The Bulls of Buffalo might as well be called the lambs because they are being led to the slaughterhouse that is Ohio Stadium but are the oddsmakers giving them too many points in our NCAA football odds?
NCAA Football Picks: Buffalo vs. Ohio
Let's be real here for a moment. None of us have seen a
glimpse of either team since Ohio State walked off the field as 26-21 victors
over Michigan and Buffalo bowed to Bowling Green 21-7 to wrap the 2012 season. Hell,
most of us never saw Buffalo at all last season which leads me to my point.
This is the first game of the year, but even the casual fan
knows that Buffalo has a better chance of defeating Harvard in a debating match
than beating OSU on their home turf (or anyone else's turf for that matter). However,
that's why the almighty gave us point spreads and with enough points, any team
can overcome their obvious disadvantages. But how many is enough? As of this
writing the consensus of offshore books have the Buckeyes as 36 point favorites
in their NCAA football odds. Hell, that's five touchdowns plus a point!
Sounds like plenty to me, but in college football, margin of
victory is important because teams get ranked. So before you manufacture an
opinion about a team you never saw play last year and one that has yet to play
a down this season, remember there is an entire season to craft cogent opinions
based on actual game footage. Let's be cautious and start drinking after the game kicks off not before so
you (or your buddies) don't warp your sense of reality and believe there's an
actual sharp side to this or any other game on opening day.
Okay there, I've said it and you've been warned. Now I can
relay the fruits of my due diligence with a clean conscience. Ohio State will
start the season off with a win but getting the cover might be another story.
That's no offense, as in no
offense, but you have no offense. And the Buffalo Bulls pretty much fit
that description last season as they were ranked 99th in points
scored and 95th in passing yards/game. Their run game was their
primary offensive weapon, averaging 176 yards per game which ranked them 47th
in the nation.
Their defense was middling at best for this little MAC East
team as they allowed 363 total yards/game (37th) but surrendered 28
½ points per game which put them in the lower half of all college football
The Buckeyes were undefeated last season but were serving a
one year ban from the postseason for some naughty deeds committed a few years
earlier. How about going 12-0 and not being able to vie for a national
championship? Kind of like a kamikaze pilot wearing a helmet - what's the
Anyway, Urban Myer took over for the disgraced Jim Tressel
and went unbeaten in his inaugural season with the Buckeyes but now he has a
big trophy to shoot for and there is no doubt he will have his team loaded for
bear...or bull as the case may be. Ohio State was ranked 21st in
points and were the number 10 rushing team in the nation. They do not sport the
aerial attacks of the more vaunted offenses but when you've got a solid defense
and a relentless ground game, setting up the pass with the run isn't such a bad
Okay, I'll buy into the hype machine and cast my lot with
the millions of squares who will swear OSU is a lock on opening day. The
Buckeyes will run as often as they choose and Buffalo will have to abandon the
run and revert to the pass which is far from their strong suit once the game
falls out of reach.
Don't go crazy, because 36 points ain't chicken feed to
cover but if you want to get down on this one for your NCAA football picks then
play OSU and lay the 36.
NCAA football pick: Ohio
State -36 at bet 365