1. #1
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Drews All Sports Thread MLB/NFL/NBA/NHL/PGA/CFL + Others

    What is really good forum. I have not posted in a while so hopefully that works in my favor as i use to be a very aggressive/stupid sports better fueled more by the action then the win. I have been placing bets in silent the last few months with decent success as I have been more focused on the long term and trying to actually grow my bankroll. I have been wagering 4-8% of my roll and had some quick growth but now with my $2,500 roll i will be placing bets on all sports and focusing more on making +Ev bets and less on entertaining myself and playing whatever game is on when i get home from work.

    I want to start to build a name for myself in sports betting and hope to develop a good reputation for myself as someone who is actually (1. Trying to be a winning player and take a smarter approach) and (2. Actually being a winning player that has an edge in the long term)

    A bit about myself I am a 19 year old Canadian Male so i have access to legal gambling and the glorious online book that is pinnacle. I have been betting recklessly for 3-4 years and have had my ups and downs. I started as a 15 year old playing parlay cards at my local gas stations and convenience stores with lines that are literally 1.7 on each side of totals and maybe 1.75/1.8 on spreads. I bet with bookies with juiced lines and obviously found no success anywhere as its almost impossible without a huge win but my experienced my swings some good most bad. I found sbr a few years ago and have followed some cappers over the years and avoided more probably as they gave had the same reckless approach i did that usually found everyone broke until pay day. I work 50-60 hrs a week as a sous chef at a popular restaurant and will continue to do so until i go nuts. I have hopes of attending college for radio broadcasting but im not rushing my future (procrasinating obviously). I hope to find a way betting that has some long term success but understand there is only a small percentage who do so i try to surround myself with knowledge from that 1-2%.

    I will be posting my plays on this forum. I dont encourage anyone to blindly follow simply because I dont want people going busto on my top rated plays due to poor bankroll management. I have starting roll of $2,500 so i will be placing bets at a range of 1-5% with the highest percentage of my plays being 2% ($50). I also will post any other useful spreadsheets i find or create myself that may help others with there research and wagering but due to my busy work schedule i wont always be able to give extensive write-ups or discuss much during the day.

    So to a prosperous 2nd half to the MLB Season and to the upcoming NFL season I will be posting future bets and other wagers leading up to the season and hope to see you all soon.

    I understand not many people are profitable in the long run gambling sports so i hope to take an investing approach and are ready for all the criticism and trolling. Lets get to work.

    FAQ
    What online sports books do you use?
    Pinnacle sports and William Hill

    What is your unit size / percentage spread?
    I wager with a 100 unit bankroll. Each unit is 1% $25

    Where in Canada are you from?
    North of Toronto

    What is your biggest win?
    I was up around 5Gs once after a 2 week win streak

  2. #2
    JuniorAnalyst
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    This is a spreadsheet I made based on the Pre-All star play off each team

    http://tinypic.com/r/dvg29l/5

    The column for Money is how much a $100 bettor would have won or lost based on the closing line of a consensus of books. We can use this information to see which teams were profitable in the beginning but expect the books to over exaggerate on favorites in the second half as bettors tend to choose the teams that have done better over the long run and ass you can see. on teams like pittsburgh, all the money there is to be made on them has probably already been made. Remember the best bet to make is usually the harder one.


    Incase you dont have time to view over the spreadsheet as a whole here are some interesting parts to take away.

    The Americans Leagues Biggest winners (Pre All-star Break) were as follows.
    Oakland +$1415 Cleveland +$1213 Boston +$1777

    At Home
    Oakland +$1110 Cleveland +$915

    On the Road
    Boston +$536 Yankees +$499

    The Americans Leagues Biggest losers (Pre All-star Break) were as follows.
    Angels -$1857 White Sox -$1847 Detroit -$1101

    At Home
    Angels -$1365 Houston -$894

    On the Road
    White Sox -$1359 Detroit -$509

    The National Leagues Biggest winners (Pre All-star Break) were as follows.
    Pittsburgh +$2286 St. Louis +$943 Arizona +$401

    At Home
    Pittsburgh +$1120 Atlanta +$784

    On the Road
    Pittsburgh +$1166 St. Louis +$742

    The National Leagues Biggest losers (Pre All-star Break) were as follows.
    Milwaukee -$1929 San Francisco -$1523 Dodgers -$1047

    At Home
    Mets -$1524 Milwaukee -$782

    On the Road
    San Francisco -$1324 Milwaukee -$1147 San Diego -$1074

    Interestingly you will see the only profitable teams in the national league if you bet them every night for the first part of the season would of been Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Arizona, and Atlanta. Probably 4 of the teams you will want to avoid betting in the second half.

