The UCLA Bruins and the Arizona State Sun Devils are set to clash in the desert this Saturday afternoon in a Pac-12 South Division showdown between two teams each looking to notch their sixth win of the season. The game is slated to get underway at 3:30 p.m. and it will be available on the Fox Sports Network.
UCLA bounced-back from an embarrassing
43-17 loss to California as a 2.5-point road favorite with a tight 21-14
victory over Utah as a 9.5-point home favorite before last week’s bye. The net
effect of all this is a 5-2 record straight-up and a 4-3 record against the
spread. The total has stayed UNDER in four last its last five games.
The UCLA Bruins started the season as one of
the biggest surprises in the conference with three-straight wins including a
shocker over Nebraska as an underdog at home, but lately they have settled into
their role as just one of the better teams in the Pac-12. UCLA still has
excellent balance on offense between the pass and the run and the defense is
holding opponents to an average of just 22.6 points a game, but the overall
team lacks the intensity it displayed earlier in the year.
State Game Overview
Arizona State had a golden opportunity
to make a statement in last Thursday night’s prime-time showdown against No.4
Oregon as an 8.5-point underdog at home, but it came completely unglued in a
43-21 loss. This setback dropped its overall record to 5-2 both SU and ATS. The
total stayed UNDER the 68.5-point line and has now stayed UNDER in four of its
last five games.
The Sun Devils are still a pretty solid
team on both sides of the ball with an offense that is putting-up 37.7 points a
game to complement a defense that is holding its opponents to just 18.3 points
a game. This matchup could hinge on Taylor Kelly’s ability to move the offense
down the field through the air after throwing for 1,693 yards and 15 touchdowns
so far while completing 67 percent of his attempts.
UCLA vs. Arizona State Betting Lines and Trends
College Football odds makers have opened the Sun Devils as 6.5 point favorites in this matchup, though some shops are offering the line at 7. The betting total has been set at a high 57.5.
Let's take a deeper look at this matchup and decide where we can find the best value with our College Football picks this Saturday.
The Bruins are 4-11 ATS in their last 15
games on the road and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win. The
total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight games following an ATS
The Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last
seven games overall but 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss.
The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 11 games at home.
Head-to-head, the home team in this
series is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in the
last two. UCLA is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings overall, but Arizona State
has won three of the last five games SU.
vs. Arizona State Game Prediction
UCLA does not look like the same team that
started the season like a house on fire with a number of questions marks coming
off a bye. The Sun Devils have now had a good nine days to stew about their
performance against Oregon and will be ready to make amends with a strong
showing at home come Saturday afternoon.
College Football Picks: Arizona
State 33 UCLA 20