1. 09-26-12 11:58 PM #1
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    Thursday afternoon

    Some interesting numbers and intriguing matchups.

    I'd like to fade the Tigers, because Fister is way overvalued (he's struggled lately) and Mendoza has been halfway decent. They smell blood, though. Might have to consider KC TT over at the very least.

    I'll probably take Milwaukee, given I'm expecting the Reds to rest damn near everyone. Peralta's looked good so far for the Brew Crew, and I'm not sure how deep Latos will go here.

    Pittsburgh might be worth a small flyer. They're reeling, but Dickey's overpriced given the rest of the two teams are pretty much even. In reality, Dickey should probably be about -170 here -- not -200.

    I might like Seattle +190 most, depending on what happens tonight with the rest of this game. Iwakuma has been a very steady starter for the M's, and Haren is Haren.

    I don't see why you couldn't take these four big dogs and go 2-2 minimum with a profit. I probably like Milwaukee and Seattle more than Kc and Pittsburgh, though.
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  2. 09-27-12 12:20 AM #2
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    Angels won. Kind of like the Tigers -- hard to fade their momentum. Might give SEA +1.5 a try. I still love the idea of fading Haren, especially at that price.

    I'm guessing the Reds scab lineup will be announced tomorrow morning and the Brewers will close in the +110-115 range.
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  3. 09-27-12 09:07 AM #3
    BennyFang
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    I definitely look for value but the last couple weeks of the season get weird i.e. personal records, teams in must wins, others give up, AAA lineups. True value plays are hard to come by now; we're out of the daily grind phase. Both the Mets and Tigers are overvalued, true enough, but the Tigers have some drive right now as you stated....also last home game. The Mets are playing a team that has essentially quit. I doubt they'll be very disciplined today trying to hit a knuckleball. Dickey going for win 20 on the Mets last home date.

    I won't play that much chalk and I don't like -1 or runlines with home teams (potentially only 8 innings to bat), so I'm parlaying the two. Best of luck.
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  4. 09-27-12 09:12 AM #4
    OhMyEli
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    Thank you for some great fade fodder nocoin.
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  5. 09-27-12 11:30 AM #5
    Omaga
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    NC like your angles here..BOL. I took MIL (ML) TT O3.5 & No RUNS in the 1st. Also leaning TEX TT O5
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  6. 09-27-12 11:32 AM #6
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    Regular lineup for the Reds. Surprised.

    No play there.
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  7. 09-27-12 11:44 AM #7
    colts
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    In the late games, wash looks good @ -129 except the weather is bad. How about TB against wsox? Peavy is inconsistent.
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  8. 09-27-12 11:46 AM #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by colts View Post
    In the late games, wash looks good @ -129 except the weather is bad. How about TB against wsox? Peavy is inconsistent.
    Hard to get a read on the White Sox or Peavy. TB's on fire, and Shields is "Big Game James." Something's telling me to steer clear, though.
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  9. 09-27-12 12:01 PM #9
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    Going to roll the dice with the Pirates and KC +1.5.
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  10. 09-27-12 12:04 PM #10
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    You are playing power ball with the pirates coin...............
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  11. 09-27-12 12:05 PM #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    You are playing power ball with the pirates coin...............
    I know.
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  12. 09-27-12 12:23 PM #12
    colts
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Hard to get a read on the White Sox or Peavy. TB's on fire, and Shields is "Big Game James." Something's telling me to steer clear, though.
    Thanks for the info. I took the giants.
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  13. 09-27-12 02:23 PM #13
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    Going to go ahead and take Seattle RL and ML. See what happens.

    GL on the Giants, colts.
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  14. 09-27-12 02:32 PM #14
    tatddy
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    GL today.
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  15. 09-27-12 02:40 PM #15
    italianbandit
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    Can't pass up a Zito fade with + $. Actually liked LTs writeup on them today. GL all.
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  16. 09-27-12 02:43 PM #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    GL today.
    You too tat.

    Quote Originally Posted by italianbandit View Post
    Can't pass up a Zito fade with + $. Actually liked LTs writeup on them today. GL all.
    Zito's actually been relatively OK lately. Don't see why the under isn't being considered there -- juice might be too high, though.
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  17. 09-27-12 02:54 PM #17
    colts
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Going to go ahead and take Seattle RL and ML. See what happens.

    GL on the Giants, colts.
    I can see the value in the sea lines...and as you stated Haren is Haren. GL to you too.
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  18. 09-27-12 04:04 PM #18
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    Faves 4-0 so far and leading two of the remaining three games.

    Unreal September for laying the juice this season.
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  19. 09-27-12 05:06 PM #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhMyEli View Post
    Thank you for some great fade fodder nocoin.
    Hope you enjoyed losing today.
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  20. 09-27-12 05:29 PM #20
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    I'll take a little flier with Miami RL (-125), ML (+178) and TT (over 3 -110) tonight.
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  21. 09-28-12 10:05 AM #21
    colts
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    No coin - nice job with the Mariners ML and RL.
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  22. 09-28-12 10:11 AM #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by colts View Post
    No coin - nice job with the Mariners ML and RL.
    Thanks colts. Shouldn't have gone with the Marlins, though. Just a bunch of losers.

    Giants killed it for you. Weird line there.
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