We know there will be at least a few upsets in college football this week; there are every week. Sometimes we can see them coming, sometimes they come from out of absolutely nowhere.
This week presents a slew of potential upsets, with some
good teams dogged on the NCAAF odds. Here's a short list of potential upsets
for college football Week 11, that you should consider before making your NCAAF pick.
Stanford +10 vs.
Oregon - (Thursday)
The Cardinal upset the Ducks in Eugene last year as 18-point
dogs; why wouldn't they be able to do it again on their home field?
This game will probably decide the Pac-12 North; Oregon is
5-0 in conference play, Stanford 5-1.
The Cardinal beat the Ducks last year by doing a couple of
things; they ran the ball 46 times for 200 yards, which allowed them to possess
the ball for 37 minutes; and they “held” UO to 198 yards on the ground.
Stanford will likely try to use the same game plan Thursday night.
Oklahoma +14 at
If, before this season started, someone told us Baylor would
be favored by two touchdowns over the Sooners in Week 11, we'd have assumed OU
had suffered some kind of breakdown, perhaps because of a severe bite from the
But that's hasn't happened. Oklahoma has only lost once, to
Texas, and still has a chance at the Big 12 title and a major bowl. So what's
The Bears are - as in 720 yards and 64 points per game!
However, let's remember, the two toughest teams Baylor has
played so far have probably been Buffalo and Kansas State.
It will be interesting to see how the Bears offense fares
against the Sooners' 10th-ranked defense. And vice versa.
LSU +12 at Alabama
If anybody is going to beat the Tide, it might as well be
LSU lost to Alabama last year 21-17 on a late touchdown, and
actually out-gained the Tide that day by almost 100 yards. Tigers QB Zach
Mettenberger had one of his best days, throwing for 298 yards and one score,
with no interceptions, against the vaunted 'Bama defense.
With two conference losses LSU is probably out of the
running in the SEC West; but you know Coach Miles and the boys would love
nothing more than to spoil Alabama's run at another national title.
Virginia Tech +6.5 at
The Hurricanes were rolling along this season, but they've
been exposed a bit the last three weeks. They needed a late score to beat North
Carolina, then almost got upset by Wake Forest. Last week Miami got pounded by
Florida State 41-14, dropping from the ranks of the undefeated.
Virginia Tech hasn't exactly done much lately to inspire
confidence, losing consecutive games to Duke and Boston College. But the Hokies
are still alive in the Coastal Division race; a victory Saturday would help,
and they already own the head-to-head tie-breaker over Georgia Tech.
Tennessee +7 vs.
The Vols upset South Carolina at home a few weeks ago, but
have posted a couple of lackluster performances since then, losing at Alabama
and at Missouri. But Tennessee is 4-1 SU at Neyland Stadium this year, the only
loss coming in overtime to Georgia, so maybe the Vols are due for another upset
Auburn has been a great story so far, bouncing back from a
3-9 record of last year to win eight of its first nine games this year. But
we'll really get a good idea of who the Tigers are over the next three weeks,
as they play this game in Knoxville, then host Georgia, then host the Iron Bowl
Coach Jones is trying to re-instill the former glory of the
Rocky Top advantage, and a win Saturday for Homecoming would go a long way
toward that goal.