Following a blowout win last week against the Warriors, Boise State looks to add to its BCS rankings if it can put up similar gaudy numbers against San Jose State.
San Jose State Preview:
Head coach Dick Tomey perennially pieces together a formidable defense and the same was expected in 2009. Questions regarding the Spartans offensive shortcomings still loomed, but at least the defense would hold strong. Well, the offense remains stagnant and the fallback plan has completely disappeared.
The defense is yielding 457.0 yards per game and opponents are averaging just over 33 points per outing. San Jose State’s only win this season came against Cal Poly and the team was trailing 9-6 at halftime. There are many reasons why this team could be the worst in the WAC – a below-average quarterback in Jordan LaSecla could be one, five total rushing touchdowns could be another, but perhaps the most appalling statistic is the Spartans red zone appearances. San Jose State has only ventured into the opponents 20-yard line 13 times this year.
Boise State Preview:
Nobody really expected Boise State to stumble this season after defeating Oregon in the home opener. But the team’s cookie-cutter schedule has allowed TCU to vault them in the latest BCS rankings. After a closer than expected contest against Tulsa, the Broncos must have decided to blowout everyone on the remaining schedule in order to fall back into favor of the pollsters. Boise did so against Hawaii on the Big Island last week, decimating the Warriors 54-9.
Sophomore quarterback Kellen Moore is the most efficient passer in the country, completing 132-of-194 passes for 1,627 yards and 21 touchdowns this season with only a pair of interceptions. He is complemented by a couple of speedy wide receivers in Titus Young and Austin Pettis who each have 35 or more receptions. The Broncos defensive unit cannot be overlooked as a component of this team’s success. The unit is giving up less than 100 yards per game through the air and on the ground while ranking No. 12 in the nation in total defense.Matchup:
Boise State has won nine straight in this series, and the outcome shouldn’t be much different in this matchup. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, but they might need a few months of preparation to contend with the Broncos on the Smurf Turf where the team has enjoyed a 67-2 record over the last 11 years. San Jose State has allowed an average of 259.8 rushing yards per game this season and Boise is going to surpass that number with tailback Jeremy Avery and an O-line that creates gaping holes.
The best part of the Spartans offensive attack (if there is one) is passing the ball, but all four members of the Broncos’ starting secondary returned this year and are led by cornerback Kyle Wilson who is a future NFLer. San Jose State may have trouble posting double digits on the scoreboard.
The Broncos hold an undefeated record, but the team’s ATS mark has a couple of blemishes on it at 5-2. The two losses were at Tulsa two weeks ago and at home against UC Davis where Boise State may have been caught in a look-ahead spot. San Jose State has not fared so well, compiling a 2-4 record against the number. Both wins came at home against Cal Poly and Utah.
The line has steadily crept higher over the course week. Broncos bettors have decided every game needs to be a blowout from here on out. The same rising spread trend occurred last week against Hawaii and this one could continue to move.
On the injury front, backup tailback Doug Martin is listed as probable for the game. Martin leads the team in rushing touchdowns, but was limited last week with a pulled muscle. San Jose State starting offensive linemen Ronnie Castillo and Ailao Eliapo have been ruled out for the game.Final Prediction:
Boise State 48, San Jose State 10Free Pick:
Boise State -35.5 (-110)