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10/25/2012 12:00:00 PM
Friday night features two NCAA Football matchups. First, there is a Big East battle. The Cincinnati Bearcats clash with the 16th ranked Louisville Cardinals. Then, we have a war between the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Air Force Falcons.
We'll break down the games and come up with a parlay to set
you up for a full slate of Saturday college football games.
at Louisville Cardinals
Bearcats vs. Cardinals:Cincinnati and Munchie Legaux were knocked out of the top 25
after at tough defeat to the Toledo Rockets 29-23. A game where they had the
lead for just 6 minutes and never had control. Toledo was able to capitalize
off of turnovers and special teams, even though the Bearcats outgained the
Rockets yards-wise, 478-355.
As for the Cardinals: they had an ugly win against a 2-5
South Florida team, 27-25. A narrow victory like this, doesn't say much for the
Big East Conference in which Louisville is the unanimous leader at 7-0 and 16th
in the country. It brings up a lot of questions about the Cardinals. South
Florida had the edge in first downs, total yardage, rushing yardage, and time
The Cardinals will look to put that "victory"
behind them. This should be a defining game for them in the Big East
Sophomore Teddy Bridgewater is coming off of a near perfect
game in where he was 21 for 25 for 256 yards with 2 TD and no INT's.
Bridgewater has a wide array of receivers to throw the ball to. Louisville has
8 receivers with 100 yards or more and Bridgewater shows no sign of difficulty
in getting them the ball as his 73.4% completion percentage reflects.
On the ground, Louisville will serve the Bearcats up with
seniors, Perry and Jeremy Wright. On the season, they've combined for a
collective 17 TD's and over 1000 yards running the ball.
Will Louisville be
able to stop the 16th ranked rushing of the Cincinnati is the question?
Cincinnati is a team that prides themselves on their run
game and their defense. They allow just 16.8 points per game which puts them in
the top 20 in the country.
Senior George Winn (607 yards, 4 TD) quarterback Munchie
Legaux , and running back Ralph Abernathy represent the running game. Cincy's
running game is defined by George Winn, but Abernathy is coming off of an
encouraging effort against Toledo in where he rushed the ball 9 times for 98
yards. We could see more of him in this game.
The key for Cincinnati is to not beat themselves and that
starts with Legaux. He's a productive QB but isn't known for his accuracy and
is coming off of a 2 interception game. The offensive line provides Legaux
plenty of time and he needs to use better judgment.
NCAA betting odds list Louisville as a 3 point favorite and
the total for the game is 52.5.
I don't like the way that Louisville is coming into such a
big game and they're facing a tough Cincinnati defense. I'm going to lean towards
the total in which 52.5 points should be plenty. Take the UNDER.
Parlay pick #1 -
Lousiville/Cincinnati UNDER 52.5
Nevada at Air Force
Nevada is coming off of a tough loss, a 39-38 defeat to San
Diego State, where the Aztecs went for the 2 point conversion in overtime and
were successful; a tough way for a quality team to lose.
On the bright side, Quarterback Cody Fajardo, returned from
injury and was nearly flawless. He completed 29 of 40 for 304 yards and 3 TD's.
Fajardo also ran for 66 yards and that's where Nevada excels.
Nevada is 7th in the nation in rushing at 272 yards per game
and is an overall explosive offensive team, averaging 40.6 points per game,
ranking them 16th in the nation. Their defense is their weakness and this could
be a high scoring affair.
Look for the Wolf Pack to run Stefphon Jefferson down the
Falcons collective throats. On the season, Jefferson has rushed for 1248 yards
and 15 TD's. He's scored a touchdown in every game except for 1. Therefore, you
know that he'll play a key role in the success of the offensive oriented Wolf
Air Force is an even more one-dimensional team as they rank
2nd in the nation with an amazing 352.7 yards rushing per game but average a
mere 110.9 yards through the air. The element of surprise will not be an issue
here when the Falcons throw running back Cody Getz (928 yards, 8 TD's ) at the
Nevada defense. Air Force is super deep at the running back position and
quarterback Connor Dietz is also a viable option.
Where the passing game is concerned, Dietz doesn't look to
air it out often but he's an efficient quarterback. Dietz has yet to throw an
interception this season in just 69 attempts.
This isn't the MMA, but expect a lot of ground and pound
from Air Force in somewhat of an ugly approach to the fans and television
NCAA Football betting odds list Nevada as a 3.5 point
favorite and the total is listed at 66.5.
I'm going to stay away from the total for my college football picks in this one. It could go either
way with Air Force's style of strictly run offense. Nevada is the better
all-around team in this game and the odds reflect that opinion. Look for the
well rounded Wolf Pack to overtake the one-dimensional Falcons.
Parlay Pick #2-