1. #141
    jbizzle
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    JR, I think I'm over-betting my bankroll when betting your 10* and 20* amounts. If my bankroll is 3k, how much do you recommend betting per 5*, 10*, and 20* amount? Thanks for the help!

  2. #142
    RAK
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    A good starting point would be 1 unit= 1% of your roll. So, for a roll of 3K 1 unit=$30. Even at this conservative approach and baseball being a marathon season you may want to lower units risked for 10* and 20* plays. A couple of 20* losses can really put a dent in your bankroll. For me personally I rather be to conservative than to aggresive.

  3. #143
    John Ryan
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    Hi all. Been watching games, Like Tampa bay as a 10 star play +124

  4. #144
    Dennisd
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    nice pick John

  5. #145
    Luminosity
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    2/29/12
    10* 1-0 +12.4U

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-19 +1.77U
    10* 3-7 -41.6U
    20* 0-1 -21 U
    -58.1 units overall.

  6. #146
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by jbizzle View Post
    JR, I think I'm over-betting my bankroll when betting your 10* and 20* amounts. If my bankroll is 3k, how much do you recommend betting per 5*, 10*, and 20* amount? Thanks for the help!
    jbizzle (and RAK)...See page#1 of this thread, post#32 (not THE answer...but it's what works best for me)

  7. #147
    jbizzle
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    Thanks Fitguy67, that is my plan now: $30 for 5*, $60 for 10*, and $120 for 20*.
    before I was doing 2% or $60 for 5*, $120 for 10*, and $240 for 20*, but realized that was way too much after Saturdays losses.

  8. #148
    Luminosity
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    JR's plays from the write-ups

    5* Red Sox -150
    5* Bues Jays boxed with Drabek +125

  9. #149
    John Ryan
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    heading in the wrong direction.. I have been down over 100 units in past seasons only to surge.. so, keep the faith fans.

    5* Toronto + 134

    5* Boston - 144

    reports are on the site

  10. #150
    Luminosity
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    4/30/12
    5* 1-1 even

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-19 +1.77U
    10* 3-7 -41.6U
    20* 0-1 -21 U
    -58.1 units overall.

  11. #151
    Luminosity
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    JR's play today

    10* Phillies boxed with Hamels +105

  12. #152
    John Ryan
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    Yes, Phillies, but i think the line I had earlier today was a bit higher like +124.. is what I remember quoting in the article.. In the long run doesn't matter.

    I will stick with just this play for now, but now that we are in may, I will have more run line and totals plays to offer. Thanks.

  13. #153
    Luminosity
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    I didn't see the price you booked. I only saw the price of the Braves in the article, so I used the current line for 5dimes. I will update the price to +124 for the records.

  14. #154
    Luminosity
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    5/1/12
    10* 1-0 +12.4U

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-19 +1.77U
    10* 3-7 -29.2U
    20* 0-1 -21U
    -45.7 units overall.

  15. #155
    Luminosity
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    Hey JR, thinking about playing the A's vs. the Red Sox at +165. Any thoughts?

  16. #156
    ireland1946
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luminosity View Post
    Hey JR, thinking about playing the A's vs. the Red Sox at +165. Any thoughts?
    I hope you did it was a great Pick

  17. #157
    Luminosity
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    Picks from JR's articles:

    5* Pirates +149
    10* Phillies -115

  18. #158
    sta0g
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    You forgot to change the 10* record from 3-7 to 4-7. Thanks for keeping score

    Quote Originally Posted by Luminosity View Post
    5/1/12
    10* 1-0 +12.4U

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-19 +1.77U
    10* 3-7 -29.2U
    20* 0-1 -21U
    -45.7 units overall.

  19. #159
    Luminosity
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    Quote Originally Posted by sta0g View Post
    You forgot to change the 10* record from 3-7 to 4-7. Thanks for keeping score
    Thanks, I wouldn't have realized it either.

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-19 +1.77U
    10* 4-7 -29.2U
    20* 0-1 -21U
    -45.7 units overall.

  20. #160
    John Ryan
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    10 star philadelphia. -109

    5 star pittsburgh +156

    Research on the site.

  21. #161
    Luminosity
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    5/2/12
    10* 0-1 -10.9U
    5* 0-1 -5U
    total -15.9U

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-20 -3.23U
    10* 4-8 -40.1U
    20* 0-1 -21U
    -61.6 units overall.