  3. #3
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Hope to start off with a Bang on the early game today.

    Risking 2.2u to win 2u Toronto vs Tampa Bay Over 9 -120

    Afternoon game in toronto roof closed and tampa starting a fly ball pitcher... Sounds like a great opportunity to see the jays rack up runs but due to the lack of trust bettors can have in Buehrle and the the declining bullpen i cant take them as a favorite so i look to play the over here as i think both teams will put up 3+ on opposing starters and keep scoring late into the game.

  4. #4
    JuniorAnalyst
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    This wager was made on Pinnacle Sports

  5. #5
    JuniorAnalyst
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    correction of my previous bet the risk amount is actually 2.4units to win 2 units.

    Risking 1u to win 1.38u Chicago Cubs ML +138 vs Colorado Rockies
    The cubs have a pitcher who may allow a few runs but doesnt usually get hit by the big inning. The rockies on the other hand have a lineup with very few producers and a unpredictable pitcher, at this price there is value on the cubs as its a coin flip which team blows the gate open.

    Risking 1u to win 1.49u Miami Marlins ML +149 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    The marlins are not a marquee team. Nobody bets the marlins. Nobody ever wants to bet the marlins. So we will look to play teams like them and Houston when there is a +EV situation. The marlins have arguably one of there most consistent pitchers on the mound vs a very shaky controversial pitcher. Gallardo has been knocked around as of late and has no right being favored by this much. The value is on the Marlins and i actually think they take this one with ease.

    Pending
    Risking 2.4u to win 2u Toronto vs Tampa Bay Over 9 -120
    Last edited by JuniorAnalyst; 07-20-13 at 04:11 PM.

  6. #6
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Risking 1.28u to win 1u Cleveland Indians -128 vs Minnesota Twins

    Better Pitcher/ Better Line up good price vs a weak twins team.

    Pending
    Risking 2.4u to win 2u Toronto vs Tampa Bay Over 9 -120
    Risking 1u to win 1.38u Chicago Cubs ML +138 vs Colorado Rockies
    Risking 1u to win 1.49u Miami Marlins ML +149 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    Risking 1.28u to win 1u Cleveland Indians -128 vs Minnesota Twins

  7. #7
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Here are 3 golf plays that I think are no brainers

    Risking 1.14u to win 1u Ernie Els -114 vs Ian Poulter
    Els won the open championship last year and I expect him to finish strong has he has gotten better as he has played the course more this weekend.

    Risking 1u to win 1.11u Brant Snedeker +111 vs Sergio Garcia
    Snedeker finished runner up last year and has one of the highest 4th round averages in the PGA 9th i believe

    Risking 1u to win 2.1u Lee Westwood to win Open Championship
    He has a 2 stroke lead and has a good price due to the fact Tiger is left in the field. Tiger may come in big tomorrow and win but the value on Westwood is to good to pass up.

    Lets hope for a profitable round tomorrow and a better MLB outcome tonight.

    Risking 2.4u to win 2u Toronto vs Tampa Bay Over 9 -120
    Risking 1u to win 1.38u Chicago Cubs ML +138 vs Colorado Rockies
    Risking 1u to win 1.49u Miami Marlins ML +149 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    Risking 1.28u to win 1u Cleveland Indians -128 vs Minnesota Twins
    Risking 1.14u to win 1u Ernie Els -114 vs Ian Poulter
    Risking 1u to win 1.11u Brant Snedeker +111 vs Sergio Garcia
    Risking 1u to win 2.1u Lee Westwood to win Open Championship

    Record : 0-1 -2.4units
    6.42u Pending in 6 wagers

  8. #8
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Risking 2.4u to win 2u Toronto vs Tampa Bay Over 9 -120
    Risking 1u to win 1.38u Chicago Cubs ML +138 vs Colorado Rockies
    Risking 1u to win 1.49u Miami Marlins ML +149 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    Risking 1.28u to win 1u Cleveland Indians -128 vs Minnesota Twins


    Pending...
    Risking 1.14u to win 1u Ernie Els -114 vs Ian Poulter
    Risking 1u to win 1.11u Brant Snedeker +111 vs Sergio Garcia (Adding a unit below)
    Risking 1u to win 2.1u Lee Westwood to win Open Championship

    Not close to the start i was looking for.....

