Well it’s hard to believe that another season of College Football
is all but over as we look forward to Bowl games. SBR has a selection of locks
and picks for this weekend’s games. Good Luck!
First up, as always, is John Ryan whose technical neural
analytics system for betting is producing some solid winners ATS.
Through eight weeks that he has released his College Football
5-pack of 5* Locks, I have produced a
29-16 ATS record for 64.4% winners. These are plays he strongly believes
will win ATS based on extensive research and 17-years of experience. He releases
plays ranging from 3* Free picks to Top Rated 25* Games of the Year. Between
these extremes are 5* Monster plays, 7* Titans, 10* Titans, and 15* Games of
the Week. These are 5* Monster Locks plays and may include optional money line
plays too. Given the shorter card and to prevent any duplication of my 10* and higher
premium selections he has provided a 3-pack of Lock plays.
Southern Cal (2-9, 2-5
MWC) at UCLA (7-4, 4-3 MWC)
December 4, 10:30 EST
Southern Cal Trojans will win this game by seven or more points based on
my Neural Network based simulator. Trojans will be able to run the ball well
gaining more than 5.5 rushing yards per play and as a result will have a very
high probability of scoring 28 or more points. UCLA is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when they
allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last two seasons; 0-6 ATS
(-6.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points this season. Take Southern Cal.
San Jose State (1-11, 0-7
WAC) at Idaho (5-7, 2-5 WAC)
Saturday, December 4, 2:30 EST Start
Although San Jose State is one of the worst teams in the nation
they match up well against the Idaho Vandals. The Vandals cannot run the ball
ranking 118th gaining 81.3 yards per game. This allows San Jose State to sit
back in a modified/soft cover-2 scheme and eliminate the big plays. San Jose
State will be able to move the ball against the 76th ranked scoring defense
allowing 28.8 points per game. Idaho is off a tough emotional loss at Fresno
State losing 23-20 installed as 10 12 point dogs. Note that Idaho is just 3-15 ATS in home
games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1992. Take San Jose
Florida Atlantic (4-7, 3-4
Sun Belt) vs. Troy University (6-5, 5-2 Sun Belt)
Saturday, November 27, 2:00 ET Start
Troy is ranked 14th nationally in passing gaining 286.6 yards per
game. Their ground attack that ranks 63rd gaining 150.6 yards per game is just
strong enough to setup the play action pass plays. These 2nd and short
situations will exploit a highly suspect FAU secondary. Troy is supported by a
29-10 ATS system hitting 74.4% winners since 2000. Play against a home team after being beaten
by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games and is
facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in
their last three games. Take
Thanks John and
good luck with your plays readers!
Next up for Week 14 college football Free NCAAF Picks is
Arizona State Sun
Devils @ Arizona Wildcats
The Arizona Wildcats have lost three straight games and
are heading into the Territorial Cup matchup versus rival Arizona State at a
low point. They have nothing to play for and have once again proved that they
are just a second tier Pac 10 team.
Meanwhile, the Sun Devils have been competitive all
season long and are playing for bowl eligibility. This is an important contest
for them and they should at the very least cover, if not win outright.
Free NCAAF Pick: Arizona
State +6, Arizona State +210, Over 54.
USC Trojans @ UCLA
Speaking of teams that have packed it in, you can throw
UCLA into that category. They have lost five of their last six, blown their
chance at bowl eligibility and might be tuning out head coach Rick Neuheisel.
USC has had an up-and-down season but they are clearly a
better team when quarterback Matt Barkley is under center. He missed last
week’s game but should start this week and lead the Trojans to an easy win.
Free NCAAF Pick: USC -6.5, USC
-260, Under 54
Oregon Ducks @
Oregon State Beavers
The Oregon State Beavers are yet another Pac 10 team that
has disappeared in the latter part of the season and Mike Riley’s squad is
going to have to put up quite a fight just to keep the Civil War close.
The Beavers have lost three of four including a 38-0
route at the hands of Stanford last week and losses to Washington and UCLA as
well in that stretch. They are playing for bowl eligibility but that won’t
matter as the Ducks are flat-out rolling right now.
Even if this is close at halftime, the Ducks will run
away with this contest rather easily and cover the large number.
Free NCAAF Pick: Oregon -16.5,
Oregon -725, Over 64
Auburn Tigers @
South Carolina Gamecocks
The Auburn Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks have
already met once this year with the Tigers prevailing. In that matchup, though,
South Carolina held a 20-7 lead at one point before the Tigers roared their way
The Tigers are playing even better than they did before
and while the Gamecocks run defense might have what it takes to slow Cam Newton
and Auburn, they don’t have the team to beat them.
Free NCAAF Pick: South
Carolina +5, Auburn -215, Under 61
Seminoles @ Virginia Tech Hokies
The Virginia Tech Hokies have washed away the memories of
an 0-2 start and have not lost a single football game since that embarrassing
beginning. In that span, their young defense has developed into one of the best
in the ACC and their offense is in rhythm both on the ground and through the
Florida State backed into the ACC Championship Game and
while they’ve been competitive this year, they have still had a few brain
cramps (see: North Carolina State). Bet the Hokies to win and represent the ACC
in the BCS this year.
Free NCAAF Pick: Virginia
Tech -4, Virginia Tech -175, Under 52
Cornhuskers @ Oklahoma Sooners
A month ago, the Cornhuskers looked unstoppable with a
stout defense and a swift quarterback running the show. Now, Taylor Martinez is
hobbled by an ankle injury, the offense is lacking explosive plays and the
Huskers are somewhat limping into the Big 12 Championship Game.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma is as confident as it’s been all year
long. They just knocked off rival Oklahoma State in Stillwater and have now won
three straight heading into this meeting. Bob Stoops has his squad rolling and
they’ll head to the BCS one more time.
Free NCAAF Pick: Oklahoma
-4.5, Oklahoma -200, Under 54