  22. #162
    ghislaine
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    Hi everyone, thanks for the great job You keep doing JR
    Will start tailing You, making a comeback to betting, but I will labby all my bets, evening out the value of numbers on the
    line everyday.
    Your picks will make a great addition, I know labby is very conservative, but makes profit

  23. #163
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by ghislaine View Post
    Hi everyone, thanks for the great job You keep doing JR
    Will start tailing You, making a comeback to betting, but I will labby all my bets, evening out the value of numbers on the
    line everyday.
    Your picks will make a great addition, I know labby is very conservative, but makes profit

    awesome.. Thanks for being a part of this!

  24. #164
    John Ryan
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    10* Philadelphia +110

    Phillies are an impressive 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games facing a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last two seasons.

    5* Seattle +165

    5* graded play on Seattle as they take on Tampa Bay set to start at 1:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Seattle will get a huge upset win in this game. Seattle is in a strong role for this win. They are 13-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs over the last two seasons. Rays skipper is 37-44 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. This shows that the line gets over valued as the public steadily will join any team that is on an established winning streak. Baseball is a great game and one of the reason why is that unexpected results happen nearly everyday. I strongly believe this will be one of them and we are getting paid handsomely to take the Mariners in this situation.

  25. #165
    ghislaine
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    With You on the Seattle tonight !! Would be great to win a dog like that

  26. #166
    ghislaine
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    oh well, tomorrow again doing a labby, so good either way...

  27. #167
    Luminosity
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    5/3/12
    5* 0-1 -5U
    10* 1-0 +11U
    Net 6U

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 19-21 -8.23U
    10* 4-8 -29.1U
    20* 0-1 -21U
    -55.6 units overall.

  28. #168
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by jbizzle View Post
    JR, I think I'm over-betting my bankroll when betting your 10* and 20* amounts. If my bankroll is 3k, how much do you recommend betting per 5*, 10*, and 20* amount? Thanks for the help!
    Sorry I di dont get back to you sooner. I like what is mentioned already.. $10 per * i think is an excellent starting point.

  29. #169
    Luminosity
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    JR's play today

    10* Phillies +160

    Also, he suggests betting the Phillies to win the series and to sweep the series if you have one or both of those options.

    Great pick JR

  30. #170
    John Ryan
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    Ok sports fans. Time for a run of the dice. But educated rolls. I have two more dogs to add to philadelphia.

    5 star Kansas city +154

    5 star Oakland + 174

    So I will do a three team Lund robin parlay using these lines combined with Philadelphia that is +172

    3 star parlay philadelphia and Kansas city pays off 17.73 units
    3 star parlay philadelpgia and oakland pays off 19.36 units
    3 star array icon and Oakland Amy's off 17.87 units.


    Yes it requires guts and trust to follow this. There are times I lose all three dogs but there are times too that I hit two of three or even three of three. A 35 percent win percentage ends up making a significant amount of yen.

  31. #171
    Luminosity
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    5/4/12
    3* 0-3 -9U
    5* 0-2 -10U
    10* 0-1 -10U
    Net -29U

    Overall
    1* 1-1 +8.28U
    3* 0-6 -18U
    5* 19-23 -18.23U
    10* 4-9 -39.1U
    20* 0-1 -21U
    -84.6 units overall.

  32. #172
    drnkyourmlkshk
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    John I gotta ask what do you see in this Phillies team?!?! If we take philly out of this thread you might be up on the year. I hate them currently, they have no power and their bullpen with the exception of Papelbon. I just can't see a upside with this group until they get healthy again.

  33. #173
    JJJ
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    Brutal

  34. #174
    Luminosity
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    Diamondbacks looks like a good play today, kinda like the Braves too

  35. #175
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by drnkyourmlkshk View Post
    John I gotta ask what do you see in this Phillies team?!?! If we take philly out of this thread you might be up on the year. I hate them currently, they have no power and their bullpen with the exception of Papelbon. I just can't see a upside with this group until they get healthy again.

    You are right.. and hindsight is always 20:20.. I keeping seeing them getting closer to one of those 10-game winning streaks and this isa year where power ball is minimized. Pitching is dominating and the Phillies are always in nearly every game. I've lost Phillies games mostly with the bullpen and mostly blowing leads.. so, I think the Phillies will be ok, but your point is a very good one.

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