    Record 0-4 -5.68 units

    MLB Plays for July 21st
    Risking 1u to win 1.17u Baltimore Orioles ML +117
    Risking 1.18u to win 1u Detroit Tigers ML -118
    Risking 1.16u to win 1u Los Angeles Dodgers ML -116
    Risking 1.43u to win 1u Cincinnati Reds ML -143
    Risking 1u to win 1.14u Brant Snedeker +114 vs Sergio Garcia

    Lets get em back today go Westwood and Snedeker!

  9. #9
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Dont expect many parlay wagers from me.. but when i see 2 high prices i like i parlay to make a high odds parlay instead.

    Risking 1u to win 4.53u Rockies RL -1.5 & Cincinnati Reds RL -1.5

  10. #10
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Record 0-4 -5.68 units

    The old me would of made a 5x bet after that 0-4 day and that never seemed to work out im just gonna keep doing following my BR Management and learn some self control

    Risking 1.14u to win 1u Ernie Els -114 vs Ian Poulter
    Risking 1u to win 1.11u Brant Snedeker +111 vs Sergio Garcia
    Risking 1u to win 1.14u Brant Snedeker +114 vs Sergio Garcia

    Risking 1u to win 2.1u Lee Westwood to win Open Championship
    Risking 1u to win 1.17u Baltimore Orioles ML +117
    Risking 1.18u to win 1u Detroit Tigers ML -118
    Risking 1.16u to win 1u Los Angeles Dodgers ML -116

    Risking 1.43u to win 1u Cincinnati Reds ML -143
    Risking 1u to win 4.53u Rockies RL -1.5 & Cincinnati Reds RL -1.5

    For the Day
    PGA Record 1-2 +0.11u
    MLB Record 3-2 +0.74u

    Overall Record
    PGA 1-2 +0.11 units

    MLB 3-6 -4.94 units

  11. #11
    Winning oasis
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    Youre on fire. Fade yourself. Some weeks are like that.

  12. #12
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Live Wagers
    RedSox 7th Inn Hits vs Yankees 7th Inn Hits 1u to win 2.01u
    Red Sox/Yankees Over 1.5 Hits 7th Inn 1.3u to win 1u

    When Sabbathia stays out and doesnt get the change and hes in this bad a situation He slips and after his last start where the teams kept screwing up I see him still being frustrated and making some bad decisions. the O1.5 hits just seems like free $

  13. #13
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Risking 2.26u to win 2u Baltimore Orioles ML -113
    Risking 1u to win 1.02u Baltimore/KansasCity U9 +102
    Risking 1u to win 1.07u Miami/Colorado U10.5 +107
    Risking 1u to win 1.1u Los Angeles Dodgers ML +110


    Just beat the movement on the Orioles its -120 now

    7:11pm 21-Jul-13 5:10pm 22-Jul-13 Baseball
    Money Line
    Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals for Game. -113 56.50 50.00 Pending

  14. #14
    JuniorAnalyst
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    break even. wagering now on redsox ML Live 2.57u to win 2u

  15. #15
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Overall Record
    PGA 1-2 +0.11 units

    MLB 5-7 -2.94 units


    Pending
    Risking 2.26u to win 2u Baltimore Orioles ML -113
    Risking 1u to win 1.02u Baltimore/KansasCity U9 +102
    Risking 1u to win 1.07u Miami/Colorado U10.5 +107
    Risking 1u to win 1.1u Los Angeles Dodgers ML +110

  16. #16
    JuniorAnalyst
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    NFL Team Season Win Total

    Houston O10.5 +120 Risking 1u to win 1.2u

    Houston was on everybody's radar the last few seasons and they did well but have faded as a top team to watch. However with there recent acquisition and the way they continue to improve this team I see Houston going 12-4 13-3

    Colts Titans Jaguars.... I give the texans 5.5 wins vs the division.

