Bowl eligibility hangs on the outcome for UTEP while East Carolina has already sewn up a spot in the C-USA title game. Take the Miners and the points at the Pirates.
The UTEP Miners lost a tight game last week but at 5-6, bowl eligibility is still a possibility. Last season these teams went to overtime with East Carolina winning by three in a game that UTEP posted nearly 600 yards.
Last week’s narrow win for East Carolina clinched the C-USA East division title so there is much less on the line for the Pirates in this game. UTEP has a great record as an underdog in recent years and the Miners are on a 3-game ATS winning streak.
East Carolina is 1-8 ATS in the last nine games, still overvalued from the great start to the year. East Carolina has not topped 20 points in four straight games and the Pirates will have a hard time keeping up with UTEP’s offense. The Pirates have been out-rushed in seven of the last 10 games and UTEP is averaging a full yard more per rushing attempt on the season. Two of East Carolina’s last three wins came in overtime and with the division locked up this could be a lackluster home effort from the Pirates.
UTEP’s defense is bad but even against the worst defenses they have faced East Carolina has not posted much for offensive output.
Free Pick: UTEP +6 (+100)