1. #1
    Inkwell77
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    Join Date: 02-03-11
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    I fukkin hate betting on baseball, but this shiz is kind of crazy!

    Now if I have been taking data correctly:

    This season if you would have just straight bet (1 unit per bet or to win 1 unit per bet) on starting left handed pitches vs starting right handed pitchers you would be up 27.45 units. This is a sample size of 535 games (a left hander has started against a right hander 535 games this season). So if the left handed pitcher was minus money you would bet to win 1 unit (ex -150 = 1.5 units to win 1 unit, -104 = 1.04 units to win 1 unit). If the left handed pitcher was the dog you would have just bet one unit to win whatever.

    Wild stuff right?

    If you would have just bet on left handed pitchers from -101 to -300, the highest you will likely ever see (given that the highest priced loss in a lefty vs righty situation this year was -235), you would be up 18.34 units.

    Now I'm inclined to believe that if you would have just bet leftys at -106 or higher you would be at an even higher unit win than 27 units, but I fukked up and can't find that exact number.

    Now I don't necessarily believe that this will be a profitable formula the rest of the year, actually I am almost inclined to believe that at the end of the year the whole lefty vs righty situation will unit a lower net profit than 27.45 units.

    Just throwing it out there for all you baseball handicappers who enjoy a semi-miserable sport!

  2. #2
    Dutch
    Honky Lips
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    hmm, Wonder how hard it would be to back test a couple of seasons...I'll do the leg work, You know where to get past pitching matchups?

  3. #3
    Inkwell77
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    It took me 3 or 4 hours to do this season, but you probably can do it a bit quicker.

    I just used SBR odds all at closing numbers at 5dimes. Did not care about line shopping or anything like that.

    You can go to this site and can import the data into excel http://www.sportsbookreviewsonline.c...dsarchives.htm
    but it is only for the 2010 season.

    That would probably only take an hour or two having all the data with the L and R already imported in excel.

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