    Based on the lines Cantor Sportsbook has put out for the whole season these are the Texans matchups outside of their division

    -3 @Chargers .66
    +3.5 @Baltimore .66
    +1 vs Seattle .5
    +5.5 @San Francisco .25
    -4.5 vs St. Louis WIN 1
    -2.5 @Kansas City WIN 1
    -3 @Arizona WIN 1
    -7.5 vs Oakland WIN 1
    PK vs New England .75
    PK vs Denver .25

    so i figure 7.07 Wins here and with a QB thats thrown over 4000 consistently, a defense that on either side of the ball can get the job done, and a coach with almost a ring on each finger, this may be the year Houston is playing for a bye and home field.

    After some time goes by maybe a bit into preseason and we see how deep Houston is and if the backup QBs can tread water if we were to lose Schwaub I will be on Houston to win AFC +755

  17. #17
    JuniorAnalyst
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    MLB Plays
    Risking 2.38u to win 2u Milwaukee Brewers ML -119

    Pending
    Risking 2.26u to win 2u Baltimore Orioles ML -113
    Risking 1u to win 1.02u Baltimore/KansasCity U9 +102
    Risking 1u to win 1.07u Miami/Colorado U10.5 +107
    Risking 1u to win 1.1u Los Angeles Dodgers ML +110

  18. #18
    JuniorAnalyst
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    NFL Futures
    Risking .5u to win 8.69u Houston Texans to win Super Bowl (+1738)
    Risking .5u to win 9.2152u New Orleans Saints to win Super Bowl (+1843)


    Pending
    Houston Over 10.5 Wins (+120) Risking 1u to win 1.2u

  19. #19
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Risking .5u to win 10.53u Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl (+2106)

    Pending
    Risking .5u to win 8.69u Houston Texans to win Super Bowl (+1738)
    Risking .5u to win 9.2152u New Orleans Saints to win Super Bowl (+1843)
    Houston Over 10.5 Wins (+120) Risking 1u to win 1.2u

  20. #20
    JuniorAnalyst
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    MLB Plays July 22nd

    Risking 2.38u to win 2u Milwaukee Brewers ML -119
    Risking 2.26u to win 2u Baltimore Orioles ML -113
    Risking 1u to win 1.02u Baltimore/KansasCity U9 +102

    Risking 1u to win 1.07u Miami/Colorado U10.5 +107
    Risking 1u to win 1.1u Los Angeles Dodgers ML +110


    Overall Record
    PGA 1-2 +0.11 units

    MLB 8-9 -2.15 units
    2*Plays 2-2

  21. #21
    JuniorAnalyst
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    MLB Plays July 23rd

    Risking 1u to win 1.92u Philadelphia Phillies ML +192
    Risking 1u to win 1u Kansas City Royals ML +100
    Risking 1.01u to win 1u Marlins/Rockies U9.5 -101
    Risking 1.05u to win 1u Mets/Braves U7.5 -105
    Risking 1.06u to win 1u Washington Nationals ML -106
    Risking 1.15u to win 1u Dodgers/Jays O9.5 -115

    MLB 8-9 -2.15 units

  22. #22
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Adding
    Risking 2u to win 2.04u Oakland Athletics RL -1.5 +102

  23. #23
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Indians ML +102
    2u to win 2.04u

  24. #24
    JuniorAnalyst
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    MLB Plays July 23rd

    Risking 1u to win 1.92u Philadelphia Phillies ML +192

    Risking 1u to win 1u Kansas City Royals ML +100

    Risking 1.01u to win 1u Marlins/Rockies U9.5 -101

    Risking 1.05u to win 1u Mets/Braves U7.5 -105

    Risking 1.06u to win 1u Washington Nationals ML -106

    Risking 1.15u to win 1u Dodgers/Jays O9.5 -115

    Risking 2u to win 2.04u Oakland Athletics RL -1.5 +102
    Risking 2u to win 2.04u Cleveland ML +102

    4-4 -2.06
    Last edited by JuniorAnalyst; 07-24-13 at 04:29 AM.

