182 10u
Dodgers + Giants parlay, 5u to win 5.85

[eddiemoney76]

Like your plays Gaze. Just hope Kluber rebounds. I called for White Sox upset last night. They lost in extra innings for second straight game and are either depressed or pissed off about it. This is why this game is a no action for me. Called for upset last night, don't want it to be tonight with the juice on Cleveland.

[Gaze73]

White Sox are as bad as Red Sox right now, when a team loses 7 in a row, something is wrong and fade is the play. Cleveland won yesterday even with a bad pitcher, so today should be easy. Expecting a 5-2 game.

[eddiemoney76]

White Sox are as bad as Red Sox right now, when a team loses 7 in a row, something is wrong and fade is the play. Cleveland won yesterday even with a bad pitcher, so today should be easy. Expecting a 5-2 game.

My feeling was right unfortunately. Why I no played a stud like Kluber. All streaks always come to an end and always happen at the worst time when you least expect it. I've been fakked over in past so learned. I'm sure you'll adjust in future. You know your stuff

[Gaze73]

You dodged a bullet there. I shoulda just bet the under. 2 big losses in a row are unacceptable. There were a few conflicting signals which I ignored, so now I'm gonna be more selective about 10u bombs. It happens only a few times a month, but sometimes there is a winner which is as clear as day with no conflicting signals or opinions on the match. Those games make me want to bet 20 units on them, but I try to keep it at 10. The last one of those was on August 13th where I bet 12u on Nats vs Mets who won 7-1. I wish there were more games like that, but selecting picks is so complex that there's almost always someone with reasons for "no bet" or for taking the opposite selection of what you like.

-8,14=45,69

[eddiemoney76]

Day was bullshit to be honest Lol. Many cy young pitchers or candidates all go down same exact day. Price Fister Klubber Wainwright... I laugh it off. No choice. But it makes you wonder sometimes if pitchers bet 50 unit bombs against themselves for + 150 returns Lol....

[Gaze73]

Oakland Athletics -101 5u
Chicago Cubs -112 3u
Texas Rangers +129 3.5u

Not really liking any of this, but oh well, we'll see how it goes.

[Gaze73]

Anyone seen Two for the Money with Al Pacino and McConaughey? I just finished watching it, and now I feel like the main character with the highs and lows. Another play going down, Arrieta somehow allowed 6 runs in 4 fukking innings.

[Gaze73]

Giants over 7 -115 2u

[Gaze73]

-13,5=32,19 why do I bet these shitty games, might as well flip a coin.

[Gaze73]

Kansas City Royals -146 5u
Washington Nationals +1½ -160 2u

Parlay 2u to win 2.5:
Los Angeles Dodgers +1½ -225 for Game
Baltimore Orioles -179

[Gaze73]

And Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -180 10u
St. Louis Cardinals -141 2.5u

[Gaze73]

-13,75=18,44 I don't fukkin believe it, I hope everyone abandoned the ship already. This is the worst fukking week ever. I don't know if I should just switch to NCAAF already because these results don't make any sense.

[keel44]

Every capper goes through ups and downs. Stay the course, but watch your unit size.

[Gaze73]

I'm a high risk / high reward kind of guy, trying to find the perfect balance between gambling and investing. Never expected such a shit run though. When a team goes W-L-W in a series, I always seem to have big money on the one loss. E.g. most recently I took a nice dog Texas, they lost 2-4, and then won 13:6 the next day like some big shots. I'd also take them today but would surely catch them losing again, so I'll go with the over. Or Cleveland vs White Sox, they lost the one game in the series where they had by far the biggest pitching edge.

New York Mets -157 5u
Baltimore Orioles -166 5u
Texas Rangers/Houston Astros over 8½ -105 2u

[Gaze73]

See this fukkin shit again? I take Phillies +1.5 for 10 units, they lose 4:1, I take Mets the next day, and fukking Phillies win 7:2 like no fukking problem.

+0.63=19,07

[keel44]

I look at your picks overall and I see a lot of favorites. They go through ups and downs too.

[Gaze73]

Baltimore Orioles -163 5u
Detroit Tigers -104 3u

[Gaze73]

Twins Orioles over 8 -110 3u

[Gaze73]

Dodgers -162 2.5u

[Gaze73]

LIVE, adding 7.5u on Dodgers @ -170, now 1:1, top of the 2nd.

[Merkel]

What is this shit Gaze? You pm me bragging about the "mad money" you're making, I take time out of my day to check on your sorry ass, and you go from 45 to 19 units on 1 page? All these months farther along and you still haven't learned a thing?
Don't waste my time ok. Amateur.

[Gaze73]

I was up 80, not my fault you come 2 weeks later. And don't act like you never had a shit week. Hey, there's Beat the Prick contest now, why don't you show us all how pro you are? I'll be there.

+8,65=27,72.

[Gaze73]

Texas Rangers +1½ -125 5u
Washington Nationals -115 3u
Baltimore Orioles -128 5.5u
San Francisco Giants -135 5u
New York Mets/Miami Marlins under 7 -120 2u
Cleveland Indians -119 3u
San Diego Padres -163 5u

[Bostongambler]

Can we get a guarantee with that free money please. tyia

[keel44]

Keep your chin up and plug away

[Gaze73]

-5,82=21,9

I can't believe Giants lost. How do super-hot teams with huge pitching edge manage to lose to awful teams with massive loss streaks so often?

[keel44]

Nothing should surprise you, it is about probability. The odds need to be "better" than the probability. I lost with the Giants too, but I had them -1.5 being in Colorado and all. I understand these things happen, take a stab at something with more appealing odds, you just might surprise yourself.