South Florida,Auburn,Big East,SEC
9/8/2007 9:00:00 PM
South Florida and Auburn played well defensively while having trouble on offense last week. These teams usually go Under out of conference, and should do so again.
[articleBanner]who2beton[/articleBanner]Both the Auburn Tigers and South Florida Bulls looked good defensively in their respective openers, and we look for those defenses to key the Under here.
Now granted, South Florida opened with mighty Elon, while Auburn had a more legitimate test, facing Kansas State. Still, USF has high hopes on the defensive side this season after allowing just 16.9 points per game last year, keying a sparkling 9-2-1 Under mark. At the very least, they had a decent tune-up for this week.
There is concern with the Bulls offense however, as they have to be disappointed with the 28-13 score vs. a subdivision school. They ended up with 19 first downs and 373 total yards, which is not terrible, but their expected much better. Now they are facing one of the premier defenses in the country, and given their performance last week, the Bulls should have a lot of trouble moving the ball this week.
The Auburn defense was the only reason the Tigers were able to beat Kansas State, as they broke open a three-point game late by returning a fumble for a touchdown. The offense was unspectacular to say the least, generating just one touchdown and 291 total yards, and they had just 62 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Thus we look for these clubs to mirror each other this week, with both offenses playing rather conservatively while waiting for their respective defenses to make the big play.
These teams rarely show much when playing out of conference anyway, as the Under is 9-1 in the last 10 South Florida non-conference games, as well as 10-4 in Auburn’s last 14 non-conference contests. Based on the performances last week, there is no reason to believe this week will be any different.
Free Pick: South Florida, Auburn Under 38½