1. 10-07-11 12:03 PM #1
    stevenash
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    I say there is value in Kennedy ('Zona) at +140

    I know I've been touting the Brewers and Phillies in the NLCS for two months now, I can change my mind.

    I think getting 40 cents plus my dollar is generous for a pitcher (Kennedy) who's been solid as a rock all year.

    Plus the Brews only hit .244 off of him, Braun is 5 for 10, but 3 singles, no taters, 2 doubles, but no RBI's, no walks, which screams Kennedy will pitch to him with the bases open.

    Prince has two homers, but Weeks can't hit him, Kennedy makes Hart look silly, amd McGehee is 0 for 9.

    I know Gallardo when on can be tough, and the Snakes don't hit him well either, but Kennedy at +140 is too enticing for me to pass up.

    If it goes south, it goes south, but I feel the better bet is the dog at +140 then the fave at -150.

    Good luck all, play ball.
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  2. 10-07-11 02:46 PM #2
    toddorts
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    Yeah, I see value at +140, but it's not a whole lot. I capped my own line at +131. I found a lot better value in the Milwaukee RL, though, so I went with that. My calculated line for the -1.5 RL on the Brewers was +119, and I found a +150 at one of the books, with most offering +145. I found that to be the better value, but either is a profitable play over time in my mind.
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  3. 10-07-11 02:50 PM #3
    lakerboy
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    agree but it will be tough. taking both dogs today should be profitable.
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  4. 10-07-11 02:51 PM #4
    BGS 9.5
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    Already on it at +144, gl Nash
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  5. 10-07-11 02:52 PM #5
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    agree but it will be tough. taking both dogs today should be profitable.
    Yes, I'm on both bow-wows today for a buck.

    1 out 2 turns a profit, I don't see both chalks hitting.

    BoL
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  6. 10-07-11 02:52 PM #6
    laclippers504
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    Only value if they win. I parlayed the two dogs today....good luck
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  7. 10-07-11 02:52 PM #7
    Regul8er
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    Goodluck Steve Nash! Why don't you just request a trade to Toronto to finish your career? Toronto would welcome you with open arms!
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  8. 10-07-11 02:54 PM #8
    priskilla22
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    agree but it will be tough. taking both dogs today should be profitable.
    Taking both dogs is pretty dumb if that is the way you are looking at it.

    Much much much better chance that both dogs lose than both dogs win, so the most likely scenario is still losing a lot. The second most likely scenario is being slightly in the green.
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  9. 10-07-11 03:02 PM #9
    CollegePro
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    good pick... been saying this since last night.. love dbacks today. GL!!
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  10. 10-07-11 03:16 PM #10
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by priskilla22 View Post
    Taking both dogs is pretty dumb if that is the way you are looking at it.

    Much much much better chance that both dogs lose than both dogs win, so the most likely scenario is still losing a lot. The second most likely scenario is being slightly in the green.
    Nothing dumb about taking both dogs, I wouldn't parlay them, but hitting one will turn a profit...is tis you Brahmabull?
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  11. 10-07-11 03:18 PM #11
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by priskilla22 View Post
    Taking both dogs is pretty dumb if that is the way you are looking at it.
    Both favorites are over priced, both dogs have a very real chance of winning.
    I don't need a gambling lesson from you, run along please.
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  12. 10-07-11 03:19 PM #12
    nomar122977
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    i took d backs +1.5 and philly - 1.5
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  13. 10-07-11 03:20 PM #13
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by BernardMadoff View Post
    Nothing dumb about taking both dogs, I wouldn't parlay them, but hitting one will turn a profit...is tis you Brahmabull?

    no its kerrywoodswins20. chicago area guy. been around here two weeks.
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  14. 10-07-11 03:20 PM #14
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Both favorites are over priced, both dogs have a very real chance of winning.
    I don't need a gambling lesson from you, run along please.
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  15. 10-07-11 03:26 PM #15
    DrStale
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    Casey McGehee not playin (because he sucks)

    GO CREW
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  16. 10-07-11 03:29 PM #16
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrStale View Post
    Casey McGehee not playin (because he sucks)
    0 for 9 lifetime versus Kennedy.
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  17. 10-07-11 03:30 PM #17
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    no its kerrywoodswins20. chicago area guy. been around here two weeks.
    Loser.
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  18. 10-07-11 03:33 PM #18
    Regul8er
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    Jery Hairston has taken over 3rd base duties for a while now.
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  19. 10-07-11 03:45 PM #19
    priskilla22
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Loser.
    Not sure why you'd be listening to the 2nd biggest loser on this forum (Lakerboy)

    Dude hits at a 44% clip and posts like he is a genius.
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  20. 10-07-11 03:45 PM #20
    priskilla22
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    no its kerrywoodswins20. chicago area guy. been around here two weeks.
    Not true.

    But you are 1-29 your last 30 picks, it'd make sense you'd be off base on other things too.
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