[No coincidences]

Astros +127: Norris is a superior pitcher in this matchup. Houston was close on Monday and I think they can clip the Brewers here. We all know how hittable Wolf is. Just worried about the horrific Stros pen if/when Norris gets pulled.

Royals +122: No, I'm not kidding. Kansas City can get away from the pressure of being so bad (winless) at home. Again, it'll come down to whether or not the bullpen shows up. Sanchez is a wild card, but when he's on, he's on. Lowe is so beatable, and the Tribe are in their first game back from a long road trip.

D'Backs +106: My disdain for Vance Worley is well-documented. I have to give him credit for taking care of business in San Diego the last time out, but it was the Pads after all. He again (no surprise here) gets a mid- to low-level pitching opponent, but I might take a chance on Arizona anyway. Phils are borderline unbettable right now.

I know this technically isn't quite a dog, but I like Atlanta at -113 as well. Minor is an up-and-coming lefty who seems to have really turned the corner. Not a believer in Harang at all. Braves even up this series.

Also like Texas, Toronto, San Fran and the White Sox.

[paco]

U sure do love u some Royals bro lol.

Others look decent at 1st glance.

[No coincidences]

U sure do love u some Royals bro lol.

Others look decent at 1st glance.

What's the definition of insanity?

Me betting the Royals.

They looked solid through the first five games. Not sure what happened after that at home, but I think it'll do them some good to get away from the distractions and I think you'd be crazy to lay -135 with Lowe.

Forgot the Padres at +108 (speaking of shitty teams who can't hit).

[paco]

What u think about Seattle? They play tigers well. Vargas is no chump.

Max is nowhere near a -180 fav, that's insane value on Vargas +170, no?

[lunchbawks]

Randy Wolf can only get worse. If there's ever a chance to exploit Houston hitting it's probably right now

[No coincidences]

What u think about Seattle? They play tigers well. Vargas is no chump.

Max is nowhere near a -180 fav, that's insane value on Vargas +170, no?

Yeah it is. I'm warming up to the idea. That number is absurd.

[SBRMAN23]

Min Blackburn has great numbers against Bos +140 value city

[No coincidences]

Min Blackburn has great numbers against Bos +140 value city

I looked at that one, but Blackburn always kills me when I bet him. With that being said, Boston -160 is absurd as well.

[agendaman]

really guys/none of it makes much sense to me/go figure i bet capuano/lad. tonite vs. jurrjens /i even bet color. w/98 yr. old jamie moyer AND/even bet thr freak/lincecum//wow what does tues. hold aha my boy yu darvish/ santana//why not gl all

[Lakers714]

I think the best dog plays from your list of dog plays is Arizona and Atlanta. They agree they even up the series and the Dodgers find a way to win the series against Beachy on Wednesday. Was also thinking about a small play on the Angels. That lineup is loaded and is primed to breakout any day. Santan is a wild card though but he has the stuff to dominate the Rays.

[Jutzu]

Royals have to win sometime... in the future!

[taxe91]

Min Blackburn has great numbers against Bos +140 value city

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Mike Aviles	10	5	2	1	0	1	1	0	.500	.545	.900	1.445
Marlon Byrd	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.500	.500	.500	1.000
Carl Crawford	14	1	0	0	0	0	3	3	.071	.235	.071	.307
Jacoby Ellsbury	18	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	.278	.316	.278	.594
Adrian Gonzalez	6	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	.333	.333	.333	.667
David Ortiz	10	4	1	0	0	0	3	3	.400	.538	.500	1.038
Dustin Pedroia	13	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	.308	.400	.385	.785
Cody Ross	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	.500	.667	.500	1.167
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	.000
Kelly Shoppach	16	8	1	0	3	5	0	3	.500	.471	1.125	1.596
Ryan Sweeney	13	3	1	0	0	2	2	1	.231	.333	.308	.641
Kevin Youkilis	15	5	0	1	0	1	1	4	.333	.375	.467	.842
Totals	122	39	6	2	3	11	12	18	.320	.387	.475	.862

blackburn has flat out stunk in his two starts, his peripherals have been exceeding his career average and still has a 5.56 era. dont see any value in him unless his price gets inflated even further

