1. 08-21-14 12:00 PM #176
    bluetooth3
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    *2 units*

    Rays -115
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  2. 08-21-14 09:05 PM #177
    bluetooth3
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    Padres vs dodgers u5.5 -105
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  3. 08-22-14 01:20 PM #178
    bluetooth3
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    Cubs -105
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  4. 08-22-14 06:07 PM #179
    bluetooth3
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    Braves +100
    Rays +105
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  5. 08-22-14 06:55 PM #180
    bluetooth3
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    Rockies +105
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  6. 08-23-14 12:03 PM #181
    bluetooth3
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    Updated Standings:

    164-155 +26.31 units



    * 2 units *

    Rays +100
    Twins -110 game 1
    Red Sox -115


    Best of luck!
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  7. 08-23-14 06:05 PM #182
    bluetooth3
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    Phillies +105
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  8. 08-24-14 12:17 PM #183
    bluetooth3
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    Astros +130
    Jays -110
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  9. 08-25-14 06:06 PM #184
    bluetooth3
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    Phillies +115
    Red sox +105
    Rays +105
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  10. 08-25-14 09:06 PM #185
    bluetooth3
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    Marlins +150
    Rockies +170
    Rangers +155
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  11. 08-26-14 12:12 AM #186
    bluetooth3
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    Nice dog day today!

    Updated Standings: 171-160 +31.16 units
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  12. 08-26-14 06:00 PM #187
    bluetooth3
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    Cubs +155
    Yankees -105

    More to follow


    Best of luck!
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  13. 08-26-14 06:08 PM #188
    bluetooth3
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    *2 units*

    D backs+105
    Astros +110
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  14. 08-26-14 09:02 PM #189
    bluetooth3
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    Rockies vs giants u6.5 -110
    Rangers vs mariners u7.5 -115
    Brewers vs Padres u6.5 +100

    Best of luck!
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  15. 08-26-14 10:26 PM #190
    RollinDo
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    Wow. So many Unders in late games!
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  16. 08-26-14 10:45 PM #191
    bluetooth3
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Wow. So many Unders in late games!
    Rolling with Mitch.
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  17. 08-27-14 12:35 AM #192
    bluetooth3
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    Updated Standings:

    176-162 +34.91 units


    Back at it tomorrow!
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  18. 08-27-14 11:11 AM #193
    bluetooth3
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    Pirates +100
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  19. 08-27-14 05:59 PM #194
    bluetooth3
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    *2 units*

    Mets +105
    Rays -105

    Best of luck!
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  20. 08-27-14 07:10 PM #195
    bluetooth3
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    Astros +1.5 -110
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  21. 08-27-14 08:05 PM #196
    bluetooth3
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    Padres vs Brewers u7 -110
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  22. 08-27-14 08:22 PM #197
    bluetooth3
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    Marlins +140
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  23. 08-28-14 12:58 PM #198
    bluetooth3
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    On a bit of a tear recently, for those that follow...Also starting my NCAAF thread

    Updated Standings: 180-164 +37.01 UNITS!!!

    Plays to follow!
    Last edited by bluetooth3; 08-28-14 at 01:16 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    aramakilx gave bluetooth3 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  24. 08-28-14 01:14 PM #199
    RollinDo
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    Nice job BlueT!
    Will be checking out your college F - ball thread.
    But I wonder how people are so confident about plays when the season hasn't started yet...would think you have to wait 2-3 weeks before serious betting in nfl or college.
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  25. 08-28-14 01:19 PM #200
    bluetooth3
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Nice job BlueT!
    Will be checking out your college F - ball thread.
    But I wonder how people are so confident about plays when the season hasn't started yet...would think you have to wait 2-3 weeks before serious betting in nfl or college.
    Thanks Rollin, I took a hit when the public went 11-3 last monday but this week public has been losing left and right. Look at the cubs game! Missed getting that in because of morning workout only game I may play today on the bases as of now is the White Sox +. Nothing really fits my models right now.

    That is the best time to make $...the books know that people are going to be betting more on the name of the team and last years success and we see some sharp RLM. I always favor with the side of the books, especially when the public is on one side and that RLM is there. The books know much much more than we do, follow them and it will make $. That has been my approach for about a year now, took me some horrible seasons to figure that out and as you can see in baseball with +37 units, its paying off
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  26. 08-28-14 02:05 PM #201
    RollinDo
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    Cool. Thanks.
    So do I just follow the movement vs the public betting trend?
    Not really positive how RL works or how to identify it.
    Doesn't seem to work with totals from what I've seen.
    Yesterday the line got better in the Baltimore game (for Under) and yet it saw a total of 4 runs.
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  27. 08-28-14 02:30 PM #202
    bluetooth3
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Cool. Thanks.
    So do I just follow the movement vs the public betting trend?
    Not really positive how RL works or how to identify it.
    Doesn't seem to work with totals from what I've seen.
    Yesterday the line got better in the Baltimore game (for Under) and yet it saw a total of 4 runs.
    It really sounds that easy and is. I have been following the line movement vs the public betting. The public loses a lot more than it wins. Picking those winners when the line moves and sticking to the models is the toughest part. Being able to stay away from a bet and make no play is the hardest and not to overextend. There was a RLM on the cubs this am and look how that game is going. I really like RLM of home teams when the public is 60% or more on the road team. Love my home teams in that situation.

    With totals, it is much harder. I try to stay away from the public side on totals, especially when its in the 80%, but they are harder to read RLM. I have been keeping an eye on games where lets say the line opens up at 7.5 with the juice and or public on the over, yet the line drops half a run, then playing the under. Those have been pretty successful but just tracking them as of now since sides are pretty hot. Mitch and Ali are really hot and they factor in the ump, so when my totals match up with theirs, I know they are golden
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  28. 08-28-14 03:01 PM #203
    aramakilx
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    where do you find public opinion?
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  29. 08-28-14 03:05 PM #204
    bluetooth3
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    Quote Originally Posted by aramakilx View Post
    where do you find public opinion?

    I use:

    http://www.thespread.com/mlb-basebal...t#.U_-HkvldV3F
    http://pregame.com/sportsbook_spy/default.aspx

    Both of those have all the sports...
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  30. 08-28-14 03:11 PM #205
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    thx BT
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  31. 08-28-14 03:31 PM #206
    bluetooth3
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    Quote Originally Posted by aramakilx View Post
    thx BT
    Anytime
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  32. 08-28-14 04:23 PM #207
    bluetooth3
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    *2 units*

    White Sox +115
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  33. 08-29-14 06:03 PM #208
    bluetooth3
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    Yankees vs Blue Jays u8.5 -105
    Rangers vs Astros u8.5 -115
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  34. 08-30-14 01:18 AM #209
    bluetooth3
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    Updated standings: 180-167 +32.81 Units


    Not the two days I was hoping for. Not many plays fit the model that I have been playing so I am still here trying to make money for us MLB players. So far it looks like there should be some nice plays tomorrow
    Last edited by bluetooth3; 08-30-14 at 01:25 AM.
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  35. 08-30-14 12:04 PM #210
    bluetooth3
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    White Sox gm 1 -110
    Blue Jays +100


    Best of luck!
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