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9/18/2013 8:20:00 AM
The Stanford Cardinal haven’t looked like the fifth-ranked team in the country through two games this season, but that’s about to change when taking on the Arizona State Sun Devils Saturday.
Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this
Pac-12 Conference matchup at Stanford Stadium, with the opening kickoff
scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 4.
Survive and advance
Arizona State was fortunate to pick up a 32-30 victory over the
Wisconsin Badgers as seven-point home favorites last Saturday, as the game had
one of the more bizarre endings that you’ll ever see on the gridiron.
The Sun Devils are 1-7 SU and 1-5-2 ATS as underdogs over the last
two-plus seasons, with no advantage in terms of the betting total (4-4
Stanford has won both of its games this season, but has failed to
cover the number in each of those contests, including a 34-20 victory over Army
as 30.5-point road favorites in Week 3.
College football handicappers might take a long look at playing
against the Cardinal in this matchup, but I believe they’ve simply lacked
motivation due to their first two opponents.
The Sun Devils have scored first in 13 of 15 games under
second-year head coach Todd Graham, which makes them a dangerous team when
getting points, especially in the opening 30 minutes of play.
Arizona State also possesses a 16-11 SU all-time record against
Stanford, but has dropped five of its last six trips to Palo Alto.
Dominance at home
Few teams are better at home than Stanford, which is clearly
demonstrated in the team outscoring opponents by an average of 16.5 points in
its last 33 home games.
The Cardinal have won 10 consecutive games at this venue—tied for
the fourth longest winning streak of its kind nationally.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cardinal with their college football picks, as the
favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.
Keep an eye on the second-half point spread when the number is
released in the market, as it may offer sports betting value if Stanford goes into halftime
leading or trailing by a single score.
College Football Pick: Stanford Cardinal -7