College Football Pick,Virginia Tech Hokies,LSU Tigers
9/8/2007 9:15:00 PM
Virginia Tech slipped past East Carolina in an emotional game last week. But emotions won't carry them to a cover this time when the Hokies take on the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge.
An ESPN Night game on national TV. I like the LSU Tigers here in a battle of Top 10 teams. Kind of one sided, and a large number to lay featuring Top 10 teams, but I cannot ignore what occurred in Blacksburg last week.
East Carolina was within 17 yards of total offense in that game against Virginia Tech, and remember that VT's 17 points included an interception run back for a TD. Managing 10 points of offense at home is scary against East Carolina considering the LSU defense is off the charts!
LSU pounded Mississippi St. in their opener on the road, and the defense looked sharp in a shutout on the road. The key here is QB protection. East Carolina pressured and sacked VT's QB with ease last week. That is not good going against LSU now whose defense will be fired up in front of the faithful in their home opener. And defensive coordinator Bo Pellini, whom I am familiar with from his days at Nebraska, rarely if at all shows any mercy in his schemes and blitz packages when ahead on the scoreboard. LSU is also good enough in the secondary to play man-to-man coverage and load up in the trenches to stop the run. QB Matt Flynn settled in for the Tigers with a very good night in the opener (12-for-19, 128 yards and 2 TD passes). LSU's defense allowed under one yard per rush against Miss. St.
Va Tech will have some success on the ground here, but I doubt QB Sean Glennon will get near 245 yards passing like he did last week against the weak secondary of East Carolina. The Hokies were also 6-for-14 on third downs, and on the road in Baton Rouge, that stat will not get it done against LSU. The Hokies are slightly overrated, and had some distractions last week with all the ceremonies about the fallen students and etc, but LSU is one of the best teams in the nation and at home will win by more than 11.
LSU-24 Virginia Tech-10...lay the wood.
Free Pick: LSU -11 (-106)