  25. #25
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Record
    MLB 12-13 -4.21 units
    2* 2-4

  26. #26
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Different Approach Today.
    Parlays Mainly

    1u to win 2.4868u Padres/Brewers U8.5 & Tigers ML
    1u to win 2.6608u Mets/Braves U7.5 & Indians/Mariners U8.5
    1.5u to win 3.6892u Nationals ML & Cardinals Phillies U8.5
    1.5u to win 4.0888u Rays/Red Sox U8.5 & Royals/Orioles U8
    1.5u to win 3.6868u Rays/Red Sox U8.5 & Tigers ML

    2u to win 2.6u Marlins/Rockies U9 +130

  27. #27
    JuniorAnalyst
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    1u to win 2.4868u Padres/Brewers U8.5 & Tigers ML
    1u to win 2.6608u Mets/Braves U7.5 & Indians/Mariners U8.5
    1.5u to win 3.6892u Nationals ML & Cardinals Phillies U8.5
    1.5u to win 4.0888u Rays/Red Sox U8.5 & Royals/Orioles U8
    1.5u to win 3.6868u Rays/Red Sox U8.5 & Tigers ML
    2u to win 2.6u Marlins/Rockies U9 +130

  28. #28
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Going Huge on Orioles Tomorrow.

  29. #29
    JuniorAnalyst
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    July 24th Results

    1u to win 2.4868u Padres/Brewers U8.5 & Tigers ML
    1u to win 2.6608u Mets/Braves U7.5 & Indians/Mariners U8.5
    1.5u to win 3.6892u Nationals ML & Cardinals Phillies U8.5

    1.5u to win 4.0888u Rays/Red Sox U8.5 & Royals/Orioles U8
    1.5u to win 3.6868u Rays/Red Sox U8.5 & Tigers ML
    2u to win 2.6u Marlins/Rockies U9 +130

    Great Day finally on track! 4-2 +10.3624units

    Total Record
    MLB 16-15 +6.15 units

    2* 3-4
    Last edited by JuniorAnalyst; 07-24-13 at 10:13 PM.

  30. #30
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Plays for July 25th

    Risking 3u to win 3.18u Marlins/Rockies U10 (+106)
    Risking 2.6u to win 2u Detroit Tigers ML (-130)
    Risking 2.4u to win 2u Seattle Mariners -1 (-120)
    Risking 2u to win 2.04u Phillies/Cardinals O8 (+102)
    Risking 1.01u to win 1u Padres/Brewers U8.5 (-101)
    Risking 1u to win 1.56u Chicago Cubs ML (+156)
    Risking 1u to win 1.06u Pirates/Nationals U7 (+106)
    Risking 1u to win 1.02u Braves/Mets O8 (+102)


    MLB 16-15 +6.15 units

    2* 3-4

    1 3* Pending
    3 2* Pending

    I was interested in the Orioles but there inability to hit with RISP and the way the Royals won tonight i feel its better to pass with not having as good a price as i was looking for.

  31. #31
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Live Bet Chicago/Arizona Live Total O13.5 (+137)
    Risk 2u to win 2.74u

  32. #32
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Risking 3u to win 3.18u Oakland/LAAngels Under 7 (+106)

    3*s 1-0

  33. #33
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Live MLB risk 2.1u to win 2u (-105) Under 9.5 twins mariners

  34. #34
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Risking 2.2u to win 2u Mets/Nationals O8 Game1 -110

  35. #35
    JuniorAnalyst
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    Results for July 25th Wagering

    Live Bet Chicago/Arizona Live Total O13.5 (+137)
    Risk 2u to win 2.74u
    Live MLB risk 2.1u to win 2u (-105) Under 9.5 twins mariners


    Risking 3u to win 3.18u Oakland/LAAngels Under 7 (+106)x

    Risking 3u to win 3.18u Marlins/Rockies U10 (+106)

    Risking 2.6u to win 2u Detroit Tigers ML (-130)

    Risking 2.4u to win 2u Seattle Mariners -1 (-120)

    Risking 2u to win 2.04u Phillies/Cardinals O8 (+102)
    Risking 1.01u to win 1u Padres/Brewers U8.5 (-101)
    Risking 1u to win 1.56u Chicago Cubs ML (+156)
    Risking 1u to win 1.06u Pirates/Nationals U7 (+106)

    Risking 1u to win 1.02u Braves/Mets O8 (+102)

    3-8 -8.51 units Brutal Day.... Lost twins mariners game in last inning... Verlander Sucked... And the Unders failed to continue...


    MLB 19-23 -2.36 units


    3* 1-1
    2* 4-8

    1* 14-14


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