Chad Millman of ESPN has reported that many “sharps” like Oklahoma so much that the line of this game has jumped from Oklahoma -3.5 to Oklahoma -6.5 in some books during the week.
Unlike many of our peers in the industry we at the www.skulldogshow.com do not get caught up in a lot of the hype surrounding Vegas “sharp” plays and conspiracy theories when handicapping games. The bottom line is that at the www.skulldogshow.com we have a system that we have refined to much success over the last 20 years to consistently pick winners in spite of what is happing in Vegas or with the other handicappers out there.
And this brings me to this week’s Big 12 matchup with #13 Nebraska and the 10th ranked Sooners from Nebraska. No rest for the weary Sooners here as they are coming fresh off their marquee win of the year in taking down Oklahoma St. last week 47-41 in a game that really was not as close as the score indicates.
Oklahoma will be leaning heavily on its “Joe Dirt” look alike QB Landry Jones who has thrown for over 3000 yards on the season and 34 touchdowns with only 10 picks on the year.
On the other side of the ball Nebraska showed some resiliency in taking out an inferior Colorado team last week 45-17 and clinching the Big 12 North title. All the buzz in this one is on QB Taylor Martinez and his health as he has been battling an ankle injury and is listed as day to day.
Key to the Game
While most will focus on these two top QB’s matching up in this Big 12 showdown we at the Skulldogshow think that Defense and Special teams are the key to this one. Who could forget this game last year when Nebraska limited Oklahoma to 3 points in a 10-3 win in Lincoln and baited Jones into 5 interceptions in the game. Another tough day against the Cornhuskers isn't out of the question for Jones, however. Nebraska had the nation's No. 1 pass efficiency defense last season -- allowing 5.11 yards per attempt -- and it's second this season, yielding 5.26 per throw behind shutdown cornerbacks Prince Amukamara and Alfonzo Dennard.
While this game is being played on a neutral field in Dallas we think there will be no significant advantage for either team as both of these historic programs travel well and will show up to represent their respective teams. While some are concerned about QB Taylor Martinez’s health we are not as Defense will dictate the outcome in this one. We believe that Oklahoma will struggle to move the ball consistently against the country’s best Defense and a combination of Martinez and backup Cody Green should give the Huskers enough offense to keep the Sooners offense on the sidelines. Also, watch out for a big game from kicker Alex Henery who is the nation’s best kicker (and all around tremendous athlete) who is 16-17 on the year for FG’s attempted with a 52 yarder on his resume. In the end the Huskers leave the Big 12 in style with a big win here….
The Free College Football Pick: Nebraska +4