had a tough start to the week, but ended April on a high note.
+12.12u (110-91-11)
Goal going into may is to lay off on close games, focus on fewer plays, and bet on predictable teams. Teams like the marlins, royals, mets, pirates, rangers, mariners were unfriendly to me in April. Teams like the athletics, rockies, phillies, twins, white sox, and angels have been money makers. Even fading the dbacks has been very profitable.
Lets continue into May :
Rockies - NYM
I like the OVER FF or Colorado TT. Bartolo is a very hittable pitcher, against a strong offense that cashes in runs. Mets have been coming around as well, and Nicasio has not pitched well in his past 4 starts
MIL @ CIN
TT over brewers. the brewers are road warriors. Looking at PVB stats vs homer bailey, they can get it done without the big boys. I will be looking at pre-game lineups and conditions, but the play here is against bailey and the reds terrible pitching.
Some value in the doubleheaders tomorrow:
Dodgers TT over against Pelfrey
Predicting a 5 inning outing for pelfrey and a bad bullpen.
Orioles vs Morton
Baltimore FF or TT. I like Norris in this situation.
Ramos vs Peavy
I like the FF under here.
Archer vs Doubront
Leaning against Archer here, and for the BOSOX here