[SBRMAN23]

BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Mike Aviles	10	5	2	1		1	1		.500	.545	.900	1.445
Marlon Byrd	2	1							.500	.500	.500	1.000
Carl Crawford	14	1					3	3	.071	.235	.071	.307
Jacoby Ellsbury	18	5							.278	.316	.278	.594
Adrian Gonzalez	6	2				1		1	.333	.333	.333	.667
David Ortiz	10	4	1				3	3	.400	.538	.500	1.038
Dustin Pedroia	13	4	1			1	1	1	.308	.400	.385	.785
Cody Ross	2	1					1		.500	.667	.500	1.167
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	3							2	.000	.000	.000	.000
Kelly Shoppach	16	8	1		3	5		3	.500	.471	1.125	1.596
Ryan Sweeney	13	3	1			2	2	1	.231	.333	.308	.641
Kevin Youkilis	15	5		1		1	1	4	.333	.375	.467	.842
Totals	122	39	6	2	3	11	12	18	.320	.387	.475	.862

blackburn has flat out stunk in his two starts, his peripherals have been exceeding his career average and still has a 5.56 era. dont see any value in him unless his price gets inflated even further

His Era against Bos is 0.64 or something crazy yes they might hit him but in three starts they havnt won or put up much runs so i will take the number and run im not paying 160 on Bos the way they have played this year.

[hydrosmak]

Knew you would be looking at San Diego. The betting percentages on this game are just absurd right now...

[RoadDog]

Astros bullpen should be the least of your worries Coin. They have 4-5 solid arms. As a team, the astros haven't allowed more than 6 runs all season. Great statistic.

[Big Bear]

why the hell would you bet on San Diego?????


Gio Gonzalez against that line-up??? really? c'mon bro.

[face]

padres?? oh. no tha's ok

[Maddhatter]

Loving Houston today. Will they be able to finally break the losing streak vs Milw? Will the real Randy Wolf show up? I have to go with the team with a higher batting ave, on base %, and better pitching stats in 2012. 2012 Milwaukee has 3 starters batting under .225 (based on yesterday's starting rotation) all with sub .300 OBP. Houston is hitting .171 vs Wolf but note that besides Lee, Johnson and Altuve (1 for 3), this is relatively a different lineup. Milw is hitting .299 vs Norris.

Paragraph taken from an article written on http://disciplesofuecker.com/early-s...-to-watch/4413.

"Amongst starting pitchers, Randy Wolf has the highest contact rate at 91.1%. Opposing hitters are not being fooled by his repertoire this year, nor are they missing the baseball when swinging. That is further evidenced by his minuscule 4.3% swinging strike rate. Thus, we should not be surprised that opposing hitters are lighting up Wolf on the mound. The left-hander is surrendering a .352 batting average and an 18% line drive rate.Wolf needs to work off his offspeed pitches a bit more. His fastball and cutter do not overpower hitters, though 87-90 MPH does seem much faster at the plate following a 67 MPH curveball or a 78 MPH changeup. This is not to suggest that throwing more offspeed stuff will magically solve the problem, but Randy Wolf works best when he changes speeds and throws any pitch in any count. Having three distinct speeds is always a luxury for a pitcher because a hitter then cannot have a 50-50 guess in terms of velocity. Wolf needs to utilize all three of those speeds — fastball/cutter, changeup, and curveball — if he wants to find success on the mound, start fooling some hitters, and ultimately lessen that contact percentage."

Another interesting article written on the same site....

http://disciplesofuecker.com/randy-w...the-plate/3992

I did take the O8.5 but very small last night and looking at Houston TT O3.5 as a possible play also. Looking at the lines today, this game may possibly go under by a small margin. Hoping for a final score of 6-3 or 5-3 Houston. Houston is 5-1 when scoring 5 or more runs. Yesterday was the first loss on that trend.

Took Atl and Seattle. Went real small w/ Mets and CHC. GL today NoCoin!